November 8th NBA -

Its official the NBA 'shaves' years off your life....


Plays
Philadelphia +3.5 -105 (5x) ML +143 (1x) +4.00
Over 203.5 -111 Tor (3x) +3.00
Over 202 -110 Indiana (3x) +3.00
Indiana +5.5 -110 (3x) -3.30
Over 208.5 -110 Orlando(5x) -5.50
Under 201 -110 Boston (3x) -3.30
Char +5 -110 (2x) +2.00
NJ -3-107 (3x) +3.00
Over 190 -110 NJ (5x)-5.50
Bucks ML -125 (7x) -8.75
Suns +6.5 -110 (8x) ML +235 (1x) +7.00
Over 204.5 -110 Suns (3x) +3.00
Blazers +4.5 -109 (3x) +3.00
Under 199 -111 (7x) Portland (so fucked here...66 pts last 13 minutes of the 1st H) o 98-105 2ndH(1x) +6.00
Mavs + 3-107 (5x) ML +134 (1x) -6.00
Kings ML -120 (6x) +6.00(tied @ half so counted it as a game play)

Net +7.65

Parlay ML's -5.00
Magic -269 / Denver -550 (5x) (about .62cents for every dollar) risk 5 / pays 3.10
Loss -5.00 how does Denver blow a 10 pt 4th q lead to NY???????

1st H
Bobcats ML +166 (1x) +1.66

2nd H
Ov 92.5 -101 Kings (2x) +2.00

CBB play
Brown +17 -120 (2x) +2.00

Thoughts-
~Philly @ Tor - In recent seasons the 76ers have played well in Toronto and won all 3 meetings with AI playing last yr versus the Raps. Who have played okay early but lack rebounding beyond Bosh which hopefully the Philly frontline could exploit. CWeb has struggled so far but hopefully the fact his minutes were down last nite keep him fresh(or his knees). Basically dont see why after 1 bad game Philly is the dog here...PK seemed correct at worst. In recent games Philly was about 4 pt chalk in Tor . To me Tor has new faces and talent wise is going sideways more then anything else. They really didnt replace Villaneuva(Bargnani/ Garbosa still raw) yet.The 76ers need to get CWebb going as Iguadola , Korver and AI have played very good early IMO...try and hold out for+4 but not sure we see that also would lean towards an Over here. Philly has allowed high FG % to Miami , Orlando and Ind through the 1st 3 quarters where they trailed by 25 to start the 4th and Indy appeared to shut it down.

~ Ind @ Wash- Well O' Neal twisted his ankle last nite but claims to be fine and will play here. On ething I see is the Wizards still not playing much defense as evidenced by there 50 % FG allowed and 46% allowed from 3. Etan Thomas appears to be playing well though coming of a 15 board , 9 offensive , 6 block game. However he and haywood got into a scuffle basically over the situation that has arisen in WASH where Thomas was named starter but Haywood felt he was deserving. Haywood has openly commented in the press about his feelings . Wiz allowed 117 to Boston and aton of FT attempts. Looking at the 1st 3 games Wiz have basically allowed teams to make 9.3 of the 20 3pt attempts (28 pts allowed per game from three), they put opponents on the line 32 times a game and what saved them versus Cle was the Cavs going 15/30 in FT's. WIth Indy thats nit gonna happen with them @ 78%(would be 24 of 31). With Jaskevicius ailing with back issues look for the ole spark plug Darrell Armstrong to get increased minutes and he is palying well early. Wiz bench has really only 3 contributing players and Haywoods seems minimal...so it's only Daniels and Hayes really. Havent pulled the trigger yet but thinking Pacers +5 -105 and Over 202 -105.

~ Sea & Orl -While the number might seem high these two teams are all offensive. Magic have scored 106,103 and 109 at home while SEA b4 yesterday was 106 ,112 and 117 . They had allowed at least a 100 every game and 110+ twice. Both teams dont rebound well and stroke the three at 40+ % from 3 pt land. Orlando gets to the line over 30 times again and puts there opponents on the line at least 30 times. Seattle the same but cause of there jump shooting dependency have not gotten to the line at a high rate...low 20's . The Magic have played well at home and I figure this line is tight. Miami knew they had to play solid defense with Shaq out and they did...SEA also was +5.5 to a Shaq-less Miami. Waiting for lower then 209...

~ Char @ Boston- Both teams playing fairly well on the defense end but probably due to there youth are allowing teams to many FT attempts. Bobcats holding opponents to 38% from the floor but 37 FT attempts. While celts at home holding teams to about 42% from the floor. Basically this game will come down to FT shooting differential where I see Boston with the edge. The Bobcats played well versus Boston last year and with a healthy May and Okafor plus Morrision have vastily improved already. Leaning towards grabbing the points with Charlotte maybe even ML or 1st H ML. Boston should get a defensive boast from the return of Ratliff.

