NCAAF :
Akron travels to Miami - Ohio. Looking at this line can't see why Miami-Ohio is such big favs. Last game they couldnt cover -6.5 versus Buffalo who is a shade worse then Akron( despite defeating Akron). Akron has had struggles on the road scoring and there defense has been fairly poor. Not a good sign. On the other hand what has Miami Ohio done at home ? Sneak by Syracuse 17-14 blowout a bad Bowling Green team that they were actually home dogs versus , hang on vs Buffalo due to some quick , long TDs? Besides there poor road play what scares me about Miami Ohio is this is there 3rd game in 2 weeks and second game since Miami played there last. At home Miami has actually stopped the run 2.8 YPC which means the passing duo( QB and stud WR) must get it done @ Akron . Since I should have trusted my 'capping' yesterday and played ball State cause the line was way short opened -5.5 should have been at least -8.5 ...today I think we should have seen something like -5 and we opened at -9....now 7.5.....
NBA:
Indiana @ Wash : Last game Arenas seemed to focus on getting his teammates involved rather then try and dominant when he doesnt feel right. That 's a good sign and really why Deshawn Stevenson doesnt get an expanded role in the offense I'll never know. Since Ike Diogu has gone down INDY has looked like carp and gone 0-4 , nmere coicidence ?? Since the opener Indy has returned Murphy and S.Williams. Just like the opener we should see a TON of FT attempts and 3 PT attempts. It's hard to say but playing on REST right now could be huge for WASH. They had rest @ NJ and came out on fire and played well @ ATL . Now Boston is a world beater right now and despite some rest it was off an OT opener. Would have expected -4.5 here so based on a fat line I have to lean Indy but think WASH wins.
Char @ AtL: The Bobcats knocked down some jumpers last night and smoked Miami. Here we have two teams who tend to get low 70 something shots per game and about low 20 Ft attempts. So expecting 94-88 type game....1st H Under and Under 188....however what I am thinking is Charlotte finally got the offense going last night and it may carry over....thats holding me back..
NJ @ Boston : Like Bostons defense to date but there offense sputtered some last nite. Real low total but I dont think NJ cracks 85 here and not sure Bos covers...
Seattle @ Miami : Could be real interesting if Swift and Kurt Thomas are OUT . That would leave COllison at center to guard SHAQ...Ridinour also gametime decision putting West or Watson at the point. SEA has depth but would need alot from Durant , Green and Wally Z here....Have to think after yesterdat that even Miami gets a 100 pts here so thinking over but cant lay -6 with this team no matter how bad Seattle looked yesterday...
Memphis @ Milw: On one hand Mem was a big home dog at home vs Houston last night and played hard to pull out the upset. I hate when you switch venues( home to road) and have basically the same number ....I do think we could be giving MILW to much credit ofr there drubbings at home as DOGGIES....Thinking Over 206 here as well . Only concern is low scoring outputs from Tor and Chi in MILW...but MILW should score alot here...
Philly @ NO : Hornets LUCKED Out in NJ and now play 7th game in 9 days all in different venues....such a tough spot (again) . Do they take Philly lightily here? Not sure I am ready to lay 9 points here...
Sac @ Minny : Kings get back Artest which is huge defensively and should be big offensively but you never know. DEFENSE tends to be a given. Minny could be without Greg Buckner and Craig Smith but SEA is waiting on Kenny Thomas and Brad Miller as well. Depends onhow the INJURIES shake out but thinking UNDER ...
Lakers @ Houston : LA struggled in SA and Houston is a notch below the Spurs. If not for HOU playing 3rd in 4 days I would have been on the home squad. Remember opening night ? Okay Odom is back but people were running to lay 3,4,5,6 points with HOU @ LAL!!! If not for a miracle to 2 minute run to end it the Lakers had trailed by DDs for the most part......hate LAL UNDERS but looking at that here.
Por @ Den : The Nuggets are smoking HOT winning 3 straight blowouts. However Portalnd isnt far behind scrapping out wins vs Dallas and Det. Think DEN rolls here ..
