NFL Sunday :

SO far just Bills +3 -125 and Over 44 -120 TB

Strong looks : NYG , Under 35 ARI , Over 44.5 TB , Over 33.5 Buff , Und 39 SF and Det ML

Thoughts and Plays :

NE @ Miami : I would lean towards grabbing the points simply its tough to cover such a high number. You have to basically be up 4 TDS comfortably most of the day. It can easily happen versus this bad Miami defense. However NE struggles to stop the run and thats something Miami can do. For the total I am thinking an over. I dont see how NE cant get to 35 especially since they womnt be running it much IMO. So logically speaking if I feel comfortable with at least NE 35+ points and I think Miami stays within 17 points...your looking at least 52 points against a 51 total..Miami has scored at least 17 in every game but one and we have seen consecutive teams move it versus NE. The key starting field position. They get you backed up and they are insanely tough but strat at the 30 or better and your chances are vastily improved beyond obvious NFL averages. NE red zone defense has been poor.

SF @ NYG : Looks like a big number but SF has shown they cannot move the ball consistently and score. Gore should struggle versus the NYG run defense. Think 10-13 pts here for SF. Also think SF defense is very good and this slides under 24-10 final. Look at what NY has done defense since WASH halftime...NYJ 24 is mirage cheap fumble recovery for a TD and Leon Washington kick return otherwise offense produced 10 points.

TB @ Det : Not crazy about this but looking at past few weeks dont see how you can expect TB to win on the road. The offense has stalled. Det cant stop anyone so we think they should get 17 + here anyway. However the fact they allowed 33 @ Indy with some key players out makes me think DET will find 28 + here. SO over 44.5 and Det -2.5

Ten @ Hou : Probably a game I stay away from. Simply think TENNY defense is tough. So Hou will work to put points on the board. Houston defense at home has been solid and Collins lead offense may struggle. He can hit the big play but there are alot of question marks with Brandon Jones and Chris Brown OUT. Would prefer HOUSTON and like the UND 38.5

Ari @ Wash : The defenses will lead here. Many OL injuries for Wash. Rattay to start for ARI with Boldin returning. Simply put Wash doesnt blowout teams as DET was an exception and the game should see alot of FGs..ARI / UND

Atl @ NO : The battle of primetime games. ATL looked like shit vs NY cause they didnt execute and NO looked like the Sainst again cause SEA didnt execute. Saints laying more then a TD to anyone?? ATLs luster is they always hang around as BIG dogs...Falcons....Under 42.5 ...Crumpler OUT....

Balt @ Buffalo :Tons of injuries for Balt. The offense still didnt show much at home versus STL. If the defense doesnt setup scores then how does it happen. The Bills offense is better then what it showed vs Dallas IMO.....BILLS..Show me a good game Balt has played?/ Outside of roadies @ NE and Pitt where has Buffalo played a bad one?? Very PUBLIC Under which means OVER......21-14...


4 PM:
Jets +7
Under 46 Cowboys ( like 1st H under as well) (bought it to 47 earlier)
Rams +8

The Jets play hard but tend to come up short. With the LB issues the Jets should be able to run. Cincy will get some big plays but I still quetion there ability to move the chains consistently. Pennington's back is against the wall and his play is basically good minus the fact he tends to make crucial errors at the wrong times. Something he was known for not doing.

The UNDER in Dallas cause I think Minny hit way to many big plays vs Chi. AP wont be able to run as easily here. Dallas is a slow starting team..28-17 worst case I believe.

Rams have looked horrid but Seattle plays scared. Some healthy players back for STL should be a bonus as the defense has been decent. Dog tens to bark in the series. Looks like bad weather as well...