~ Utah @ NJ - Well I for one have believed in Utah early and there new offensive game plan. However this is a situation where they play a quality team away and basically must win SU to cover ATS. I hink cause we havent seen much of NJ yet just 2 games and losing @ Miami they are somewhat under the radar. they get Cliff Robinson back to help versus that Utah frontline and against Utahs very deep lineup. Personally I think we see another high scoring game...Utah has played very well but they have had the benefit of being home and sneaking up on teams. Utah send sthere opponents to the line nearly 37 times a game which is where NJ can get an edge. Utah has shot well early and opponents have avg 85 shots versus NJ.

~ Hou @ Milw- The Rockets play there 4th game in 5 nites . For me its just gonna be a situational play. I think this line is accurate and not shaded. Houston has gone 1-2 on the road and wasnt all that impressive versus Memphis last nite. Houston had 24 turnovers last nite and 45 past 2 games. Think MILW could have the size to negetate HOU rebounded edge. bucks win a tight one here..

~ Suns @ Spurs - Another situational play with Spurs playing 5th in 7 nites. Amare gets into the starting lineup here with the Suns struggling. The Suns will also have Jalen Rose available tonite. I think the Suns struggled due to they played some tough opponents and had to do so in a 4 game in 5 nite stretch. They probably took LAL for granted with Kobe out. They rebounded with a win vs LAC but lost a close game to the HOT Jazz and then had a rematch in LAC they lost. Last years meetings didnt have Amare and the previous season we saw totals in the 210's. SA is gonna be abit tired and Suns somewhat desperate early. The Spurs really struggle from teh FT line despite getting alot of attempts. Suns excel at the line and get there often but also slow the game down by putting there opponnets there 33 times. If Suns get to the line 28 times based on there avg they would make 23 which is anout 3 better then SA previous opponents. Suns have had off sinnce 11/4 th while SA has played in Tor and in NY.

~ NYK @ Denver - Has anything changed here in NY? It seems like the same team who ended last season. A very great start in memphis that was typical NYK 4th Q basketball where we collapsed andhad to battle through OTs to win by a point.......imagine had we lost. Then we traveled and lost ATL , but worse hosted IND and SA and basically didnt even compete. Sure NY had that great 22 point comeback vs SA but down 1 they went COLD. The NYK tend to play only 1 good half of ball so if for some reason they cover the 1st H its wise to fade them in the 2nd H. They have struggled versus Denver in recent seasons and and this line seems accurate to me . Denver struggles from 3pt land which might be the only thing that saves NY caus eDenver still likes to shot them. They have lost 2 close games and have been well rested. Which remains me who made the NBA schedule? Teams seem to be on long rest or playing 4 in 5 nites or 3 in 4 nites...If I play it would have to be Denver.....see a 108 -95 game..

~LAL @ Portland - The trip up north has been unkind to the Lakers recently losing 3 straight and having narrow 1 & 3 pt wins. Brandon Roy is out but Blazers roster is littered with2 guards and I expect Juan Dixon to step in. LAL played some run and gun basketball but with Kobe back it alwas regresses to satnd around and watch Kobe. Andrew Bynum is a kid you should watch. Working with Kareem he has made enormous strides in just 1 season and I believe he still isnt 20 yet! I gave the heads up with this portland UNDER since I thought it was to hig @ 199. Now its dropped but really I didnt see this game reaching 190. last game blazers pulled out a close win but here I think LAL wins a last minute game.. 94-92..early on obe's leg in BtoB's wil be a question mark IMO.

~ Dal @ LAC - Dallas is 0-3 with a couple of tough losses and LAC is 3-1 with a couple of tight wins. They lost @ PHO but got payback a few days later. They also hosted Denver and narrowly escaped with a WIN as well as played Portland tight for 3 Q till the blazers finally hit empty and LAC pulled away. I believe they got the cover versus portland after 2 missed FTs up 11 Maggette got the board and put it back just b4 the clock hit zero. Josh Howard is now out for Dallas putting Dallas in further dispair. I dont know why Avery Johnson chose to strat Bunckner over Devin Harris but the error has been corrected as of Monday. Howard is a loss but there should be some depth at the 3 spot looking at the roster. Last season clearly a much better one or Dallas saw the Mavs as 4 pt favs in LAC. Sort of concerned about the total drop but I do like the over here. Then again past history shows a low scoring game...

~ Det @ Sac - Its hard with Miller OUT to not like DET. However SAC played very well w/o him on Monday and the Pistons have lost something like 9 of 11 in SAC. I wouldnt be suprised before its all said and done to see a PK here or DET -1. While I did like the Under it was very marginal @ 188 IMO.