Tuesday, September 19, 2006

Tuesday Thoughts-

Quick glimpse as to me what I am looking at:

ATL -130 & Over 9 +102

Over 10 +107 Philly

Fla -124

Reds +121

Brewers -128

SFG -117 & Und 9 +106

Red Sox -116 & Over 10-103

Blue jays +115

DRays +113 & Over 10+103

WSox -115

Rangers -116 & Under 10.5 -109

Under 10 -104 KC


Plays-

7:05 PM

Braves -132 (3units) & Over 9 +107 (3units) ADD Over 9 -120 (2units)

Basically Chuck James has pitched extremely well this year and is facing a Double A SP who probably doesnt have the arm strength to last more then 5 innings and being it could be less you could get one of the more RAW youngsters in the pen. Wash also does hit very well against LHP with all starters above .277(Logan 2 /8). So while James is tough I expect Wash to score a few off him and Nats tend to play Over vs lefties. ATL pen is shaky... Wegner behind teh plate has skewed numbers...less then 9 runs per but more overs. Looks like for whatever reason the pens pitch extremely well in his games.

Over 10 +113 Philly & ChiC (4units)

Moyer has been solid but is basically a 3 run , 6 inning type. Miller looked good last time out but I felt he faced a disinterested LAD squad. Being that his velocity has not come back he could be in trouble against the tough LHB's....neither PEN is trustworthy its either feast or famine.

Marlins -127 (4units)

Think NY is something like 6-14 vs LH since the Nady trade and dropped 6 of 7. After clinching the pennant you would think they partied like it was 1999.. Corny line but true as even RAndolph said it should take a few days to ware off. Olsen was robbed off awin last outing vs NY when the pen couldnt seal the game.hate the price but under the circumstances worth it.

Red Sox -116 (5units) & Over 10 -117 (3units)

I thought Boston played well in NYY taking 3 of 4 and feel they are rejuvenated now. A youngster albeittalented youngster Garza trying to tackle Fenway should be higher priced IMO.
Wake trying to get his feel back is usually sharpest @ Fenway.

Blue Jays +116 (4units)

Fading my Yanks again. Two reasons Marcum is solid at home and Karstens has been decent but I feel very hittable to be road chalk. Also I cited fatigue yesterday as a reason behind my play but sometimes it takes a day after to hit the players..adrenaline run. Anyway ARod commented he has never seen NY so tired but they do have depth that we cant overlook.

TB +113 (4units) & Over 10 +111(3units)

Expecting a high scoring affair as tB hits lefties fairly well and Loewen is inconsistent on the road and struggles to get past the 6th inning which I do NOT trust the O's pen. Hammel has been okat home since his debut and I am thinking this price is off with TB being a 500 home team and O's struggling mightily away.

At 8 Pm

Brewers -128 (6units)

Sheet shas missed time with injuries so this is techincally his midseason and he looks like he is midseason form lately. Huge edge in SP against eff Weaver who is inconsistent......Both teams slumping with the bat but Brew Crew has the edge in pitching.

Under 9 +108 SF & Colorado (3units)

Cain has been insane inethe 2nd Halfand really shutdown Colorado last 2 outings. Hopefully the twenty spot last nite got alot of the hits out of those bats. Jennings is medicore career wise against SF but has been extremely soldi at home..Really like Cain but passing as Col is hot at home.

Reds -107 (4units)

had this @ +121 as my play of the day. LAst tim eteher was a last minute scratch I stayed away and regretted it. SO hopefully that doesnt happen in here in reverse. I see improvement in Harang latelty and his 2.96 road era tells us he enjoys the road. Pettitte was hurting IMO and been hit hard by Cincy this year but he was scratched for the youngster who had a solid relief outing vs Cincy earlier. I think teh key was he was down big and pitching without pressure. He made a start after that and was hit fairly hard

Rangers -115 (3units) & Under 10.5 -106 (3units)

Seattle struggles in Texas and Washburn has been roughed up this year on teh road. He does have good numbers vs texas though therefore the under. Volquez is tough to figure but his best outing was vs Seattle... so hopefully his last outing was a building block thanks to extra pen and side work...

White Sox -115 (4units)

Garcia obviously looked real good last time out and has had great success vs DET in his career( think won 9 of past 10 outings vs them). Verlander has struggled in his first few outings vs CHI but turned it around last time out againstthem. However he has been inconsistent down the stretch and that has me questioning....fatigue?

Two leans I passed on were SFG and Under 10 KC.

GL- Sorry if any comments were late as this site was down for 15 minutes

2 comments:

SportsNut {Mike} said...

Nice job passing on the KC under!

Pirates +165 (2x)

SportsNut {Mike} said...

Nice job passing on the KC under!

Pirates +165 (2x)