NYK @LAC : Injury shuffle ...Mobley is DOUBTFUL , Randolph is DOUBTFUL , QRichardson is ?? , Marbury appears to be playing , M.Collins is probable , Balkman is questionable ....lots of talent on the sidelines....expecting Knicks to play hard and keep it close if not WIN SU and think its played in the 90s so UNDER
Det @ GSW : Rough spot for DET who hasnt looked especially good. GSW playing better losing tough ones to Cle and Dallas. The GSW bench is a concrn but DET also got banged up last night ..have to take this home dog off so much rest vs a veteran DET team who could be flat here..1st H over cause GSW lack of bench and fatigue on both sides scares me ....
Thinking ( not plays ):
GSW +3 -120 and ML
NYK +8 and ML(value)
Den -10
Houston -6.5 ( 3rd in 4 days a concern)
Totals :
1st H Over GSW ( long rest scares me for GSW in some ways)
Under LAC 198
Under 198.5 Houston
Under 193 Minnesota ( Injuries??)
Over 206 Memphis
Over 191 Miami or team over Miami
Under 182 Boston
Under 187.5 Atlanta
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
NBA :
Thoughts are :
Orl 1st H and Under then Seattle 2nd H and Over
Ind +7 ( 1st H over then 2nd H Under)
Houston +7 -120 and Over 200 -120
Dallas -7 1st H and Under 97 , Under 191
Lakers +8 and Under 99 1st H
(thinking about the late ones still)
Obviously the 7 pm starts are under way so some of my thoughts arent helpful . They are however followed up by 2nd H thoughts which might be. The italics are the ones I played so far.
So far no CBB...
NHL :
Fla +150
Tor -120 also Over 6
CFB
Toledo ML +250
Over 71
GL
Thoughts are :
Orl 1st H and Under then Seattle 2nd H and Over
Ind +7 ( 1st H over then 2nd H Under)
Houston +7 -120 and Over 200 -120
Dallas -7 1st H and Under 97 , Under 191
Lakers +8 and Under 99 1st H
(thinking about the late ones still)
Obviously the 7 pm starts are under way so some of my thoughts arent helpful . They are however followed up by 2nd H thoughts which might be. The italics are the ones I played so far.
So far no CBB...
NHL :
Fla +150
Tor -120 also Over 6
CFB
Toledo ML +250
Over 71
GL
Looking at this game in the MAC ....
Toledo is a team you will probably have to breakdown rather then take at face value. They started the season with Clint Cochran as there QB but that didnt last long. They lost at home to Purdue in the opener and traveled to CMU. They lost a shootout at CMU BUT Soph Aaron Opelt known more as a runner wound up 25/41 334yds and 2 TDs(9c 17 yds TD). They lost @ Kansas then won a squeaker at home to Iowa State. The thing about the out of conference teams they played is there defenses were not that bad . Ball State faced Nebraska and Navy early on who are absolutely awful( disgrace may be better phrasing) on defense. Recently they did face Illinois and Indiana and guess what they didn't score as much and after a slow start IU torched them. They did a nice job versus Illinois but remember they got a PICK 6 for 7 of there 17 points and Juice Williams didnt pass well that day.
Back to Toledo. They West Michigan game again MISLEADING. They were up 7-0 and about to go 14-0 when Opalt was picked in the end zone. Which in 5 starts vs MAC teams is his ONLY INT! In fact in the other 4 starts he has 9 TDs and 3 rushing TDS against no INTS. He also has been sacked just 3 times in his MAC starts and two were in the 1st game vs CMU. Now granted most of this was done at HOME so how heavy can we weigh this?? Back to the WMU game. The INT flipped momentum and fueled WMU. In the midst of there rally Opelt was injured midway through the 2nd Quarter and was done for the day. After restoring some momentum Parmalee fumbled the opening kick of the 2nd H and later Cochran in relief was injured. Seems like a day destined to NOT b Toledo's.
After the WMU game they used true Freshman DJ Lenahan for starts against Liberty and @ Buffalo. So lets be realistic how many teams will look good with a 3rd string true freshman and a poor defense ?? Not many. Opalt returned vs Ohio U and has led them to 3 straight wins. In the 4 completed MAC games his numbers are 1200yds 9TDS and 52 yds rushing and 3 TDs!! With no INTERCEPTIONS!
