Saturday Thoughts

Maryland ML -114 (6x)-

Feel that WF has not been able to throw the ball on the road and with Harris now OUT that run game is extremely questionable. Maryland was great for a stretch at finding ways not to beat themselves then the BC game happen...2 fumbles for scoes in the 1st Q and they didnt have the firepower to comeback. Terps undefetaed at home and know how to win and play sound football. I see WF a team that has relied on defense and the running game...w/o a running game the defense might be the next to go...battle for the ACC Championship spot vs GT.

Missouri -7 -111(3x)-

Fading KU off the home win vs Kansas State. Missouri is desperate for a win here. Really like Mizzou here but KU is playing better lately and has played well in all road games. I do like the over and may add that( 51.5 +102 will wait till half).

Duke +7.5 -120 (4x) ML +228 (1x)-

Basically UNC has played 4 sound games lately but is still prone to turnovers at the wrong time. I cant say Duke has shown improvement but it also hasnt regressed. Its a huge rivalary game and UNC defeated rival NCST who is abysmal on the road and is now ROAD CHALK @ 2-9! Duke can throw the ball abit at home and thats UNC weakness IMO. UNC in 3 road ACC games scored 14 total points! An equally as bad Duke team gave a better UNC squad a scare last season at Chapel Hill so why not here??

UCF -2.5 -113 (5x) / UAB +4 (2x) Under 47 -110 (5x)-

We all know about the QB situation for UAB. I do caution in people assuming this kid cant play (Webb). He in mop up duty @ So Miss appeared to put up some numbers 8 /12 137 TD and 13c 33 yds...Kenny Smith still questionable for UCF. Like the fact UAb is basically reeling at this point and with both QB's out could just be thinking about the season ending..questioning there motivation not if they are quitting. You would think UCF would try its hardest to at elast end a disappointing season with a win. They have switched bewteen Moffet and Isreal lately and UAB can be thrown on. UCF defense has improved last 3 and that has been UABs strong suit. Both teams do have some injured players on defense but I am to lazy to cheeck there significance...hey I am being honest!

Ok State +6.5 -110 (5x ) ML +206 (1x)

waiting to see if we get 7 though- OU has to be applauded for overcoming injuries this season. I guess I would somehow compare to this to the TAMU game cause even though Ok St is a different team ...explosive offense , medicore defense I think they keep this rivalry game interesting. Losing your starting QB and two top RB s just has to catch up to you eventually. Ok State exploiting NEB makes me confident they keep this is a game...

SMU +100 (4x)-

Clement probably doesnt play and when healthy I thought these teams were fairly even. SMU better defense and Rice better offense but with backup QBs that advantage is negetated IMO....Rice got so many breaks to win last week vs ECU...

SoMiss -6.5 -111 (3x) lean Ov 48.5-108-

Marshall just hasnt done enough on the road to impress me here. SoMiss defense at home is stout allwoing apprzx270 yards and little on the ground. Marshall allows 400 yds per away and 4.3 YPC. Marshall had trouble @ SMU and ECU similiar teams IMO to this So Miss team which has defeated Houston and NCST at home. Also they won @ Marshall last year.

Florida State +10 -110 (5x) ML +290 (1/2x)-

this is play against FLA on the road with its leaky pass defense. It doesnt score much on the road and thats makes it poor road chalk 0-3 this year..Clearly FLA is the better team here but home field and rivalry hopefully aid the Seminoles


Utah +11 -110(5x) ML +350 (1x)-

BYU is on a roll but do they get complacent(sp?) after excepting a bowl bid?? The two UTES have had success agains them in the past (lame attempt at a My Cousin Vinny reference...) Revenge could be a concern but Utah has won 4 straight in the series so thats really a stretch IMO. Also Ratliff had 4 TDs on the road in that one. Also Utah has be tough at home except the Boise State egg. I take something out of the fact they were actally favored by 5 and favored over TCU at home ( they won)...live dog here. Just who has BYU beaten anyway...I loved them @ TCU cause +7 was to many but against a similiar rated team they are now -10 in the same situation!!

