Friday, April 20, 2007

April 20th

Tigers -107 {6units}-2.5 RL +240 {1unit}
Over 4.5 -120 Tigers team {3units}
Over 5-120 1st Half {2units}
Over 9.5 -105 {2units}


Upon first glance Durbins number's are gross every way you slice them. The key thing for me here is situation. The 1st two starts of 2007 were away in the day now we are home and at nite. He knows its now or never and despite the gross nuymbers vs CHI career wise I have faith. First the ONLY Sox with any success off him is Konerko and he is in a deep slump. The slump either continue Or Durbin helps him come out of it. Paulis 11of 19 but the rest are just 6 of 35. Working against Danks is being LH and getting no run support so far. Danks is facing a lineup that over time should feast on LHP...Pudge , Maggs , Sheff , Polanco and Monroe all have much better career splits facing LHP. If your talking bullpens I think DET has the clear edge especially if they turn to Ledezma or Grilli for long relief. Durbin 12-14 4.85 ERA at home career versus 5-17 8.28 road ERA....pick your poison here...

Under 4 -110 Tor team {6units}


Simply based on Cabrera's emergence and recent preference for pitching vs Tor who is hitting less with the injuries. Just look at Daniel's career vs Tor they dont like to see him. I am just not solid that O's can break 3 runs here looking for a pitchers duel. Think Balt is over priced here would have expected that Burnett was worth 15 to 20 cents more then Cabrera...think about Balt +1.5 RL

Under 9.5 -110 New York {5units}


Now that Pettitte is in form I am comfortable thinking he will pick up where he left off versus Boston sporting a career 3 ERA. Schilling now also dealing well has been excellent at Fenway vs NY as a Red Sox.

Braves -102 {5units} -1.5 RL +145 {1unit} -2.5 RL +215 {1unit}

Hudson has been excellent to date and in the past he is 6-2 in his starts vs NYM. The Mets are looking scary hot but they always say good hitting beats good pitching. As I expressed prior to his last start Pelfrey is playing catch up. He didnt look very sound in ST and Wash was unable to take advantage of him last start.Lets look at who NYM beat....a rookie in Fla and veteran in Philly making a return from injury. What was impressive was the beating they through Willis but DTrain hasnt really looked sharp so far....

Phillies +125 {2.5units}
Under 9.5 Reds -110 {3units}




GOOD LUCK