Looking at there 3 games on the road which where they supposed to win? The game @ CMU they were just switching QBs and wer only 3 pt dogs to a real solid CMU team who blasted Ball State. That line was way off at -12 considering the previous week they were only -14 to Buffalo! CMU is 5-0 in conference ! Huge difference in the teams.
Looking at Ball State they LOST at home to Miami Ohio and Ball State in conference. They beat West Kentucky and Buffalo at home nothing exciting. They squeaked by at West Michigan on a late TD and stomped EMU away. There claim to fame is there 4 out of conference games. The Neb game was also after the USC game so that has to play into NEB performance. They have shown they can hang around with teams who are weak defensively and Illini case inconsistent on offense. Toledo has not had the opportunity to show that due to injuries at QB.
My feeling is Ball State struggles vs the pass and will face a tough task with Parmalee and Collins running it . How will they stop Toledo's offense ?? How will Toledo slow Nate Davis ?? With only 9 sacks they dont pressure the QB at all. Even with the total soaring to 69 from 64 you have to like the OVER here. You have prolific offenses versus defenses who cant get off the field. With high totals its all about execution. If they dont give away points or settle for FGs deep inside the red zone we see at least 73 points IMO....if they do then 10 TDs is alot ! This is a huge game with both teams at 5-5 fighting for Bowl spots and Toledo has a nice history ON TV much of it probably at the Glass Bowl though. CMU vs MAC teams have scored 27 , 38 , 49 , 38 and only 13 in the opener.
Right now my problem is I think they may have opened this game SHORT at -5.5 . It now has been bought up to -7 though. Was thinking more like -8 .
My thoughts are OVER 69 ( expect at least 73 pts in this game)Always check weather with huge totals...
For a side I feel that if Ball State wins they do it by 10 + so if you like Toledo better to take the ML....
GL
Toledo is a team you will probably have to breakdown rather then take at face value. They started the season with Clint Cochran as there QB but that didnt last long. They lost at home to Purdue in the opener and traveled to CMU. They lost a shootout at CMU BUT Soph Aaron Opelt known more as a runner wound up 25/41 334yds and 2 TDs(9c 17 yds TD). They lost @ Kansas then won a squeaker at home to Iowa State. The thing about the out of conference teams they played is there defenses were not that bad . Ball State faced Nebraska and Navy early on who are absolutely awful( disgrace may be better phrasing) on defense. Recently they did face Illinois and Indiana and guess what they didn't score as much and after a slow start IU torched them. They did a nice job versus Illinois but remember they got a PICK 6 for 7 of there 17 points and Juice Williams didnt pass well that day.
Back to Toledo. They West Michigan game again MISLEADING. They were up 7-0 and about to go 14-0 when Opalt was picked in the end zone. Which in 5 starts vs MAC teams is his ONLY INT! In fact in the other 4 starts he has 9 TDs and 3 rushing TDS against no INTS. He also has been sacked just 3 times in his MAC starts and two were in the 1st game vs CMU. Now granted most of this was done at HOME so how heavy can we weigh this?? Back to the WMU game. The INT flipped momentum and fueled WMU. In the midst of there rally Opelt was injured midway through the 2nd Quarter and was done for the day. After restoring some momentum Parmalee fumbled the opening kick of the 2nd H and later Cochran in relief was injured. Seems like a day destined to NOT b Toledo's.
After the WMU game they used true Freshman DJ Lenahan for starts against Liberty and @ Buffalo. So lets be realistic how many teams will look good with a 3rd string true freshman and a poor defense ?? Not many. Opalt returned vs Ohio U and has led them to 3 straight wins. In the 4 completed MAC games his numbers are 1200yds 9TDS and 52 yds rushing and 3 TDs!! With no INTERCEPTIONS!
Looking at there 3 games on the road which where they supposed to win? The game @ CMU they were just switching QBs and wer only 3 pt dogs to a real solid CMU team who blasted Ball State. That line was way off at -12 considering the previous week they were only -14 to Buffalo! CMU is 5-0 in conference ! Huge difference in the teams.
