Sound and simple Friday. Thanks to a heads up last nite on the weather the UNDER was never really in doubt( game or 1st Half). I know alot people look at games and start to think they got screwed. The difference between winning and losing is so tiny ( remember how I feel about momentum!!!!) . Keep a team around and sooner or later something bad will happen...EVERY TIME! However the simple prospective to keep is the RIGHT play WINS and the WRONG play LOSES. Why? Easy. You make a decision before the game. You make the right decision it plays out in your favor. You make the wrong decision you do not get the breaks. You cant really expect to cap a game and know how it will play out. Look how many people are involved a football game . As I said earlier last week the VILLE did not beat Cincy but they won and UConn lost @ UVA but wasn't exactly beaten. Funny how karma works. There is a MAJOR difference when you are laying chalk especially road chalk. Sure its clear the better team is Lville after watching four quarters but they didn't win. Oh and Kragthorpe(sp?) is a poor in-game coach IMO. Why cause they were in situation with little room for error tonite as road chalk. That's why I say understand situations. The difference between +10 @ cincy and -3 @ Uconn is beyond 13 points and a lesser opponent. Anyway tough breaks for East Michigan and Lville backers. I don't see how though either team deserved to win though. People think USF deserved to win last nite? I guess Rutgers fumbling the punt twice and GIVING 7 points away shouldn't matter. The face mask penalty to keep Lville 1st scoring drive alive doesn't matter? You cant circle one play and not another. Yes, that call by the refs was awful but it happens. LVille had only a gift TD for a 7-0 lead...they missed the muff punt later on as well..nothing ever evens out but it doesn't have to. Nothing is EVEN or Fair...

Bottom line is SHIT HAPPENS. Make the proper read and decision before the game starts and you will be rewarded. Hard work equals Good Luck . Sorry for the ramble but time and time again people think they lost and made the right play. How is that possible.


Two plays already in for SAT :
Temple +6 but I bought it to +7 . Either way I like the same just rather pay for a key number.

Utah State +7.5 :( with bad weather the UNDER 64 is a play)

What again is the first mistake being made in this matchup? Somehow comparing hanging @ Boise State to winning and laying -7 @ Utah State. What happened @ Boise? First Nevada lost its starting QB playing a kid no one really knew much about. Nevada had given up a ton of points at home To Fresno and Boise embarrassed a bad NMST team w/o its starting QB. So Boise State had looked better then they really were and Nevada looked much worse. What you got was Nevada catching more points then NMST was the previous week. If you have watched NMST on the road in the past you know they cant stop anyone. For me I had Boise State in that game and flipped to Nevada last week. Know I fade Nevada cause being overlooked is how you can score on this defense. Now if you cant stop your opponent from putting up points how can you EXPECT to win by more then a TD?? Alot of Utah State suck comments flying around message boards.I guess they only watched the Oklahoma game. Come on now we all know what a mismatch that is .

The opener at home versus the played UNLV. The same UNLV team that was 3.5 dogs @ nevada and lost by 7 when Graziano played. Okay so Utah State lead 10-3 at half and I think 10-9 to start the 4th. So they were very much in that game. What makes Utah State IMO a bad team?/ The failure to win close games which makes them risky as fav and / or risky as small dog when you need them to win to cover. Catching 7 you don't need to win you need to be in the game in the 4th quarter. They travel to Wyoming and again lead to start the 4th quarter. Which they did even not converting a third down that day 0/13!! They lose late to SJST ( and I was on the Spartans that day , they keep from betting blasted by an improving Utah team(24-10 @ Half). They played @ Hawaii and keep most of the game within 20 points even leading in the second quarter.

Ask yourself whats so 'sexy' about Nevada. They got smoked @ nebraska , played a decent game against a mid level major conference school in Northwestern , they lost @ home to Fresno and lost in OT @ Boise State. You know they allowed 206 pts in those 4 games . Ther only wins are a TD win against UNLV which came in the final minute of a backandforth contest and Nicholls State! Utah State is ugly to look at with the exception of its one play maker Kevin Robinson...+230 or better ML gimme some please!!

Temple : Is a similar idea. Who even thought Miami Ohio could beat Bowling Green at home last week> Now you will run and lay 6 or 7 at Temple? For the most part offense has been a struggle for Miami Ohio . Temple I think has issues with TURNOVERS on offense more then moving the ball. Again really same logic . Temple is a team that finds way to stick around. Miami Ohio had wins of 1,7,7 before last week. Hell they were home dogs before it was all said and done !! Again nice value @ +200 or better on the ML... They were barely favored at home vs Syracuse.......Just a play against an inflated line versus a team we don't know what to make except they have improved and have potential on both sides of the ball to make plays......

Huge card as usual to sift through...as I add I will comment....

Good Luck....

Some Early leans were :
Indiana +7.5 / Over 53
Over 61 Clemson ( this is play)
Under Pitt 50
Under 51 Wisky
Under 46 Purdue

Bama ML
Under 57.5 Oklahoma
Vandy +13
Over 61 Navy

- Probably will play the Navy / Wake total. Its been shown time and time again that Navy cannot stop anyone on defense. However I loved how well the offense played at Pitt. WOuld guess both teams are in the 30s here.

-Not sure about Vandy on the road but they should keep this around a 10 pt margin...27-17 type game....probably play this as well

-The Under @ Iowa State strictly a lean. Thinking 42-14 type game.

-Bama cause I feel like they are being overlooked here. I had them -1.5 not a dog....

3:30 starts:(snuck in a late Wyoming play and hoping to get West Mich and Neb at Halftime with lines better then the original)

Under 45 Notre Dame or 1st Half Under( only play at this time slot)
Leans :
Over 64.5 Troy {waiting till half though)
Ark St +3(maybe buy to +3.5) or ML
Over 74 Texas Tech

Good day so far wish I actually played more of my thoughts...

7PMs:
Under 54 Boise St
Under 60 Okl State

Thats it for now. I did lean towards Over @ UAB , Over @ Toledo and UNDER @ ULMonroe which I will revise at HALFTIME.

7:30
1st H Under 33 Oregon -120
Lean Wash +13

Simply think that Oregons offense could start slow with some injuries. Wash defense has been solid at home especially in the 1st H of games. Wash St offense has struggled...

Lookahead spot for Oregon off a blowout..??




GL