Miss State +3 -108 (3x) ML +131 (1x)- Assuming Connor is the QB here and think State is the better team. Hoping Ole Miss is thinking about the one that got away...ASU +3.5 -110 (3x) ML +144 (1.5x)- Zona basically snuck up on everyone. I mean ASU was laying -2.5 to WSU while Zona was catching DD three straight weeks. Same type deal as Ore - Ore St. Some WR injuries I need to look at

Pitt +11 -105 (3x) Lean Under 59-

Think Lville has been inconsistent on the road. Pitt played for a half against WVU then diasappeared.Georgia -2.5 -105 (3x)- Have to think GT has the ACC Championship on its mind here even in such a big rivalry game. I am sure Ball doesnt want to never ebat GA though. Just gonna ride the home team...hoping the AUB win gives them some momentum...

UVA +17 -105 (5x) mL +620 (1/2x)-

Figured Ore was out and UVA continues to improve..(Lewis Q as well).hopefully they do better then FSU. Truth is VT isnt great as a big chalk see Kent State game....UVA has more to prove which makes them dangerous..confidence has to be high after defeating Miami...

South Carolina +5 -105 (5x) ML +194 (1x)Under 46.5 +111 waiting (3x)-

The magic number 5...cant be 3 cause then they load up Clemson, cant be 7 cause then its SC money...so smack in the middle. The Tigers have ben reeling forawhile now and SC has played its best ball on the road IMO...one FG , one XP away from being 4-0 and handing FLA a defeat. Now one has topped 17 on SC away and the Tiger Offense is struggling past 3 games

USC -7 -120 (7x) Under 57 -110 (2x)-

This is about the Trojan defense. All season ND has struggled to run and unbalanced attack just doesnt seem to have a hot. After all the years ofoffensive juggernauts @ USC its the time the DEF got their respect! Cal 9 points!!! Seems like the Ore St loss woke them up !! ND has played no one at all . People just remember last years game. While USC was better ND probably was playing better as well...it seems this game is getting steamed lately..thought it would have been at least -10..look what Mich did and they are similiar teams...

UTEP -12 -114 (3x)-

Cause Memphis stinks and people will think theyhung with Houston...

Over 74 -105 Hawaii (3x)Over 45.5 -120 Hawaii team (5x)-

Of all the Hawaii games this should be a shootout. Purdues comments about being disinterested scared me ...


Some more :

Under 55 -105 WVU (2x)

USF defense has been pretty good all year its abit banged up right now. However I was thinking that WVU would probably top out at 38 here. On offense Ponon is questionable at RB and the USF offense has been questionable most of the year on the road behind a young QB. See games @ Louisville , KU , and Cincy. All better defenses then WVU but could barely crack 7 in those games.

Over 39.5 -116 Tenny (4x)

Kentucky defense just allowed how many at home to who?? UL-Monroe ..40....31 @ Miss St and 49 @ LSU. The Vols offense is healthy again...

Over 21 -108 Cincy team (2x)

Like the New QB for Cincy and UConn defense as we know is young. We also know the Cincy D could be good for 6.

Over 28.5 +105 SoMiss (1x)Its Marshall's Defense..

Over 35.5 -108 UTEP (1x)Its Memphis defense....

Under 27 -131 VaTech (2x)UVA defense on the rise and VaTech dinged up on offense. Just 23 at home vs Kent St 2 weeks ago..

Under 24.5 -141 Notre Dame (1x)Cal just 9...hmmmmmnn...

NFL / CBB

Under 61 -119 WV 1st H (4x)

Its late .....

Det +3 -114 (8x) & ML +136 (2x)
Under 40.5-105 (3x)


Again I understand Miami is findings ways to win but road chalk? This team has won just 4 games and three came by FGs. The other in Chicago was as +13 pt dog and I dont think many expected that to happen or the 6 turnovers. In the following weeks we the betting public still did not believe in Miami. We didnt back them vs KC or Minny at home. However they managed 3 and 4 pt wins. I wouldnt say they beat there opponents as much as there opponents beat themselves. Just 1 offensive TD in both and trailed Minny early 4th quarter. Somehow they manged to get 2 turnovers near midfield and go the distance.