Looking at Ball State they LOST at home to Miami Ohio and Ball State in conference. They beat West Kentucky and Buffalo at home nothing exciting. They squeaked by at West Michigan on a late TD and stomped EMU away. There claim to fame is there 4 out of conference games. The Neb game was also after the USC game so that has to play into NEB performance. They have shown they can hang around with teams who are weak defensively and Illini case inconsistent on offense. Toledo has not had the opportunity to show that due to injuries at QB.
My feeling is Ball State struggles vs the pass and will face a tough task with Parmalee and Collins running it . How will they stop Toledo's offense ?? How will Toledo slow Nate Davis ?? With only 9 sacks they dont pressure the QB at all. Even with the total soaring to 69 from 64 you have to like the OVER here. You have prolific offenses versus defenses who cant get off the field. With high totals its all about execution. If they dont give away points or settle for FGs deep inside the red zone we see at least 73 points IMO....if they do then 10 TDs is alot ! This is a huge game with both teams at 5-5 fighting for Bowl spots and Toledo has a nice history ON TV much of it probably at the Glass Bowl though. CMU vs MAC teams have scored 27 , 38 , 49 , 38 and only 13 in the opener.
Right now my problem is I think they may have opened this game SHORT at -5.5 . It now has been bought up to -7 though. Was thinking more like -8 .
My thoughts are OVER 69 ( expect at least 73 pts in this game)Always check weather with huge totals...
For a side I feel that if Ball State wins they do it by 10 + so if you like Toledo better to take the ML....
GL
Monday, November 12, 2007
NFL
The key to deciphering this game appears to be in the weather report. Looks like heavy rain producing sloppy conditions and the possibility of high wind gusts that would hurt the passing game and kicks ( whether kickoffs , punts or FG's). Side not e Coach Nolan 's father passed away and that may give the team further incdentive to win here. On top of there season being on the line.
If Seattle is unable to pass due to the weather and Frank Gore is healthy I would think SF +9 or +10 is very inviting. Gore tore up the Hawks last year and was solid in the 1st meeting this season. Problem with the 1st meeting was it became a real easy game when Smith went out cause Dilfer is a sitting duck back there. Where A.Smith has some mobility. They traveled to ATL w/o Gore and almost beat the Falcons. Which is not particularily impressive except it shows they are still playing hard and can sneak up on a team . Seattle will be w/o Alexander , Pollard and Branch which I think hampers there big play ability even further. On defense Hill and Kearney are questionable.
There is just not much to talk about here....if the weather is as bad as reported I would rather take a 1st H under rather then a game under. As well as SF 1st H +6....
The key to deciphering this game appears to be in the weather report. Looks like heavy rain producing sloppy conditions and the possibility of high wind gusts that would hurt the passing game and kicks ( whether kickoffs , punts or FG's). Side not e Coach Nolan 's father passed away and that may give the team further incdentive to win here. On top of there season being on the line.
If Seattle is unable to pass due to the weather and Frank Gore is healthy I would think SF +9 or +10 is very inviting. Gore tore up the Hawks last year and was solid in the 1st meeting this season. Problem with the 1st meeting was it became a real easy game when Smith went out cause Dilfer is a sitting duck back there. Where A.Smith has some mobility. They traveled to ATL w/o Gore and almost beat the Falcons. Which is not particularily impressive except it shows they are still playing hard and can sneak up on a team . Seattle will be w/o Alexander , Pollard and Branch which I think hampers there big play ability even further. On defense Hill and Kearney are questionable.
There is just not much to talk about here....if the weather is as bad as reported I would rather take a 1st H under rather then a game under. As well as SF 1st H +6....
