World Series Game 1 & 2 (SUNDAY NCAAF)

Reyes versus Verlander

First 5 Inn STL +173 (1x)
Over 4.5 -102 First 5 Inn (2x)
Over 8.5 -105 (4x)

I dont have much a feel if any for this game. Generally I just think a game played in an AL Park with an 8.5 total better have some elite SP. This doesnt. Verlander is the worlds biggest mystery everytime he toes the rubber. He has acknowledged fatigue has been a factor and has been given time off for that. Sometimes it works and sometimes it doesnt. I know his velocity will be there but in his 2 road playoff starts he was hittable. Will being at home change that?? I dont know..

Reyes is a top prospect who is a good pitcher but doesnt have electrix stuff like Verlander. He struggled on the road and the jitters could be an issue for both. I would assume that Reyes has a quick hook tonite and the Cards pen was so-so in the NYM series. Det has Zumaya as a question mark IMO cause you truly dont know what to expect.

Really just what I would call a value play but also maybe I am syubborn losing a couple totals in game 5 and 7 as well...

Good Luck

Game 2 Weaver @ Rogers

Basically we have Kenny Rogers at home where he was his best in 2006. We have STL facing a LHP on the road which is significant cause as I have harped on this many a time already. The Cards lost 14 of 17 away vs LHP but have on 2 of 3 in the postseason. Winning 2-0 @ SD , winnning 3-1 @ NY and losing 2-0 @ NYM. Weaver was involved in 2 of those games and all were low scoring. Weaver should be familiar with Comerica since he is an ex Tiger and pitched well there in his lone 2006 start.

What I think is overlooked is Reyes is actually worth more then Weaver if you look back at the ML's. While Rogers is also worth more then Verlander. So in technical sense this line could easily be -200 in spread value terms with last nite closing @ -185. Rogers was -140 versus Suppan already this year. Weaver is 5-2 (5-5) 3.58 ERA away (teams avg only 3.10 runs off him) with 6 of 10 falling UNDER. Rogers is 9-3(14-4) 2.85 ERA at home. With the Under going 13-4-1 for him and teams abg 3.38 runs. Its going to be cold and miserable so hopefullt that helps.

kept it real simple cause there is no built in value with these lines they are basically what was expected....

So small plays
Tigers -176 (3x)
Und 8.5 -117 (1.5x)


Sunday College
South Florida +1 -108 (4x)

Feel that despite the cold weather USF is clearly the superior team here. In fact they should absolutely be favored in Cincy IMO. Short on time but Cincy struggles versus the pass and the USF defense is solid vs the run.

Good Luck