Previously the DEF had lost Keith Traylor with Big Daddy Dan Wilkinson stepping in. Now CB Will Allen is questionable and if you saw there nickel back play in New Jersey you would be concerned about that. Plus backup Traves Tillman is done for the the year and there depth is now an issu eon defense.

Then we have the Harrington factor. He admitted he was uncomfortable playing in DET as a Lion now imagine the difference! He clearly has motivation but I have to question his toughness . In fact this is the 1st time in his career he managed 3 consecutive wins in this case it was the defense that did so IMO...6 turnovers in CHI , holding KC to 10 points and 2 defensive 2nd H scores vs Minny. Now that defense is getting thin.Oh and Ronnie Brown is dealing with a sore groin manged 12 carries for 2 yards.

SO while the DET run defense wouldbe a concern that might be negetated if Ronnie is less then100% especially since there OL isnt exactly playing well. Now DET has a big injury on offense as Kevin Jones is OUT but Arlene Harris is very capable. The former Ram (remember Martz is the OC)is not well known but can do some things and Avion Cason will be in the mix. Clearly the offense goes on Kitna shoulders though now. Kitna has played well but killed himself with costly turnovers. The late fourth Q turnovers in Minny blowing a hug elead. Last week he they got te ball on Zonas 13 and he threw a pick taking points of the board. In the 2nd H alf they had only 3 possessions.They managed a long drive for a FG , a long drive that resulted in Hanson missing a makebale FG and a TD. They ran 37 plays for 201 yards!

basically DET made some mistakes on the road they couldnt afford. The int took off 3 or 7 points and the FG miss nother 3 they only lost by 7. The previous week Kitna was picked down 6 from SF 20 in the final minutes.. The week before they smoked ATL at home...

With the turnover in staff you cant think Harrington has any advantages in that way. Also the leader ( at least IMO ) of the defense All Pro Dre Bly spoke out last year as to how Harrington was killing them. With a new regime in DET I expect them to place alot of significance oon winning a national televised Thanksgiving day Game against a former QB.The Lions past 3 home games they have allowed 14-19 pts and dont see why that would change here . Especially since the crowd will try to make Harringtons comeback miserable.

Then factor ronnie Browns health? with the defense being banged up losing Wil ALlen is huge here as Goodman just didnt look good when the other CB got dinged up in NJ.While DET has ad a bad year one thing I see is every game they appear to be in position to do something to win a game. Finally here I think it worksout for them. The Vikes are in freefall and the last line showed Miami and Minny were basically equal. When Minny was playing well they were probably 3.5 pts stronger then DET. That means when Minny traveled to Det it would have been a PK. I think bewteenn Minny slide and loss of Rogers nd KJ for DET it still holds the same strength...So this line should be anywhere from PK to -1.5 nothing more. Remember ATL flying high coming into DET and what happened?

Mike Williams is active and he will either be useless or use that chip on his shoulder to distinguish himself if given a chnace...only time will tell...I see DET winning SU on a late FG think Lions 18-17 but DET wins nonetheless.....cant believe that Miami is -6 on a neutral field versus DET.

Good Luck and Happy Thanksgiving. Clearly we have 2 more games to speak about...Will say Dallas & TB is oneof those games I have flipped back and forth on. Right now riding Dallas. The short week is more damaging to TB and I think DAL is rejuvanated and looking to make a statement that they are for real. There D certainly is and if Bolden cant play corner tmrw...oh boy!! Hate this is TB 1st Turkey Day game but look at there road games...

The lat egame is TOUGH as hell but I think DEN should be favored so leaning that way & Under actually!

