Thursday, October 25, 2007

CFB :

One thing is for sure. Like most of the rest of the world I don't trust the VaTech offense. Glennon looked great in relief but it was Duke's defense .

Looking @ BC work this season I really cant say I am impressed. They opened with the stronger part of there schedule facing WF , NCST and @ GT. GT has been disappointment and the way I see things is Clemson is a stronger team . By that I mean Clemson would be favored on a neutral field . Hell they were favored @ GT already!! I say that cause they are the toughest opponent to date. Okay they were only -6 at home to Wake and -13.5 to NCST. That speaks volumes. You can see Wake being huge home dogs to Nebraska and FSU this season. Granted they played well in both of those games and those lines were inflated. Still it speaks volumes. To me the only team they blew out was Bowling Green and that game showed misleading yardage by the opposing QB but there was also strong sentiment that BG would cover. Otherwise teams have passed on them and the QBs at NCST , WF , even ND once Claussen was benched arent any better then Glennon and Co. They are way out of there league ranked at #2. Your the #2 team in the nation and in your 1st game of the season you play Wake Forest at home laying a whole SIX points?? Matt Ryan is a great QB but this is not a great team IMO. Ryan wasnt all that impressive at home vs VT last year , he wasnt all that impressive vs NCST , and the offense has scored 24 and 27 in two road games. They will have a hard time getting 20 points on offense here IMO. Right now I see value on the UNDER at better then 42 pts cause really I dont see worse then say 24-17 or 23-17 game. I just think that VaTech has stepped it up a notch past 2 games and looks like it has improved. I cant take much from the BC road games cause they faced troubled offenses. VaTech isnt much different with the exception of there defense. That defense though is stellar. GT gave Choice 15 carries and in both the Eagles lead at half by 2 scores. So Ore who did okay vs them last year should fight for some yards here.

Also dont get me wrong VaTech hasnt played well either or versus great opponents. However could the whole VaTech shooting have started them off on the wrong foot?? Thats one helluva a situation to deal with at 20 years old. They may have felt pressure to succeed for the school. You just dont know. I think its fair to say VT becomes valueable as dogs and real small favs cause they can win games on defense alone even versus solid teams. If Glennon plays well and moves the ball they will win fairly easily IMO. Not blowout but comfy 10 pt margin. Its a big IF with no answer and bad weather on the horizon.

{Leans Under 43 buying 1/2pt and VaTech -2.5 buying half.)GL

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