The NFL Week 10 Sunday November 12th

Plays: (have few to write about)

Under 39.5 -110 Chicago Bears /NY Giants (10x)
Bears +3.5 -135 (5x)
NY Jets +10.5 109 (5x)
Bengals +1.5 -105 (5x) and Bengals +100 ML (3x)
Over 48 -105 Sand Diego (5x)
Chiefs ML +120 ( 5x)
Jaguars -10 -103 (3x)
Browns +9.5 -117 (4x)
Over 42 -102 Atlanta (4x)
Titans +9.5 -127 (5x)
Saints +6 is not a play with Horn out
Eagles -6.5-120 (5x)
Cardinals +7.5 -120 (7x)
bills +12 -105 (3x)
Packers +5.5 -110 (3x)

Thoughts-

~Chi@ NYG - The injuries have piled up in this game but the important ones IMO are going unnoticed. The main reason CHI has been able to stretch the field this season is the emergence of WR Berrian. He will not play on Sunday nite. For NY already dealing with a banged up Plaxico who missed the Texans game they just learned Toomer is done for the year. I was already all over this total and had played it before learning of this injury. The NYG defense is going to missing three DE's it appears Strahan , Umenyora , and Tuck. Arrington is already done for theyear @ LB plus Short missed last week and so has Sam Madison. For CHI Urlacher got hurt and is questionable but I think he plays. They also already lost Mike Brown for the season. It was NOT there defense that cost them vs Miami but the repeated turnovers of the offense.

I just dont see this offenses consistently moving the ball as they both will have gameplans heavily reliant on the run. The offense has not played well on the road. Go back to the opener vs a young GB team they put up 26 but had 4 FGS , a punt return and a great circus catch for a TD by Berrian. Against Minny the scored 19 but again 4 FGS and TD thanks to a late taylor fumble that gave them a real short field , we know about the offense @ Arizona...zilch! Even this week one TD was off a Harrington pick that gaveChi momentum and they marched downfield.

NY at home has score 21 vs Indy , 19 vs Wash , 17 vs TB despite good starting field position and only 14 last week vs Houston(only allowed 26 , 3 , 3 , and 10). The weather should be in the low 30's and if the wind is howling @ the Meadowlands it will be freezing!!!!(trust me) . Without much of a passing game Chi will struggle to move the ball versus a NYG defense that allows 3.1 YPC against a Bears O who averages 2.7YPC away. NY will have to rely on Jacobs and Barber who avg 4.7 YPC at hoem against CHI D at 3.1 YPC but remember Ronnie brown found success against them. Wind at nite could also be interesting whne it comes to FG kicking......


~ NYJ @ NE - The Pats will be w/o safety Rodney Harrison here . With the emergence of Leon Washington the Jets go into this with arunning game something they didnt have in the 1st meeting. Pennington was able to move the ball late but the game was basically decided already. With Harrison missing it should be easier this time around even in NE. The Pats for some reason have not played well at home : close 2 pt win vs Buffalo , a loss to Denver 17-7 , a 10 pt win that was much closer then the final to Miami and the Indy loss...very strange...while the Jets havent played that bad away winning @ Tenny , @ Buffalo , losing a heartbreaker in Cleveland and the annihilation @ Jax. Other divisonal rivals like Miami and Buffalo competed in NE cant see why NYJ cant here. Thinking over here as NE should score about 24...

~ SD @ Cincy - The Bengals are fading BUT the SD defense has so many injuries it doesnt warrant IMO being favored. This should be a shootout for sure. Basically I see this as Cincy -1 here not +1. SD has lost @ KC and @ Baltimore but won @ SF and @ Oakland....yeah they dont have a quality road win. They have the erly start factor and I think Cincy let it all out after the BALT game. You cant tell me these guys dont care...TJ with the helmut toss and Palmer chewing out Henry. This team should have a better attitude and focus here. The SD defense has shown holes allowing 79 pts past 3 and even allowed 19 1st H points @ SF ...

~ Skins @ Eagles - The Skins won a fluke game thanks tomany Dallas miscues . What hasnt improved is the Skins defense as it ranks near the bottom in pass defense..they went to Troy Vincent at safety and Springs and Rogers are both playing now, tough to say if they are 100% though. Enter a Eagle team off 3 consecutive losses , a home loss and a bye week which they are 7-0 under Reid the following week. Wash could be w/o Moss again and now Lloyd is hobbled as well. Skins havent looked well @ Indy , Dallas or NYG. Skins just wont score enough and the Eagles want revenge for the Skins sweep last season.

~ Balt @ Tenn - The return of Steve McNair! Tenny playe d awful @ Jax but it followed a run of some solid games and the Titan defense was missing soe key players including Pac Man Jones. The Ravens offense really hasnt done much more since booting Jim Fassel. Its tsill there defense setting up there offense. Now we have Heap , Ray-Ray and Ed Reed listed as questionable. ravens are tough as hell to run on but they can be thrwon on to bad Vince Young hasnt really found that part of his game. Just looking for a scrappy game that is somewhere around 17-13 or 20-14...made this play as soon as I saw it @ +9.5 that was ridiculous. ravens are 4-11 ATS away and 0-4 last 4 as road chalk while DOG is 12-3 in the series. So I still see an struggling Ravens offense which makes this a big number to cover.

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