Have Dallas 11 -104 (5x) 2nd H ML -236 (3x) -4 -111(1x)
Under 39 -110 (1x)
Under 14.5 TB -120 team (2.5)


Denver +1 +113 (8x)Under 40 -110 (3x) ML -110 (2x) Den

One of the toughest games on the board. This opened at Den -3 but was quickly bet to -1 then IMO when TG was likely to play it flipped to +1. I could be wrong on that it just seemed that way. Now it seems IMO that Pinnacle has decided to take a side. I say that cause no book has this game @ -1 still and they do with high vig. This seems to be something they do. Remember last week how they left Buff at -1 -124 and DEN -1 -124 for along time when all other boooks moved to -2.5..I do

Besides that stuff. This game is walking a fine line. Is the fact DEN collapsed a positive or negative on Sunday??? No way to say for sure before kick..Lets rememebr they did led 24-7 and were keeping SDs offense in check. Is the fact Plummer could be benched a positive or neg? Does it inspire him? Personally I dont see Jake the Snake as the sole problem. We talked about the total lack of mental awareness on everyone involved on Sunday. Hopefully this inspired teh coaching staff just as much as the players. The games were Tatum Bell has played sparingly or not at all seems to be the ones they struggled in. This DEN team with Plummer still won at NE a and at Pitt rather convicingly. Tatum was not the featured back in week 1 and they lost @ STL , he played only a half versus Indy and guess what the lead at half , he didnt play vs SD , and played sparingly @ Oak. So while the other back have been capable they seem to be lacking something w/o Tatum...just got word Tatum is inactive though...it wil be Nash and M.Bell. Not a negative but the not positive I was looking for..


If KC came in playing well I would understand the excitement about Greens return but they havent played well past 2 weeks IMO. You could chalk up last week to Edwards deciding to just hand the ball off as Green was retro on that last drive. Still just 27 pts past 2 weeks. TG will play but can he 100% and he hasnt done much in this series anyway...Its all about LJ here. While he is a BEAST I was rather impressive with how they shutdown the NE duo earlier in the season. They also contained stud backs Willie Parker and Stephen Jackson on the road. Personally I believe DEN like NE has played better away this season. Is Plummer more relaxed away? Cant say ...This is Arrowhead though....Jake is 0-3 and Denver jsut 1-4 SU and a home owned series. However DEN has losses of 1 , 3 , and 4 in KC in those past 5..

So if LJ is the offense then the fact DEN allows 3.3 YPC on the ground away very promising for the defense. They have a shutdown corner in Champ and seem to have found a wayto keep TG from being a factor recently. TG just 11 for 115 past 4 games and only game with more then 50yds receiveing in past 9 meetings (73 yds). You have to still wonder about the KC OL which has not played well and a more mobile Huard aided the line.On paper it appears to me though it has struggled DEN can keep this up and down KC offense in check....they have only managed more the 17 pts in half there games this year...I cant be impressed with any of the KC home games defensively other then SF...what have they done really??I see a 20-17 Denver win here in what is always a battle. The Denver defense is the key and DEN has the FG kicking edge with Elam. The Broncos are down and being doubted and so is Jake this is the epitemy of buying LOW...

Also check the lasttime DENVER lost 2 straight games....hasnt happend thos year or last year. E
dwards migh tb efoolish enough to think a predicatble offense can get it done....

