Seperation Saturday Thoughts

This week in CFB-
Maryland +17.5 -105 (3units) +890 ML (unit)
Result : WV Blowout (-4units)

Kansas +5 +100 (5units)
Under 49 +102 (3units)

Result- Amazing 37-31 OT defeat (-8.00units)

Noon games:

Connecticut -6 -109 (2units)

With Mauck out not expecting much from the offense. This team has struggled athome versus some of the weakest teams in the country Dule and Syracuse. Think the Huskie defense is respecatable and if I am right 14 points wont be enough for a cover.

BYU +7 -110 (5units) Upgraded from to 3 to 5.

Real simple logic here and I just dont like the BC defense. They got 'lucky' to win vs Clemson and the out of conference game sandwiched bewteen conferences as well. Something tells me BC might take BYU lightily after playing them in the 2005 opener. Toal being OUT would further kill the defense. Beck will throw on them...

Cincinnati +29.5 -108 (3units)

As pointed out already a perfect sandwich game. After winning Ohio State which is there game of the year probably then Penn State on deck. In bewteen they get 'rival' Cincy who has some ties to Tressel and showed heart vs pitt. You would think Ohio State just coats and limits what Penn State can see on film. As mentioned by other posters Ohio State usually poor laying heavy wood.

Illinois -3-110 (2ounits) Biggest play/Doubled up.

Well I just dont think much of the Cuse offense and I spoke of this in my other CFB thread. We all saw Illini look awful @ Rutgers and saw Cuse take Iowa to OT. Which IMO creates a perception that is incorrect. Cuse will have a hangover after not winning vs Iowa at home in OT. As I said a big 10 bottomfeeder is clearly better then a Big Esat bottomfeeder. Cuse just cant muster much offense they might get 14 points here but I 'll take my chances with pierre thomas. Illinois did beat Rutgers and SJST at home before traveling to CAL and leading into the 4th quarter. Since then they have just fallen apart and Rutgers had big revenge on there mind from last year. I thought the Illini defense was decent and they should contain Cuse.

My earlier post pasted---
At home they ran 82 plays for 280 total yards! Try 44 on the ground for 70 yards and 38 thru the air for 210 and managed a 10-10 tie after regulation! In the opener they ran 49 plays for 141 total yards with 30 runs for 91 yards and 19 pass attempts ( think 6 completions) for 45 Yards!

Syracuse has made strides on defense but this team is 1-10 lyr and 0-2 now so 1-12 under the new head coach which was a home win vs Buffalo! Last year on the road 0-5 and lost by 24 (3x) , 19 and 17. Against solid competition they scored 17 (2x) , 14 ,10 and 7 . However in three games the scored late 4th quarter TD's when the game was well decided and also a defensive TD so of 8 Tds the offense really only earned 4 all season!!

Over 52 -110 Mich St & Pitt (5units)

This seems extremely easy to me. Should be a solid game and the winner should top 30... Am I missing something here?

Iowa -13.5 -109 (5units)

Everyone is probably thinking Iowa State always plays them tough. Well I believe thats because Iowa State has had a defense that was very solid butthat is no longer the case IMO. While there offense is still questionable 23 vs toldeo ang 16 vs UNLV. Iowa will get Tate back and the Cuse game will be a distant memory. Oh and revenge is a silly phrase but Iowa losing badly to an instate rival that it is clearly better then will be ample motivation here. If Iowa gets 31 how iwll Iowa State see 17 vs this defense? Possible under 48 - thinking 31 -13.

Marshall +10 -107 (5units)

Really not impressed by Kansas State and dont the offense has much. Well I dont like bad offenses laying points. Marshall had them beat at home last year should be a close game again.

1 PM starts
Central Michigan +1.5 -110 (3units)

Think CMU plays well at home as witnessed by the solid effort vs BC. Akron lost to CMU in Akron last year and is in a tough spot after playing @ Penn State , @ NCST(and winning SU) and now 3rd straight road game.

UAB +17 -110 (3units)

Think UAB's defense can play well enough against a slumping Georgia offense. The question is can Uab break double digs? Think teasing the under to 48 is wise.

Troy +17.5-110 (3units)

The Tech offense doesnt impress me and Troy St should keep them below 31... The GT defense does scare me though.