MONDAY NBA Thoughts
Hornets @ NJN :
It's seems fairly obvious that Vince Carter will NOT be playing tonight. The real issue for me is this..this will be the Hornets 5th game in 7 days , a Back 2 Back spot and they started by traveling WEST , then returned home and went NorthEast ! Honestly , I thought that yesterday would be a problem spot for them in Philly since the Sixers had fought hard at home vs Tor , NJN and Charlotte while defeating the misera-BULLS in Chicago. Clearly I was mistaken. Though Philly came out strong but faded when the second unit hit the floor and could not score in the 2nd quarter while NO reigned threes! What was more relevant probably was the fact they were off a 2 game losing streak and if they played poorly would have posible lost 4 straight with this game. Looking at the schedule NO has won nice games @ denver and @ LAL but those teams are inconsistent and would not context them as high quality wins . After that they beat Port and Sac at home both teams who will win few road games , lost @ Portland in a tough travel spot and lost at home vs SA. Then they beat up on the offensively challenged Sixers.
You can bet that NJ will look to bounce back here for 3 reasons. First is they billed themselves as a TRIO (Carter , Kidd , RJ) just like the media has Boston (KG , Pierce and "Jesus"). I believe there EGOS were bruised in that loss. Second is all good teams like to step it up when a STAR player is OUT. This being his forst absence provides a great opportunity for NJ to rise to the occasion. Third is NO being a quality team defeating them adds some luster to there W/L rap sheet. It's incentive to prove themselves even further and NJ has lost by once past few years vs NO. When both RJ and Kristic were out but Carter did go off that night 46!
Situational speaking I think it all points to NJ as they have remained HOME really for the entire season except a quick ride down to Philly. I think we can agree Vince Carter had struggled to date espite a good showing vs Boston. He seems willing to take alot of jumpers and threes instead of attacking the rim. Antoine Wright has looked solid in limited minutes. Sean Williams opened some eyes versus Boston . While they havent shown it NJ has upgraded the bench and Boston Nachbar should benefit in increased minutes as well. Last night you could have had an 191 UNDER in Philly , so here 185 seems pretty tight. Possible 1st H under and 2nd H over .?
CLE @ DEN
Real interesting matchup : Melo vs Lebron , Cavs winding down a long west coast swing playing 5th in 7 days BUT Nuggs return home after an East Coast swing also playing 5th in 7 days! Denver returns home after two good performances to close the trip after a lackluster start in NYK and Boston. While Cle 3-2 on the trip lost at the buzzer in Utah and folded late in Phoenix. All in all a fairly solid trip.
I think you could argue alot of things here. First that Cle is tired here. Well every game on the trip has been tough and down to the wire but they still come out the next game w/o looking drained. Interesting was Big Z playing a season high in minutes and LeBron a season low. Seems like smart coaching to me if it was planned( King James did have foul trouble). You figure the BIG guy is sort of limited here with so much running up and down the court while you would want LeBron fresher. On the other hand maybe Z feels great cause he sure is playing alot more minutes then he has past few years..right now about 5 or 6 more on avg per game.
You would think DEN carries the momentum over from there 25 pt comeback @ Indiana but it could leave them drained. That was a 4th in 5th spot for them and both they and Pho shined in that spot as small road chalk on Saturday. Interesting to see how DEN holds up cause Nene and Atkins are OUT for awhile now. Putting some pressure on Kleiza , Diawara , Kenyon Martin returning from injury playing about 20 minutes per , JR Smith to show more consistency .
The Cavs BENCH has been scary ! HUGE UNDER THE RADAR INJURY was Sasha Pavlovic leaving early yesterday and not returning ! That leaves Devin Brown (playing real well) , Damon Jones and Ira Newble off the bench if he cant go.
This is also the highest total bewteen these two teams. With Hughes back they tend to play games in the 90's. Denver has actually played some defense lately. really interested in Pavlovic's injury status. This could get ugly...they havent had a correct line on a CLE game all trip....-6 @ Sac after +9 @ Utah , PK @ LAC w/o Mobley?? I owuld have guess more like 4.5 to 5.5 here but who knows....
Sac @ Utah :
I think the Kings are going to have issues on the road till they get Artest and Bibby back. They played fairly well at home with comeback wins vs Minny and Seattle again two teams who simply wont win many road games. Offense will be a challenge if you contain Kevin Martin. I would expect 88-94 points here for Sac. With how Utah looked vs Memphis they could wax Sac here especially since Ron Artest is back on WED. Basically looking at the UNDER 206 , Kings team UNDER , 1st H Utah ...I could be mistaken but on the road Sac looks overmatched....nice work by Salmons and garcia so far but Miller is struggling and the rest of the guys are limited offensively though Beno Udrih may help the second unit.