NBA & College Wednesday Thoughts


Plays -
Cavs -2 -106 (3x) & over 198.5 -110 (2) Middled ov198.5 -110 & Under 200.5 -110 (3x)
HUGE CONCERN IS THAT PINNY IS THE ONLY BOOK I SEE WITH -2 are they taking a position on CLE??
- After looking at this game very closely I cannot figure out a reason why Cavs would be only -2.5 here(think -4.5 was accurate). Think about SA was -7 in Tor but Cavs were just +5.5 in SA and won SU...also CLE was -5 in NYK!! I guess Larry Hughes could be a reason but a best I think he is worth 1 point in the spread. Raps have lost 6 or 7 straight now(win vs Philly) and coming back after a 5 game trip where the had lost the final 3 games SU but covered ATS . You could use the fact Cavs are 0-2 in back to backs BUT look at the situations they played in. First time they win @ SA for the 1st time in 4ever(like '88) and play @ Charlotte...emotional letdown...even in the NBA or lack of focus I would say. The next time they play Minny at home and travel to Wiz. Lebron has sucked in these 2 b to b games. However last year in 19 B to B's LeBron was at his best avg 33.6 ppg so rest IMO a non factor. Wash / Cle is now a great rivalry IMO after the playoffs last year. Close Wiz lost in the season opener was avenged by Arenas and his 45. Freaky stat cavs 8-1 as a fav SU while Raps are 0-6 SU as a dog( the Milw line though was -1 closed at +1 and they won so??). I think I jumped the gun on the total and maybe should middle / wash the whole thing out...Cavs only topped a 100 three times in 10 games and just once away(once above 102)..I have Cavs about 98-101 pts here says its 101-98 your barely getting close...so probably a complete wash just waiting...wouldnt be suprised to see 101 -95..

Indiana @ Orlando ...Over 190 -115 (8x) / Over 94 -124 (2x) 1st Half ML +270 (1x)
Someone please explain how this line is -7. I simply do not get it. Indy has won 7 of 10 with the Orl wins by 4 or less and Indy has won 5 of 6 in Orlando. Indy was just -5 at home by ORL won by 10 so how is this line moving 12 points? ...maybe I could see 8 possibly even 10 but WTF...I am totally lost as to why this line is where it is I could deal with -4 or -4.5 but -7 just seems like IND is a layup here..Magic were -7.5 to Char and -7 to Seattle in a game they won by 1...doesnt Indy qualify as a stronger team?? Is it Indys miracle 14-0 run to cover last nite??? Two down to the wire games with Milwaukee possibly?? For the total this is the lowest total since the opener at home for Orl. Indy has been in the 200's in all road games outside of Chicago. Both teams allow a high amount of FTs and both shot the three well and defend it poorly. Pacers avg 55 Fts(shot & allowed) and ORL 61... Pacers have had some trouble on the road losing badly @ CHI & Wash but those teams arent slightily better then ORL @ home IMO and the highest number was +6.5..

Charlotte ML +100 (7x) Over 198 -115 (3x) 2nd H +1.5 -115 (4x) ML +118 (2x)
Knight will probably not play here but Felton & Knight really both play the point. So Morrison probably slides to the two spot like he did when Felton was out and May plays the four. Boston has lost alot of size with injutries to Al Jefferson , Candy Man (Olawkandi) , Ratliff and now even Perkins is questionable. Right know I myself play alot a ton of basketball and run alot and I am battling plantar facitis and this shit hurts alot!! I struggle to walk on it most days. Anyway theats what Perkins is now dealing with. Then put Wally World and West on the injured list. I just think witrh Okefor playing like a beast CHAR continues its ATS run versus Boston. RThe Celts are HOT last 5 games but real tough spot here. The over is based on Char and Bos both putting others on teh FT line...Celts three away games have seen 85 FTS!!! Cautious though cause Knight is a playmaker and is oUT (probably)

Not mcuh to say other then I liked DET @ -6 but not touching it. Will play the under 188 -105 (3x). I said if it was 191 I would pound it. Really I wanted toplay the 1st H under but they shaded it so much cause of ATL propensity for slow starts it only 90 points..Basically I see DET winning SU and maxing at about 96 points...ATL depends heavily on the three ball for offense and DET should defend that well ask Korver...

Heat +10.5 -105 (3x) ML +600 (1/2x) 2nd H -110 ML SA (3x) correcting my mistake
Spurs own them but maybe with Dallas on deck and Heat off poor performance they overlook this matchup some...Spurs tend to struggle as home chalk especially DD chalk...Spurs still dont shot FTs well and allow opps to hit 42% from 3....that could be a huge plus if guys liek Walker and Williams are HOT or it could spell disaster...Spurs 7th game in 9 days and last year in this spot playing Miami w/o Shaq line was -8.5 (but they did cover). All signs actually point to an over but wait for a halftime play......

