2:10 start
Under 8 -110 Houston & StL(3units)
Houston is trying to avoid being swept in a crucial series and sends out its ace SP. Oswalt has pitched well in his career @ Busch(obviously just 1 start at the new one) 10 runs in 39 innings and 6 straight unders. He is also 4-1 with a 2.18 ERA in only 5 day starts. He has allowed 3runs or less in 6 consecutive starts and tends to be at his best in his career in teh months of AUG & SEPT.
Marquis has strung together consecutive good outins allowing 5 runs in 14 innings. Both SP are showing the abilityu to get deep into this game limiting the pens. A plus since Izzy is out and Lidge ineffective mostly this year. I am concerned with Marquis on 3 days rest BUTthat should theoritically be a good thing for a sinker ball pitcher. These SP squared off twice in May this year and one of those was Jason's best start.
Bottom line is Houston doesnt hit during the day 725 abs and 15 hrs from this lineup. While StL has just gaudy DAY numbers and record to boot. Thing is we always hear good pitching beats good hitting. So here's to hoping Oswalt is sharp and STL only scores 4 times...
Value Play - Cardinals +137 (unit)
Result : Houston wins 5-1 (+2.00 units)
Figure STL has a tremendous offensive advantage here and STL could deliver a knockout punch. Trendwise the Home plate UMP does well for Home teams especially dogs. Think 5 straight home wins and 6 straightvunders for Barrett.
Well a GREAT JOB by Jason Marquis!!! Guess I should have not overlooked the 3 days rest situation as much as I did.
3:35 PM
Under 9.5 -104 LAA & CHWSOX (5units)
Garcia has success against LA going 13-3 with a 2.66 ERA in 13 career starts. As a WSox he has fared just as well in 6 starts . In lA he has allowed 7 runs in 23 innings and at home 8 runs in 21 1/3 innings backing a trend that he pitches better away(which is holding true in 2006 really).
Saunders has 2 bad starts in his career that has been rock solid to date. Take out that bizarre outing vs NY and he has allowed 4 earned and 7 runs in 34 1/3 innings of 5 home starts(only 1 Hr)
The WSox trio of Dye , Thome and konerko is slumping going 2 for 34 last 3 games which is good news since both lineups have solid offensive day splits. Sox are 7-3 UNDER in Sept and LA 8-1 UNDER. Silly trend has chicago being 14-7 UNDER on WED this yr.
LAA -116 (3units)
Outside of the career stats why would you like Garcia and Chicago here?? Saunders as has been extremely tough to score on and Garcia has a handful of decent starts on the road but most he is allowing 5 runs or so. WSox have been fading and LA is 8-3 in Sept now. Not to mention the Wsox pen has had some problems of late.
Result: WSox win 9-0 ( +1.68 units)
Mariners -101 (3units)
Basically just riding Baek/ Seattle and fading Toronto. Baek has improved in each outing and Seattle has been inconsistent on the road IMO. Seattle is 25 -18 vs the EAST this season.
Under 8.5 -108 Seattle and Toronto (2 units)
Just riding the tons of Under trends here with good SP on the mound.
Result : Jays win 10-0 (-5.19 units)
Brewers w/ Sheets -133 (3units)
Fading Chacon and his 5 innings while banking that MILW will avoid teh sweep with its ace on the hill. Sheets has been tough on pitt in his last 2 starts while Chacon is impossible to figure out unless you believe he will keep alternating fairly decent starts and awful starts teh rest of the way( he's due for fairly decent.
Under 8.5 -109 Milw & Pitt (2units)
Two slumping offenses..........
Result Brewers win 2-1 ( +5.00 units)
Over 10 +112 Philly & ATL Game 1 (2units)
Davies says he sees improvement but the numbers dont bear it yet. Wolf hasnt pitched well for the most part this year since returning and ATL has always given him trouble.
Result : 6-5 final ( +2.24 units)
Diamondbacks -139 (5units) CHANGE to (3units)
Arizona trying to avoid being swept at home and in the season series sending out Livan to avenge his loss last week against his former team in his former home. Really this is just be fading Armas and his Nats on the road. Armas has been rocked in three of his past 5 road outings and dropped 6 of 7 away since starting teh year off fairly well in his road starts.
Result : Dbacks win 4-2 (+3.00units)
Marlins -108 (7units)
Glavine has a 5.06 road ERA this year and there still is no way of figuring out what to expect from him. More importantly Olsen continues to pitch well and NY has dropped 11 of 15 against LHP. Which many point to having do with Nady being dealt and Green and Chavez both LH seeing most of those abs. Plus the slide of David Wright who has recently heated up. Before his earlier win Glavine had dropped 4 staright in Fla as a Met. Fla is 13-4 at home past 17 and gave the NYM a win yesterday. That pen is scary!! But Stultz , Kuo and james held nY to 1 run in 3 games on the recent NY homestand....not exactly CY canditates.