2 PM
Minnesota -41.5 -102 (2units) & 1st H -24 -109 (2units)

Maybe Temple scores a TD but Minny loves bad teams and the offense should top 49 here(COMFORTABLE WITH 56)

Northwestern -17 -109 (5units)probably should look for -16.5 on the buy

Think the Wildcats have the perfect opponentto bounce back from. The first home game after Coach Walker's death may have contributed to lost focus , just a theory. Three things are for sure Sutton is a stud at RB , EMU cant stop the run and EMU is playing its 3rd straight away
game. Oh yeah if Tyler Jones shoulder doesnt allow him to play it could get real ugly against the Wildcat defense.

3:30 Starts

Auburn -3-120 (5units)

Feel that LSU misses Addai and Green on offense

Michigan +6 -110 (5units)

Michigan has the talent and experience here. Not to mention ND loses the role of cushy Underdog.

Ohio U +15.5 -110 (5units)
Not overly impressed with the Rutgers offense to this point( Ray Rice has looked good). Ohio U coming off a big upset and I dont see how this qualifies as a letdown spot...still on the road as big dogs. Its homecoming @ RU though and the place should be in a frenzy. Just think Solich's boyz fly under the radar and have enough to compete here. Scarlet Knioghts have been notorious for letting teams hang around and get back in games during the 4th quarter. Ohio U is 2-0 and coming off a SU win as 19 pt dogs @ Northern Illinois who probably has at least as good an offense as RU if not better ( Garrett Wolfe and Phil Horvath). Ohio had 500 yards of offense and after the 1st quarter did a decent job on WOlfe and held NI to 9 points over the final 3 quarters. Though very lucky this team did beat Pitt at home early on last year 16-10.

Oregon -4.5 -106(5units)
Feel that Oregon will be able to score on this OU defense and not confident in the OU offense. Especaiily the new startes on the OL or Paul Thompson as OU has struggled somewhat 1st 2 games

Virginia -10-109 (3units)

No one is impressed by the Cavs but thhis is still an ACC school playing a mid major and I dont think the line reflects it. Also WMU in a great letdown spot off a home upset now traveling.

SDST +14 -110 (3units)

Simply a Wisky fade.

5 PM starts

Baylor +13 -110 (3units)

TCU +2 -110 (3units)

Florida International +5.5 Even (3units) upgraded from 2 to 3

7PM starts

Oklahoma State -29.5 -108 (2units)

UL-Monroe +24.5 -108 (3units)

fade the Bama offense

Northern Illinois -23-108 ( 10 units)
Thanks to a home loss to Ohio U coupled with Buffalo's suprising performance at BG we get a soft line. Buffalo needed OT at home wo win 9-3 vs Temple!! All that last weeks 48 -40 loss @ Bowling Green shows em is how bad they actually are. So 2 weeks and 2 OT's but I cant figure out how you gan less then 300 yards of offense and score 40 points? I know a kick return and nblocked punt were ez 6's but come on 32 pass attmepts and 21 completions for 138 yards!!!!!
BG ran for 356 yards and had about 600 yds of total offense( three 100 yd rushers for BG). Buffalo had only 356 yds of total offense at home to Temple....Not sure what to make of NI's defense but not extremly impressed with the offense. Even if they could muster 21 points I think we could see 45 by the home team. Garrett Wolfe should have a field day! last note BG was -22...NI is clearly better then BG but laying only 1 point more! Bounce back game

USC -17 -120 (2units) & Over 56 -105 (3units) total dropping=scary

Figure USC is hanging 38+ at home so its a split worst case in that scenario. Never doubt the Trojans at home. I dont see why the Reggie bush scandal would hurt USC here. He should be an afterthought for that team now

Tennessee +3.5 -108 (2units)

Okay funny how no one is complaining about Leak now. I think Tenny was just flat last week in a sandwich game and while the defense of Tenny is nicked up I ''ll take points at home in this rivalary.

Nevada -2.5 -110 (3units)

Stanford -1 +100 (3units) down to 3 units from 5

Add- Wyoming +7.5 -105 (2units)

Teasers-
Miss St -1 , Texas A&M -17 , Ok St -19.5 (5units)
Under 49.5 Syr , Under 59 Iowa , Over 42 BC (1unit)
Miss St -1.5 , Under 49.5 Syr , Under 55 Florida State (2units)

GL

GL