The 8 PM's on deck...

8Pm's

This card seems littered with attractive dogs. "BetCrimes' says the numbers dictate it could be time for a DOG run based on these spreads I think so but all the dog seems to be popular dogs...So honestly whothe fuck knows...

76ers +8 -110 (3x)

Hornets +9.5 -110 (3x) 1st H +4.5 -101 (1x) ML +230 1st H (1x)

Wolves -5 -104 (3x)

Simply dont like these numbers. with half of Philly injured who knwos what there lines should be. However I do think they held up fairly well till the end vs DET. One key was korver not shooting well at all against MILW that should change since there perimeter defense isnt as strong as DET. Wille Green stepped up like I thought but Dalembert was in foul trouble early....Steven Hunter please play!! bucks arent exactly with injuries and off huge collapse last nite...do they just move on here...guess we shall see. I think Philly knowing ahed of time AI is OUT might better mentally prepare them tonite...the weapons are in place the key is to keep Redd from going off...

With Minny they are inconsistent as hell but so is NY who has played much better away this year. I just think you hav eto be careful with NY and short prices. Yes, Minny lost a close with NO but that was also there softest number -3 and Twolves beat up on Sac and Port at home...Orl as 5 pt dogs cruised vs Minny..Who knows what Starbury does after the benching in the place were it all began against his enemy or friend KG...Lots of question marks but I guess if I dont see NY winning SU then 5 is not a fat lineIMO...

With NO they could be thin due to injury and that might be tough against the run and gun Suns....I just cant help but back a NO team 4-0 SU w/o West... Paul and Peja playing well..Suns still struggling IMO..

Wizards +7 -105 (5x) ML +265 (1x)

Call it a leap of faith but the WIZ are in a good spot here IMO. Houston seems to always allow teams back in the game in the 4th quarter. For as bad as Wash played in the 2nd H yesterday they played a better team IMO . Now they get a chance at redemption with some xtra value added in. If anything Wiz should have been +7 last nite and +5 here. Wiz played tough in the 1st 2 road losses @ Cle and @ Orl but have since soured. Failing as road chalk in NYK and losing as dogs in DET and DAL not exactly easily places to win while Hous 0-3 ATS as a fav....this is the biggest number Was has seen on the road...

Warriors -2 -114 (7x)

Played this early morning but GS went toe toe with Suns even without Davis so I am not concerned about his loss. Denver is riddled with injuries and last nite the bench went 7 /22 and 1/4Fts as Boykins missed the game. There 3 main stars all logged 40 minutes and this is a B to B situation which I do see value in the home squad. Nuggets only won by 4 behind a career nite from JR Smith. Denver has done its winning vs the EAST.....

Utah @ Sac is a pass just seems like a bad spot for Utah but they look so interesting plus those points..Still looking at the last 2 games...like both home teams though

Have to play the Kings -4.5 -106 (3x) due to the shady line theory

middling NJ -3 -108 with Port +4.5 -110 (5x) BUTSwitching to the Darkside and rididng Port +4 +100 (4x) ML +165 (2.x)

Basically I just think this line started FAT and got PHATTA ... probably should be more like NJ -1.5. The Nets in recent seasons have not been favored in Port and have lost 3 straight years out there. Vince has led them team recently and I ownder if martell Websters length gives him a problem. Right now NJ in the middle of a brutal schedule as well. Revenge sounds great in theory but if your playing bad lines it wont matter like in SEA on Monday...Nj was -3 at home Vs SEA and lost how can they be just +3 in Sea?? Public bit and Sonics came alive in the fourth Q . Now Blazers +9 / +10 in NJ and win SU conicingly and catch +4 at home....explain that? The pub still backing NJ though seeing value....I clearly dont. Portland has defended there home court winning the 1st three SU vs Minny , NO and LAL, they lost by 7 catching 7 to Dallas and ctaching 6 versus SA fell apart late after elading by 10 with 18 minutes left....They are tough at home and I see that continuing cause NJ simply not playing well now...I mean SA and DAL were 6 now NJ a mid tier East team is just -4....nope!! Bad line....RJ is back though so maybe I should adjust for that?? I flip flopped positions here so who knows maybe I over thought it will know at 1 AM.....