Hornets @ NJN :
It's seems fairly obvious that Vince Carter will NOT be playing tonight. The real issue for me is this..this will be the Hornets 5th game in 7 days , a Back 2 Back spot and they started by traveling WEST , then returned home and went NorthEast ! Honestly , I thought that yesterday would be a problem spot for them in Philly since the Sixers had fought hard at home vs Tor , NJN and Charlotte while defeating the misera-BULLS in Chicago. Clearly I was mistaken. Though Philly came out strong but faded when the second unit hit the floor and could not score in the 2nd quarter while NO reigned threes! What was more relevant probably was the fact they were off a 2 game losing streak and if they played poorly would have posible lost 4 straight with this game. Looking at the schedule NO has won nice games @ denver and @ LAL but those teams are inconsistent and would not context them as high quality wins . After that they beat Port and Sac at home both teams who will win few road games , lost @ Portland in a tough travel spot and lost at home vs SA. Then they beat up on the offensively challenged Sixers.
You can bet that NJ will look to bounce back here for 3 reasons. First is they billed themselves as a TRIO (Carter , Kidd , RJ) just like the media has Boston (KG , Pierce and "Jesus"). I believe there EGOS were bruised in that loss. Second is all good teams like to step it up when a STAR player is OUT. This being his forst absence provides a great opportunity for NJ to rise to the occasion. Third is NO being a quality team defeating them adds some luster to there W/L rap sheet. It's incentive to prove themselves even further and NJ has lost by once past few years vs NO. When both RJ and Kristic were out but Carter did go off that night 46!
Situational speaking I think it all points to NJ as they have remained HOME really for the entire season except a quick ride down to Philly. I think we can agree Vince Carter had struggled to date espite a good showing vs Boston. He seems willing to take alot of jumpers and threes instead of attacking the rim. Antoine Wright has looked solid in limited minutes. Sean Williams opened some eyes versus Boston . While they havent shown it NJ has upgraded the bench and Boston Nachbar should benefit in increased minutes as well. Last night you could have had an 191 UNDER in Philly , so here 185 seems pretty tight. Possible 1st H under and 2nd H over .?
CLE @ DEN
Real interesting matchup : Melo vs Lebron , Cavs winding down a long west coast swing playing 5th in 7 days BUT Nuggs return home after an East Coast swing also playing 5th in 7 days! Denver returns home after two good performances to close the trip after a lackluster start in NYK and Boston. While Cle 3-2 on the trip lost at the buzzer in Utah and folded late in Phoenix. All in all a fairly solid trip.
I think you could argue alot of things here. First that Cle is tired here. Well every game on the trip has been tough and down to the wire but they still come out the next game w/o looking drained. Interesting was Big Z playing a season high in minutes and LeBron a season low. Seems like smart coaching to me if it was planned( King James did have foul trouble). You figure the BIG guy is sort of limited here with so much running up and down the court while you would want LeBron fresher. On the other hand maybe Z feels great cause he sure is playing alot more minutes then he has past few years..right now about 5 or 6 more on avg per game.
You would think DEN carries the momentum over from there 25 pt comeback @ Indiana but it could leave them drained. That was a 4th in 5th spot for them and both they and Pho shined in that spot as small road chalk on Saturday. Interesting to see how DEN holds up cause Nene and Atkins are OUT for awhile now. Putting some pressure on Kleiza , Diawara , Kenyon Martin returning from injury playing about 20 minutes per , JR Smith to show more consistency .
The Cavs BENCH has been scary ! HUGE UNDER THE RADAR INJURY was Sasha Pavlovic leaving early yesterday and not returning ! That leaves Devin Brown (playing real well) , Damon Jones and Ira Newble off the bench if he cant go.