Result : Mets win 7-4 (-7.56 units)
Need to vent here cause the METS FUCKING SUCK!!! What a joke that they get every break possible!! There pen is solid but thats it! Fucking BS squibbler by Delgado and FUCKING Wild Pitch that Olivo had 10 days to compose himself and get the runner at home. Ruined my whole fucking nite and for cinsecutive nites they dont deserve it. Mets suck and will be annihilated by the AL!
Padres -139 (3units)
Not crazy about paying to back Peavy away but he shut them down last outing inPetco. Cincy has lost 11 of 16 and the offense is slumping but thanks Bochy pulling all of his regulars late in teh game yesterday SD was left with zip on offense. SD despite blowing the game yesterday still has a huge edge in the pen.
Result : SD 10-0 ( +3.00 units)
Under 10 -110 Cle & KC (3units)
Westbrook sports a 2.80 ERA and hasnt allowed an earned run in hsi apst 2 outings at home vs KC. DelaRosa has 3 decent away starts under his belt and is coming off an impressive start in KC vs NYY. Hopefully that Blister on his hand isnt an issue(deLaRosa)
Result : 6-2 Final (+ 3units)
Orioles -131 (3units)
Bedard on the hill , No Manny and Wake offthe DL.
Result : O's win 4-0 ( +3.00)Under 10 -104 NYY & TB (5units)
Lets face it lidle has been awful on the road and solid at the Stadium. HAmmel has ben decent in all his starts and I wouldnt be suprised to see the Yankee bats stay abit quiet after exploding for 13 runs in 3 innings yesterday and then going to sleep. TB couldnt hit off NY until we brought in Dotel who simply is not ML ready yet.
Result ; 8-4 Final ( -5.20 units)
Fucking Mets ruined a great job by me! Again!
New additions:
Parlay NYY -255 / Cleveland -205 ( Loss -1)
Under 8.5 -106 LAD / ChiC (2units)
Result : LAD wins 6-0 (+2.00 units)
4 comments:
I watched that entire game and I cannot see how you blame the Mets. The Marlins entire team from Uggla to Olivo to Ramirez to Cabrera's lazy ass are the ones who pulled a complete choke job. Never seen such sloppy fielding in my entire life! Dont forget the fact that the Marlins had a runner on 3rd with no outs in the bott of eight and failed to get the insurance run, which allowed the Mets the opportunity to tie the game in 9th. Fucking mush is what that game was!
Huge mistake in my opinion with Florida having a man on 3rd and no one out and deciding not to bunt with Uggla at the plate.
The Mets just got so many breaks you can say all you want about sloppy fielding Delgado hit a weak grounder...PERIOD. Sure FLA made miscues on the bases , in the field , and at the plate. I dont see how NY capitilized. They just got more breaks in my eyes.
Obviously I would have to be an idiot to not be concerned sabout Fla's pen heading into this matchup. Yes , I did contemplate playing the marlins 1st 5 Innings but thats just such a crap shot.
They didnt do much against Olsen and a STUPID walk to Glavine started that rally in the 6th. Only 1 hit thru 5 innings and just 3 meaningless singles in the other 7 innings. I didnt think they would score much off Olsen and they didnt. They were so LUCKY to get 3 off him. If Cabrera doesnt deflect the ball into LF its base loaded and Ledee still probably doesnt get a hit since he hasnt done much this yr. Bottom line is they scored the winning run on a wild pitch and to have a 15 UNIT swing on a crossup is disgusting!
4-0 afer 6 yesterrday and 4-3 after 6 today and lost both...
I hear you on the swing brother. I am not saying Flo was the wrong play, just ridiculously terrible effort from a Marlins team who is trying to make the playoffs. Granted, they are very young, but Olivo is a veteran and the amount of passed balls is inexcusable. I guess where we differ is that I never blame the team who I bet against, when in the end it was the team we bet on who sealed their own fate in my opinion. Either way, just one of those games that didnt end up the way it was "supposed" to. On another note, I was on the same side as you in NFl with both Green and Tampa Bay and also the Lions. Like the under in the Chiefs, but would be careful betting the Cheifs with that line. Trent Green may be out, but they are begging you to take the points. Keep in mind Denver loses to a Rams team that was percieved to be weak before last week. My intial thought was Denver, line just seems out of whack.
I agree with you for the most part. Just aggravated in that while Fla handed NY the game they didnt exactly take it(still 1 out away from a win). They needed a squibbler and a passed ball to tie and win. If they would have ripped a few balls I might have felt better. Generaly agree and generally I wouldnt blame NY either except they are supposed to be the best team in the NL and need countless miscues to win. Just disgusted that on cosecutive nites huge profits disappeared thanks to the Fla pen. At least its a plus day...Just felt I had that game so pegged and the peeps who just bet NYM blindly come out looking smart !
Agree with the KC comments...have to start finalizing that NFL card!
Thanks and GL
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