NCAAB -
Over 146 -109 Purdue (3x) / Under 75.5 -112 2nd H (3x)
UNC -8 -105 (3x)
Princeton +4 -105(3x) +162 ML (1x)

Under 154 -105 Kentucky (5x) & 1st H Under 72 +100 (2x)
-What I like here is first Memphis a poor FT shooting team who rely heavily on 3 pt shots and transition baskets. Not sure how much Kentucky Defense had to do with it but UCLA was 2-19 from 3( DePaul was 6-14 though). Both teams playing 3rd staright game you wonder about there legs some...my a general soreness they could not be used to playing with. On the flip Kentucky tends to play a slower pace avg only 100 shots ors taken per game... lean kentucky here cause I would guess that Memphi sis wondering about that collapse yesterday...does it cause a hangover or motivate here?? If I knew I would make a play...

Over 72 -105 Syracuse 1st Half (2x)
-Basically I would expect the Cuse to get 80-85 points here the key is how competitive a game UNCC makes. So far UNCC avsf 41 1st H points to 39 2nd H points...while Cuse defensive avg is less then 30 in 1st half I am hoping they find middle ground like 40-35. Both teams rely heavily on 3 pt shooting ...

Michigan 1st H -10.5 -108 (3x)
- Hopefully the Wolverines just play to there capabilities.. youngstown State isnt that bad but it appears to be struggling losing @ Duquesne although favored by 6

Georgetown -8 -108 (5x) 1st Half
- After a suprising loss I owuld expect Gtown to be focused here. The Stags have lost alot from previous teams and were no match in Gtown last season...

Under 126 -125 Georgetown (3x)
- It could be tough for the Stags to break 50 here..

Over 141 -112 Chaminade (3x)
- You can hear the complaints about the FOUL calls leading to a ton of FT's. Factored iwth the fcat Chaminade LOVES to hoist up threes...Oklahoma should be motivated since they are 0-3...

Arizona -11 -108 1st half (3x)

- Again basically just superior talent do they show up?

GTech +2.5 -110 (3x) ML +128 (2x)

- I like the momentum the Yellow Jackets have after teh comeback win and UCLA came into this tourney battling injuries and worried about minutes..

Tuesday Thoughts:

Working on the card still..

Early starts CBB:

Over 73 -114 Purdue 2nd Half (3x) Win
Over 134 -110 DePaul (3x) Win ( should have buried this play)

CBB ~

Drexel +104 (2x)
Over 126 -101 Drexel (2x)
Vandy +4 -110 (4x) ML +162 (1.5x)
Kentucky +5.5 -108 (3x) ML +160 (1x)
Under 140 -110 Kentucky (5x)
Over 126 -115 Tex Tech & AF (3x)
Marquette + 5.5 -110 (3x) ML +223 (1x)
Over 148 -105 Duke (3x)
Memphis ML -105 (3x) Loss how I dont know blew 16 pt half lead
Over in Memphis but waiting for halftime to make a 2nd H play.. Over 83 2nd H +111 (1x) No reason with Mem up 16 to get involved but Iwill for 1 unit WIN..should have stuck to my pregame plan I guess

NBA-
Philly 76ers +4.5 -106 (3x) ML +170 (1x) 2nd H over 92.5 -110 (2x)
Under 185 -110 cavs (3x) Really prefer the 1st H but I didnt realize that until after moved Well 90 would have screwed me with 89 what I saw at gametime...2FTs with ess then a second b4 half..OUCH...18 pt lead will not middle cause probably wont see late FTs in this one..
Under 199 -110 Indiana (5x)
Indiana -4.5 -112 (5x) got steamed late I think... 2nd H -3 -111 Ind (2x)
Heat +5 -105 (7x) ML +187 (1.5x)
Mavs -4.5 -112 (3x) 2nd H -3.5 -105 dallas (2x) Over 103.5 -102 (4x)
Under 206.5 +100 Denver (3x) should have read only 3x not 5x
LAC ML -120 (3x)