This is also the highest total bewteen these two teams. With Hughes back they tend to play games in the 90's. Denver has actually played some defense lately. really interested in Pavlovic's injury status. This could get ugly...they havent had a correct line on a CLE game all trip....-6 @ Sac after +9 @ Utah , PK @ LAC w/o Mobley?? I owuld have guess more like 4.5 to 5.5 here but who knows....
Sac @ Utah :
I think the Kings are going to have issues on the road till they get Artest and Bibby back. They played fairly well at home with comeback wins vs Minny and Seattle again two teams who simply wont win many road games. Offense will be a challenge if you contain Kevin Martin. I would expect 88-94 points here for Sac. With how Utah looked vs Memphis they could wax Sac here especially since Ron Artest is back on WED. Basically looking at the UNDER 206 , Kings team UNDER , 1st H Utah ...I could be mistaken but on the road Sac looks overmatched....nice work by Salmons and garcia so far but Miller is struggling and the rest of the guys are limited offensively though Beno Udrih may help the second unit.
Sunday, November 11, 2007
NBA :
Sixers +3 or ML
I see this as a bad spot ofr NO. The Hornets had a 3 game West Coast swing then came home to play SA but now back to the road @ Philly! All while has sat home and battled NJ and Tor in narrow defeats and spanked Char. Philly plays hard and plays defense.....
Also went Ov 186 Charlotte cause I think Rockets will score at will...
Sixers +3 or ML
I see this as a bad spot ofr NO. The Hornets had a 3 game West Coast swing then came home to play SA but now back to the road @ Philly! All while has sat home and battled NJ and Tor in narrow defeats and spanked Char. Philly plays hard and plays defense.....
Also went Ov 186 Charlotte cause I think Rockets will score at will...
NFL Sunday :
Phins +3 -120 or +125 ML:
Bills walk into this game favored for the 1st time all season. While Miami has had a week off to start over. Yes , start over. Thats what Jason Taylor was talking about. How this BYE came at the right time to put the 1st Half of the season behind them. He said something to the effect no one remembers the Phins 2 years ago starting 3-7 cause they ended 6-0 ! What I am getting expect a great effort to get that 1st WIN. The D gets Vonnie Holliday back .
Buffalo has 3 players QUESTIONABLE in J.Reed @ WR , A.Schoebel @ DE , and DiGiorgio @ LB. Having these guys at less then 100% is huge and if any miss that further hurts a depleted team. Bills owned the 4th quarter last week so that final is misleading in some ways( trailed with 6 to play and still settling for FGS with 4. ).
Game should be a PKem. Bills have shown the ability to hang with teams at home. Outside of watching NJY self destruct a few backs there road skills have be untested. If Miami doesnt beat themselves they will win.
Steelers -9.5 and Under 47:
Cleveland let it all hang out last week vs Seattle. They have some OL issues with McKinney OUT and Steinbach questionable. They havent had much of a ground game this season and they probably wont be able to run on Pitt. That means they will have to throw. While DA has been excellent this year its still PITT. Look at the PITT defense at home and go back to my Monday post. Expect 14-17 Browns points here. Cle cant stop the run at all and expect Willie Parker to open it up for Big Ben. Think Pitt gets 27-28 here as they play keep away from DA and the Browns passing attack.
Bottomline is people still dont believe in PITT!!!!
Jags +5 ( ML as well)
Haynesworth OUT
Tenny is built on defense and running the ball. Well Jax can stop the run but not the pass. So thats a huge plus. Even with Gray at QB this game is a coin flip and Jags have revenge after letting one slip away at home vs Tenny. For me more about discrediting the favorite then playing the dog...Line should be -1.5 with Garrard..look at who TEnny has beat at home Car , Atl and Oakland recently!!!
Eagles +3 or ML
Skins keeping winning by the skin of there teeth. This is the same EAGLE team that went to Minny and won 2 weeks ago. Dallas is very good and high powered offense exactly what WASH is not ! The Eagles are tough against the run and this is a must win game for them. Philly can wing it and Skins corners are banged up.
Rams +10.5 and 46 :
Key Saints defenders Grant and Young OUT! Which tells me that NO is taking this game lightily . Second it takes away alot of pressure on the Rams OL. The rams looked fine with Stephen Jackson in there two weeks ago but it was two failed 4th and 1 with Leonard that cost the game. These offense will SCORE!
