NFL week 3 Discussion

Carolina @ TB
Just about every way I slice it Carolina is the only thing I would play. Expect Smith to play but aganst a tough defense he is probably more of a decoy. Carolina is battling injuries and Drew Carter is also questionable. They have 2 starting OL out here plus Morgan on defense and a starting safety. TB has defensive injuries to Rice , Boogar and Hovan butall look to play.

Before the TB win in Carolina the Panthers had taken 5 straight and last 3 in TB. I just dont like the OL situation here . TB cant establish the run andits proven Simms cant beat you throwing it. Witnesss the 6 picks compared to Delhomme's 1 . Like the fact Carolina made use of D'Angelo Willaims last week and look for that to continue. Carolina had Minny all butbeaten till the silly punt return muff. They held the Vikes to 6 points and a fake FG for a TD....TB would be a comparable offense to Minnys IMO. In a close game I'll take Kasay over Bryant. TB couldnt stop the ATL ground game so this should be interetsing for both run defenses cause Carolina struggles against the run.

Do I like the spread.....hard to say it should only be a PK but -2 is probably correct anything that ends at 3.5 and above might have TB value.....I think it will be that close.

Chicago @ Minnesota

I think the key here is simply can Chicago run theball. If they cant its will be tough on Grossman cause he is facing a Minny team that has slowed down the passing game. Dont get me wrong they played teams lacking there superstars but only 5.4 yds per attempt. Grossman played in the Dome a few years back and played well against a completely different Vikes team. The Vikes lost Erasmus James who will be missed and have 5 key players on the injured list as questionable. Two WR's Robinson and Williamson , Winfield @ CB , Harris @ LB , Hicks @ OG. The Bears are healthy but I think again with the move this line is INFLATED...at 4 or better yo might have to take Minny..What's key about Minny is Brad Johnson tends to avoid urnovers and that is what might win this game....one mistake. Very nervous about this play but I see Minny failing against Pitt and even Carolina last week two similiar teams to Chicago. have a feeling its CHI by 3. Like te Under 35 but dont understand why it ws being bet up from 3 to 35 this week. As I mentiond Minny couldnt score against Pitt last year and need a fake FG for a TD...

Play: Bears -2.5 -110 (3x) -3-120(1x) & Under 15.5 -108 Minnesota Team Total (3x)

Cincy @ Pittsburgh
Both teams have reasons for payback. Obviously Pitt wants to defend its home field and not hav ecincy come to there place in consecutive games and win. For Cincy they want payback for what happened to Palmer , only thing is Kimo is now a Jet.

I think Cincy has to many injuries here. All the WRs are banged up outside Kelley Washington. They have 2 banged up OL and 2 bangd up middle LB's. Those are somekey spots. Pitt's Polamu is hurtin but the defense played fairly well to date. The problem on Monday IMO was simple. Ben was rusty for obvius reasons. The bad part is the foolish Pitt staff didnt try to pound the ball or work of the run. They just put it in Ben's hands and his accuracy sucked! have to like the home team here as Cincy has played 2 teams we thought would be better but simply are not.

Pitt -2.5 -110 (3x)
Pitt ML -113(3x) & Over 41 -108 (3x)

The rest of the 1PM's:

Jaguars +7 .5 -120 (6x) & Over 42 +101 (2x) & Over 17.5 -104 Jags Team (2x)
Both teams battling injuries and I think INDYs are more severe. Losing your PK is always a dicey situation. Indy has failed to run the ball and is one dimensonal to a degree. Wasnt sure of Matt Jones status and I heard he will start now. Think Jags threw very well and Sanders out now . Game always means more to the 'dog' jags and they will show up here even after that MNF battle. They are having fun and that alwasy masks the pain...

Lions -6.5 -104 (3x)& Under GB 16.5 -107 (2x)
If Det duplicates the defensive effort vs Seattle, then GB without Green will be in trouble. This offense will killed by drops vs GB and cant see how it improves in theer first road game. The concern is the lack of LION offense but GB can be thrown on....enter Roy Williams who I think has a big day. One concern with the team total is GB passing a ton w/o a running game.....

Over 23 Miami -103 Team Total (3x) Over 35 -105 Miami (4x)

Tenny hasnt slowed anyone done yet and Miami needs to get this offense going. Both teams have offensive firepower.....

Browns +7.5 -110 (3x)

There isnt much to like about Cleveland especially with a banged up team and depleted secondary. This is about trusting in Crennel. I do think Winslows comments woke them up some . Baltimore's offense hasnt impressed me at all. Great opening drive vs TB and then zip till TB defense tired. Last week numerous chances to score when OAK was literally handing them the ball and they couldnt. I cant see backing a team laying 7 away when your relying heavily on there defense.

NYJets +6 -110 (1x)

Teaser : Jets +16 , Miami -.5 and Under 45 Bears (3x)

Thats all for now !! GL be back!

Part II: 2nd half

Over 17.5 +106 (2.5x) Miami & Tenny

Det -5 -101 (2x)

Part III: 4PM

San Fran +7 -115 (6x) & Over 42 -110 Philly (2.5x)

Seahawks (BOUGHT IT DOWN ) -2.5 -125 (7x)
Under 45 -110 Seattle (3x) played earlier in week

Rams +4.5 -104 (4x) & Over 43 -111 (4x)