Thursday, November 09, 2006

Thursday NBA thoughts -

Last nite was so-so but a positive one nontheless.

Plays-
Under 213.5 -105 Dallas (7x)
Over 195.5 -110 Golden State(5x)
Golden State ML-118 (4x)
Suns -4 -102 (lean) passed
Over 183 -105 Chicago (6x) Win

Team Totals-
Under 102.5 -106 Mavs (1.5x)

2nd H
Warriors ML -126 (1x)

CBB Plays (1-0 +2.00 YTD)-
Alcorn State +30.5 -105 (2x) L
StBonnies -4 -120 (2x) L

Thoughts-
~Bulls @ Cavs- Offseason additions of PJ Brown and Ben Wallace have improved this team defensively but still not addressed there need for a go to scorer IMO. Who takes the big shot on this team? Who wants to take the big shot? From what I have seen CHI really hasnt improved much they beat Miami in the opener and Milw. Well the Heat look like shit so far with or w/o Shaq and Bucks blew there load on opening nite winning in DET. Chi lost a squeaker to Sacramento at home and got trounced following there win in Miami down in orlando. To me a good team wouldnt be so flat off a big win. Cle has killed themselves at the FT line this year. They defeated Wash in the opener but missed half there FTs making the Final look closerthen it should have been. They broke there drought in SA by winning SU there last Friday. However they followed it up by losing a close game in Charlotte the next day where again FTs were an issue. Then they come home and you think everything wil be okay but they lose to ATL in OT. They blew a DD lead with about 8 minutes to play. They made only 8 of 18 FTs in the 4th Q and OT and struggled mightily throught from the charity stripe. So Cle hasnt looked good but IMO primarily due to there inabilities to hit FTs which could be corrected easily IMO.
The Cavs own the Bulls winning all 4 last year and this is a home team dominanted series. Hoping this line gets cheaper but thinking about Cle here and the over.

~Dallas @ Suns -Dallas is really clueless right now and the Suns cant finish a game off. Despite the poor records I would say the Suns are playing much better then Dallas right now just getting killed by a tough schedule. With Dallas continuing to struggle on Offense and Suns off an exhausting OT effort vs the Spurs I saw a much lower scoring game then anticipated. Suns played 4 in 5 nites then get a few days off but play a tough OT game last nite and had to travel back home. Dallas has scored more then 91 just once in 4 games and Howard is no OUT for awhile with Stackhouse starting. My big concern is both teams allow high opposing FG percentages and 31 FT attempts per. Hope people saw my heads uplast nite on the total down to the 209 area now

~NO @ GS - Really like GS here but Richardson is now listed as questionable along with Pietrus and Diogui being banged up and questionable. This is like so many others a home dominanted series but NO wins have all been narrow including Tuesdays 4 pt win vs GS. The Warriors could have been flat playing there 4th game in 5 nites but they came to play. Really like the Over here as it is lower in Golden State then it was in NO on Tuesday...195.5 here to 198 there. Really GS shot better then NO did except from the 3 pt area (7/25 vs 6/15) which left GS 30/55 from inside the arc vs NO 32/74. Richardson wasnt much of a factor either with Monta Ellis and Anthony Roberson picking up the slack. So basically the Hornets have improved from last season with the continued emergence of Paul and West plus adding Peja and Bobby Jackson. Waiting on injury updates before I decide.

~Friday early looks Charlotte -1 but can be patient with this line. Playing Over 199.5 -115 Atl @ Toronto. Looking at Tor -4.5 , NO -3 and over 199 Utah...

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