Monday NBA ~


Yesterday went welll again in the NBA. Looking at my card -

Raptors +7 -108 (2.5x) ML (1/2x) L -3.20 but hedged the Raps with 2nd H spurs-3.5 (2.5x) W +2.50 (net loss -0.70)
2nd H Over 99.5 -120 Tor (2x) Win +2.00
Philly +3 -109 (5x) SU Win +5.00
2nd H Over 93.5 -120 Miami (2x) Win +2.00
Hawks +4 -110(3x) Su Win +3.00
Over 194 -110 (6x) Loss -6.60
2nd H over 96 +108 Atl (2x) PUSH
Sonics -1 -110 (8x) Win +8.00
Under 188 -110 Houston (5x) Win5.00 & 2nd H hedge over 90.5 (1.5x) Win +1.50
1st H under 92.5 (2x) Win +2.00
NO ML -114 (5x) WIn +5.00

Net +22.20 and +4.00 4nd Half

Season Recap ~

Friday +10.00

Saturday +16.35 / +4.00 (2nd H's)/ +0.92(team totals)

Sunday +22.20 / +4.00 (2nd H's)

Sides & Totals YTD +25.87

Team Totals +5.06

Parlays + 5.84

2nd H +9.00

Opening week ~ +45.77 units

New York Knicks +7 -110 (8x) ML +260 (1x) Over 94 -103 team total (2x) Over 2nd H -111 (3x)

SUCKS -9.80 on the game , -2.06 on the team total , and +3 2nd half total
While I spotted the situation I guess I failed to realize this spread was shaded lower then it would have been..meaning books took the situation into the number...sorry!

Basically a situation play. SA has proven to struggle in back to backs but this is the 4th game in 5 nites a spot I fade the fav..

There really is not basketball arguement I could have here. Its purely about picking a spot where team A underperforms and team B overacheives...

Do like the over cause NY defense is so-so and for them to cover they muct score...still thinking


Orlando Magic -3-110 (7x) PUSH ~ Keith Bogans had a shot but made only 1 of 2

I see some focusing way to heavily on the fact Orl is playing a back to back here. Basically IMO we have Philly and Wash as teams who are equal(typical line is home team -3). The Magic lost a tough game on Fri to Philly but were -5 so the market has undervalued Orlando here slightily IMO after the loss to ATL yesterday.

Some series history had Orl winning both home games last year vs a Wash team that something like 14-27 away last season(basically the same team) and also ORL winning 4 of 5 in Orlando.

A nice spot for the Magic to get on track here Wiz havent played that well simply hanging around in Cle but never threatening and outscoring a Celtic team which doesnt exactly have loads of offense. It sgoing to be tough to win in Orl as witnessed by theer late season resurgence last season . They dismantled the Bulls and simply lost a close game to a Philly team getting it done early...

My first instinct was over but after looking at it a few times I see this game probably ending up right around 200..so no value either way....slight to the Under so gonna what till half

Still working on the rest... Milw @ Chi
First thing I think this line is a snip to high should be no higher then 5. With the total what concerns me is the fact Milw has almost no bench scoring through 3 games(think 44 points of 301). I think with Villaneuva in the mix alongside Bogut they are a mcuh better erbounding team as is Chi with Wallace. Alot less easy baskets in the paint for the both and Milw 3 pt shooting outside of Redd is questionable. bucks have struggled to crack 95 against the old Bulls now Wallace is on aboard..

Small Plays +6.5 -108(3x) & Under 191-108 (2x) 2nd H und 95 -113 (2x)

Warriors @ Mavs

You would think with Dallas 0-2 we would see a nice flo w of Mavs money but thats not the case . Instead a GS team in disarray who lost badly @ Utah after catching 6 and got crushed in there opener versus a Kobe less LAL squad. However whats key here is GS has won past 3 in Dallas and the 4th was an OT loss. Oh yeah now Don Nelson is coaching the GS team and facing his former employer. Still with everything against Dallas here this looks like a good on the court matchup to get straight. Gonna try for minus -9 but waiting on this ....like the under...cause Mavs O is out of sync.

Play: GS 1stH +5 +103 (2x) Win / so Dall -5 -114 (1x) 2nd H

Det @ Utah

The line move has be scared. With Utah playing well early on @ -3 liked Utah now we have -5. Seems high but the Jazz have beat some decent teams in Pho , GS and Hou while Det lost to Milw and beat Boston and memphis....so maybe it is worth the -5.

I know one thing and thats I like OVER. We all have that mindset of Utah equals low scoring well 107 avg through games is no fluke especially when you put up 107 on Houston(and consistent 107.108,106). Det not the defensive squad it was under Larry Brown and now Ben Wallace has changed his addy..Pistons can score though...and Utah is allow teams to shoot 35 FT per game so faryou could see 30 of 36 from this DET team from the line..

Play : Over 189.5 -110 (6x) & Utah -4 -115 (2x) / Utah -2.5 -103 2nd H (2x)

Still looking at the West Coast starts..

but played the under 195 -111 in LAC(4x).

Playing Twolves +5 -110 (4x) with Brad Miller out.

Thats all GL