Thursday Thoughts

In regards to the NCLS just carry over the Cardinals play from yesterday. Check yesterday's comments for my thoughts...STL +163 (3x)....no decision on if I will play the total yet. A much nicer day here inNY for baseball...


Tonite VaTech ML -138 (1x) possibly a 3x play
Under 43 -115 BC (1x)

Now I think a key here is BC's kicker being suspended. We all know about Tech's ability to block kicks and a SOPH walk on is getting the call. Now I understand Ryan Ohilger has missed 4 Fgs and 3 XP's...but if this walk on was any good wouldnt there have been some grumblings about benching Ohilger?

I know VaTech has done there usual beat up on the meek and fall flat on the face against there 1st real opponent. Lets remember two things Ellis was OUT on defense and GT is always a LIVE DOG. What has BC done? They watched as Clemson and BYU beat themselves...games which BC won in OT.

Look at the offense vs Clemson...only 320 yards on 75 plays...they got some big plays in the kick return game. Look at the offense at NCST....15 points.....at home vs Maine 22...even BYU which is an avg defense just 23 pts in regulation. They did get 490 yards on 75 plays...but BYU pass defense is poor IMO. We know VaTech can and will play defense especially after a poor performance in which they had time to prepare...I just think BC's wins are smoke and mirrors...4-1 is close to being 2-3...


Clemson -24.5 1st H -109(1x) maybe 3x or Clem -44.

One note is this is not a true Clemson home game...its about 130 miles away in Charlotte.

Temple has looked better past few weeks IMO due to the step down in class. Instead of playing a strong offense like Minnesota or top tier team like Louisville which they were losing 61-0 to....they saw Vandy , WMU and Kent St. All Solid teams with very average offenses...yet only did the home game vs Kent St look remotely competitive...Temple had a 10-7 lead but then looked up and was down 28-10 in the 4th Q. Clemson is off a big 4th Q comeback vs Wake Forest and will find the Temple D to its liking. Just look at the Clemson running agme and how poor the Temple run defense is. Stuckey is obviously out but the WRs still should have a huge edge over the Temple DB's.

What flies under the radar is Clemson defense. Temple will struggle IMO to break 7 points and the Tiger D should give the offense alot of short fields to work with...Reasonable speaking is 28-3 @ Half that much to ask for? Lville and Minny had them 42-0 and 45 - @ Half...Louisville was a home game as well...Vandy had them 24-0 but they must have fell asleep and allowed a 78 yd TD run last play on the 1st H.


Colorado State +6 -110 (3x) downgraded to 1x / Under 47 -125 (1x)

Have to admit I am now concerned about this play. CSU will probably without 2 senior starters OL(RG) Day and SS Stratton....two very key positions. I had made this play original thinking this game should have been -4.5 and both teams had alot at stake here. I decided AF was getting to much respect for the Tenny showing...what have they done since? Hoped that a returning CSU defense familiar with the AF offense could help keep it in check with someone winning late 23-20.....now I am rethinking as I try to figure out the injuries. Could AF control or dictate the pace better out with a hole in the OL and secondary.. a thought.


Saturday-

Auburn now +2 -101 and +115 ML( will be 12x)

Northwestern +7.5 -115 (3x)

Iowa -17.5 -110 (3x)

Oklahoma State +3.5 -120 (5x)

Michigan State +14.5 -105 (3x)

Texas A&M +2 -101 (5x)

Wash State +9 -110 (5x)

Kansas State +10.5 -115 (3x)

Now I did miss some moves...Navy now -3 was -1.5 . SJST now -16 was -14 . Baylor was +28.5 now +26.5. Still looking at and watching others........writeups will come...Every game I have played was simply based on IMO the lines being off and the last 3 were the same logic. Definetly still on Navy even if I go ML...contemplating Baylor as I lost some key numbers..wavering on SJST..Good Luck....