Saturday, November 04, 2006

Saturday Nite NBA Thoughts

Started real slow overthinking the Magic total and Bucks side plus losing a couple of tough totals by a bucket....also got screwed playing SEA about 30 seconds before the game got adjusted for Kobe..yet still finsihed +10 for the nite...

Friday +10.00
Saturday +16.35 / +4.00 / +0.92

Sides & Totals YTD +3.57
Team Totals +5.06
Parlays + 5.84
2nd H +5.00

7 Pm
Wizards -7.5 -106 (5x) & Under 200 -101 (2x) Lost -7.32 freakin 1/2 point
Right now Boston is having trouble scoring beyond Wally and Pierce who represent more then 50% of the Celtics points. Washington has rededicated it self to defense this preseason and I think once again BOS could struggle to break 90. You have great situational edges with Boston playing 3 rd in 4 nites while Wiz playing 1st game since WED. Boston also in a B-to-B.

Bobcats +4.5 -110 (5x) 1stH ML +130 (2x) 2nd H +2-110 (4x) SU win 92-88 +3.00 / +4.00
You have Cavs playing 3rd in 4 nites as is Charlotte . However Cavs opened at home vs Wash in rematch from last years playoffs, then traveled to SA to play and win a tough game versus SA. Charlotte was playing well vs Indiana early buy losing Wallace hurt them down the stretch. Last nite they fell apart in the 4th Q in Memphis after leading for much of the game. I think Char has played well in spurts and a nice letdown spot for Cle while Char is backed against a wall early.


7:30 Pm
NYK +3.5 -110 (4x) ML +140(1x) Loss -5.40
People are gonna jump off the NYK badwagon after the loss at Atlanta. Both teams playing 3rd in 4 nites so no edge there really. This is a new ERA in NY and Isiah has to get his team off on the right foot.....just remember that Ind was only -2 @ Charlotte on the opener! Indiana is getting killed on the glass early so look for that as a factor tonite.

Pistons -7 -110 (3x) Win by 9 +3.00
Basically this is where the Memphis defeciencies will show up....on the road. They are going to struggle offensively at times with aging vets and young stars...so the Palace is a tough venue. Especially when DET lost there home opener. Both teams are playing 3rd in 4 nites but Memphis played Triple OT , had a tremendous 4th quarter comeback last nite and now must travel to DET.....Detroit is 8-2 all-time against the Grizzlies (1-1) franchise at home, and has not lost consecutive games at the Palace of Auburn Hills since Dec. 18 and 22, 2004


Bucks -1-110 (5x) Win +5.00
Tough spot for a thin Sac squad playing 3rd road game in 4 nites. It was a huge effort by 6 players last nite to sneak out of CHI with a win. Keep on eye on Villaneuva's status here. Milwaukee gets there home opener here ...

Under 185 -112 Houston (5x) Rockets ML +115 (1x) SU win +6.15
Both teams with ample rest could actually see that backfire not playing for a few days. Houston and low scoring games go hand in hand......Last 3 games failed to break 180 bewteen these two and all the totals were in the high 170's


Warriors +6 -101 (4x) & Over 206.5 -110 (3x) Dumb plays sucker!Loss -7.34
Utah has played well but think this line got a little fat...they were home dogs in there opener. New look Utah though scroing 106 and 107 so far...expect both teams to play n the 100's.

Blazers +3 -108 (4x) ML +136 (1x)& Under 191 -108 (3x) SU Win +8.36
See a tough spot for Minny off a road win in DENVER and the thin air playing Portland in there home opener. Blazer beat them twice SU last season and almsot a third time.

LAC -4-107 (8x) & Over 212 -103 (3x) Wins +11.00
The line is exactly where it should be IMO>Both teams playing inconsistent BUT the run and gun Suns playing 4th game in 5 nites plus the second meting vs Pho. LAC hung with the Suns but couldnt do enough late on the road...now they are home.

Team Totals
Under 88 Memphis -117 (2x) W
Over 100.5 -108 Warriors (1x)
L
Good Luck

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