Tuesday thoughts

Wow! Did I suck last nite. Really embarrassing performance by myself on the heels of a nice (13-7) unposted weekend. Thats why I always say you need to post everyday .

Indians -201 (3units) & Under 9.5 -102 (5units)

Last start of the year for Sowers since they want to limit his innings. Think he is on a 9 game run where he has allowed 3 runs or less and actually 2 runs or less 8 times. KC is missing Teahan and probably Sweeney with Hafner done for the year in Cleveland. Some real solid sticks missing. KC only 10-33 vs LH SP this season and Hernandez has just 2 excellent away starts since his return from the DL. The Tribe had been hot at home wining 11 of 12 and playing extremely well against KC of late winning 9 of 10 and seven straight at the Jake. Only German and DeJesus have solid numbers against LHP and you feel Sowers will go all out tonite. KC is .200 last 10 games against LHP and .244 away.

Red Sox -104 (3units)-1.5 +160 (2units) & Over 10 -102 (2units)

You hate backing a team who has dropped something like 17 of 22 away. However Cabrera nevers seems to pitch well against Boston dropping four of five starts against them since the start of 2005 and his longest outing is 5 2/3 innings vs them. His recent success at home is a concern but Boston is always tough on Balt(think 11-1 this yr and 17-8 L 25 @ Camden). Balt 2-8 last 10 and 15-30 vs LH SP this year. One edge is Balt did see Randy Johnson last nite and hit him fairly well.

Over 9.5 -114 NYY and TB (2units)

Hard to not like NY since the Rays are 2-20 away since the Break but this lineup is improving IMO. We dont know what to expect out of Moose since he is trying to get back in form and being a touch SP you just dont know what to expect IMO. With Mo out of the picture it also clouds the pen picture.

Tigers -130 (2units)

Detriot is sliding but Kennt Rogers isnt part of the reason. Texas although a verysolid road team is hitting just 250 on the road vs LHP. Rogers has won 11 of 14 home starts and has a 2.80ish ERA at home. Padilla hasnt been sharp lately pitching so-so or poorly in four of his last 5 outings.

LAA -126 (5units)

BAsically youhave the inconsistent Buerhle on the hill who really has had more trouble on the road facing Ervin Santana. Santana loves pitching at home winning 11 of 15 starts witha 3.17 ERA(compared to 5.67 away for Buerhle). LAA is 26-20 vs LHP and playing much better lately then Chicago although LAA's bats are quiet lately.

Marlins -114 (2units)

Josh Johnson has terrific numbers at home and versus NY this year while Oliver Perez has been a train wreck on the road.

Padres -115 (5units)

Chris Young is 10-2 away (.251 ERA and .193 BAA)which is suprising since Petco is so pitcher friendly. Cincy has ben sliding and while Milton has been pitching well he hasnt been winning. He has lost 9 of 13 home starts with a 5.60 ERA and struggled in 2005 at home as well. The park is just not conducive to his style( fly ball pitcher). SD 300 L10 vs LHP and .281 on the season away vs LHP. Cincy will probably be w/o Junior as well.

Under 8 +105 or 8.5 -110 LAD & Chicago(5units)

Three keys:

1- Strong wind blowing from center
2- Lowe pitching extremely well lately and being a sinkerballer.
3- LAD struggling vs LHP, scored just 2 times in 3 games started by LHP recently ...see Doug Davis , Chris Capuano and Tom Glavine

Thats all I think. Good Luck