Thoughts-
- Trust me I know all about the Philly injuries here. I just like dogs missing star players due to a gameday decision. For one game a team can overcome injuries but over the longhaul its a different story...lets see what Willie Greene and kyle Korver can do with AI's 23 shots...

-Came to a late decision that I preferred the 1st H under in Cle so I may middle if possible. cavs play sound defense at home and dont see many easy baskets here...(on paper)

-Went with the under in MILW in the 1st meeting so same principles apply here. Actually Ind beter under team at home. Like Ind despite home and home matchup cause I felt that 1st line was way off..

- I think ATL coming back versus Miami keeps this line fat. Whether West plays or not is NOT a concern of mine. I simplythink he wont be 100% if he does. NO was just -7.5 versus CHAR at home....has Miami fallen that fast? Does Shaq mean that much? Didnt Miami lay -3 in Philly w/o ShaQ??

-Bulls IMO arent the type of team to have a 206 total especially in the midst of a long trip. Bulls big front line should keep this interesting

Thinkking about the few I passed over.......

GOOD LUCK

Monday Thoughts Baskets and Football

College Baskets

Under 145-110 Memphis (3x) Win
Over 151 -101 Purdue (5x) Loss
Purdue + 7-103 (2x) 2nd H +3.5 -116 (3x) Loss
Air Force +5.5 -110 (6x)
Chaminade +24 -101 (3x)
Under 125.5 -105 DePaul (3x) 2nd H under 71 +105 (3x)
Under 130 -110 Duke (2x) Under 125 -110 middled Win both
Xavier ML +123 (1x)
Over 145 -112 Marquette (3x)

NBA
Spurs -6-105 (12x) 2nd H -6.5 +103 (5x)
Sonics -2.5 -110 (7x) Over 103.5 -107 2nd H (4x)
Over 212 -105Utah (3x)
Grizz +4 -110 (4x) ML +144 (1x)
Under 185.5 -110 Orlando (3x)
Over 96 -105 Dallas 1st H (2x)
Over 194 -103 Houston (3x)

NFL
NYG +10 / Und 44.5 Teaser (3x) NYG +4 -103 (2x) ML +180 (1x) Game is way to tough IMO

Thoughts
Basically with San Antonio I think to much is being made out of the Spurs performance n back to back nites. I have siad recently after being handed some big losses that books appear to have taken the edge out of situational capping. Askyourself why would Port be only +6 or +7 here after looking at recent spreads in the series where they were no cheaper then +7.5 and repeatedly struggled vs SA. Zach 's 4 games last season vs SA 1/16 , 9 /26 , 11/21 and 4/15. Last niter all Spurs started played less then 32 minutes.

Same with SEA to much is being made out of revenge for NJ here. Rather then focusing on more NJ injuries ( Cliff Robinson is OUT) and the fact they have played something like 8 games in 13 days think thi sis 6 th in 9 days...

Looking at the over in Utah not sure if I wil be around to say of its a pay for sure. Unless the line moves drastically either way assume it is.

Like the Grizz as a dog here hopefully the group of 6'9 forwards can handle Howard. memphis owns Orl winning 7 of 8. Clearkly GAsol is not playing still so those numbers are somewhat irrevelant. However Orl 2-2 away with a 3 pt win and Boston and scoring 92 or less 3 times is IMO!

The Knick - rocket Over cause expecting a competitive game and last time Ming had his way for 35 and 17 I think. Curry was clueless...

Took a shot with the 1st H Over ...Knight should be play and Dallas has straightened out there scoring. bobcats seem to go cold late in games..

Be back with comments....