Lean to :
ATL +3.5 due to the fact ATL has played better away and so has Carolina. Fortunately for ATL they are AWAY this week. Should be a DEFENSIVE battle. Panthers aredesperate for a win but Matt Moore ..?? I think he is okay but tough to envision him covering a spread ...
KC -3 cause DEN is a mess. Maybe they bounce back but Cutler and Henry are banged up. The defense with Lynch OUT is very bad. KC might not have LJ but it has a defense at least and a huge home field bias....probably OVER here...
GB-5.5 : line is sinking but think GB is heating up and Vikes outdoors?? If miiny cant run can Bollinger help them out ?? Favre vs a weak secondary whose best player has a bad hammy.....
Phins +3 -120 or +125 ML:
Bills walk into this game favored for the 1st time all season. While Miami has had a week off to start over. Yes , start over. Thats what Jason Taylor was talking about. How this BYE came at the right time to put the 1st Half of the season behind them. He said something to the effect no one remembers the Phins 2 years ago starting 3-7 cause they ended 6-0 ! What I am getting expect a great effort to get that 1st WIN. The D gets Vonnie Holliday back .
Buffalo has 3 players QUESTIONABLE in J.Reed @ WR , A.Schoebel @ DE , and DiGiorgio @ LB. Having these guys at less then 100% is huge and if any miss that further hurts a depleted team. Bills owned the 4th quarter last week so that final is misleading in some ways( trailed with 6 to play and still settling for FGS with 4. ).
Game should be a PKem. Bills have shown the ability to hang with teams at home. Outside of watching NJY self destruct a few backs there road skills have be untested. If Miami doesnt beat themselves they will win.
Steelers -9.5 and Under 47:
Cleveland let it all hang out last week vs Seattle. They have some OL issues with McKinney OUT and Steinbach questionable. They havent had much of a ground game this season and they probably wont be able to run on Pitt. That means they will have to throw. While DA has been excellent this year its still PITT. Look at the PITT defense at home and go back to my Monday post. Expect 14-17 Browns points here. Cle cant stop the run at all and expect Willie Parker to open it up for Big Ben. Think Pitt gets 27-28 here as they play keep away from DA and the Browns passing attack.
Bottomline is people still dont believe in PITT!!!!
Jags +5 ( ML as well)
Haynesworth OUT
Tenny is built on defense and running the ball. Well Jax can stop the run but not the pass. So thats a huge plus. Even with Gray at QB this game is a coin flip and Jags have revenge after letting one slip away at home vs Tenny. For me more about discrediting the favorite then playing the dog...Line should be -1.5 with Garrard..look at who TEnny has beat at home Car , Atl and Oakland recently!!!
Eagles +3 or ML
Skins keeping winning by the skin of there teeth. This is the same EAGLE team that went to Minny and won 2 weeks ago. Dallas is very good and high powered offense exactly what WASH is not ! The Eagles are tough against the run and this is a must win game for them. Philly can wing it and Skins corners are banged up.
Rams +10.5 and 46 :
Key Saints defenders Grant and Young OUT! Which tells me that NO is taking this game lightily . Second it takes away alot of pressure on the Rams OL. The rams looked fine with Stephen Jackson in there two weeks ago but it was two failed 4th and 1 with Leonard that cost the game. These offense will SCORE!
Lean to :
ATL +3.5 due to the fact ATL has played better away and so has Carolina. Fortunately for ATL they are AWAY this week. Should be a DEFENSIVE battle. Panthers aredesperate for a win but Matt Moore ..?? I think he is okay but tough to envision him covering a spread ...
KC -3 cause DEN is a mess. Maybe they bounce back but Cutler and Henry are banged up. The defense with Lynch OUT is very bad. KC might not have LJ but it has a defense at least and a huge home field bias....probably OVER here...
GB-5.5 : line is sinking but think GB is heating up and Vikes outdoors?? If miiny cant run can Bollinger help them out ?? Favre vs a weak secondary whose best player has a bad hammy.....
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