Tuesday Halloween thoughts

Opening Nite NBA and NCAA Football

NBA
Suns @ Lakers

We all should know about the injuries plaguing both teams with stars Kobe and Amare playing but at less then 100%. In fact Kobe didnt appear in a preseason game so even with all his ability that should be a factor. LAL is w/o centers Mihm and Kwame Brown meaning improving youngster Andrew Bynum will get the start and the bulk of minutes. Marion is nicked along with Radmonvic for LAL. Barborsa and Vujacic have minor injuries amd McKie and James Jones are OUT respectively. These teams met in the 1st round of the playoffs were LAL blew a 3-1 lead and we had Raja Bell talking smack to Kobe. They even met twice in the preseason already.......so they are very familiar with eachother.

You look at the meetings last year and see alot of high totals but alot of UNDERS. Funny thing to me is the 1st meeting in Pho the total was to low at 202 and after that it got jacked to 210 to 220 range and was all unders. The star players are less the 100% , the Suns struggled shooting 3 's all preseason and they really struggled shooting from beyond the arc in the 2 preseason games against LAL.

Personally I feel this TOTAL is way to high for the opening game. These teams have history and you know Raja Bell is licking his chops to play Kobe and show the world he can shut him down. To sail over you need both teams to score well above a 100 points. With Kobes absence in the preseason and some new faces you would expect the LAL offense to struggle to get in sync. I really like that LAL for the most part kept PHO offense in check last year. Naturally Amare wasnt around but he isnt 100% yet... Truthfully I think the last 3 meetings in the playoffs should betaken with a grain of salt ...they were all overs but the totals were finally adjusted down atthat point and the last 2 games Raja Bell didnt play. Prior to that hey scored 98 in OT , 92 and 89 in LA and hadnt even topped 110 at home. Last year LAL was a tiny fav at home and now is 5 pt dogs?? Amare is a big difference but that big???

Play :
Under 209.5 -110 LAL & Phoenix(6x) (220)Loss -6.60
Lakers +5 -110 (4x), +7.5 -102 (2x) , +8.5 -110 (1x) SU win 114-106 +7.00
Middled Over 205 -102 & Under 209.5 -110 (3x each) xxxxx



CHI @ Miami

It seems people are falling in love with the idea that CHI will play great defense now that Big Ben is town. I think it has more to do with pace and tempo and it seems like Skiles wants to open the offense more. He recently said PJ Brown will come of the bench with Nochiocini (sp?) starting. That seems to back his statement. As wonderful a player that Wallace is SHAQ did his thing versus him last yer at home when DET came to town. I dont think Jason Williams lost changes much. He missed some time last year and the offense seemed to click just fine....just check the game logs. Hard for me to imagine on an emotional nite the HEAT not coming to play with a great crowd behind them. Personally I think Miami gets to a 100 here.....like many I played CHI +7 -110 but no longer like it think 5.5 is cheap for the defending champs.

Play:
Over 187 +102 Chi & Miami (5x) & over 187 -113 (2x) (174) Loss -7.26
Middled Miami -4.5 -104 & Chi +7 -111 (3x each) xxxxxxx
Miami -4.5 -108 (5x) & -4 -110(2x) Zo's speech was inspiring! Loss -7.60

Team Totals
Over 96.5 +108 Bulls (1.5x) (66) Loss -1.50
Under 106.5 +111 Suns(1.5x) (106) Win +1.66

2nd H

Heat -6.5 -113(2x) L -2.26

DISCLAIMER ~
With all the time on spend on football both Pro and College the time hasnt been there to focus on the NBA. Truthfully I think I know what I am doing but using my instincts more then anything here. Just a cautious heads up from me.....if you are tailing......

Working on SMU vs UAB.

NCAAF~

Changed my mind no reason for me to touch this......

GL