Friday, November 09, 2007

NBA Comments :

Toronto -2 : This MAY be a rare occassion when the books opened this line wrong. The Sixers have battled in every game losing two games they had chances to win. WHile Tor has been FLAT since the OT loss at home to Boston. Since then getting bombed in Milw then the next night vs ORL.

Why was this line wrong? First Philly was only -4 vs Char with Felton out and +2.5 vs NJN. Now Tor already beat Philly at home laying -7 and smoked NJ at Continental Airlines catching 3 points...basically we know Tor is better then Philly and even better then NJ at this point so you would expect the Tor line to be similiar to that of the NJ @ Philly game. Philly is strong on the glass with Evans , Iggy and Dalembert. A ket to watch is Philly getting 30 Fts per while Tor only allows 20. Philly shooting %s arent very good at the moment and TOR is an offensive FUNK. To me that translates into an UNDER 188. Tor 95-90 ??

Char -1.5 : Hard to back CHAR after 2 disgusting performances. However with Ike Diougu and Daniels OUT , O'Neal , Williams and Murphy working themselves into game shape the damaged Cats have the edge at home. Felton SHOULD play but I am not certain. If he does might have to get involved in O195.

Hawks +8.5 / UND 193 : Really like A-T-L here. . Is Boston now better then DET cause they smoked Den and Wash at home , two teams who DONT play any defense?? Enter the athletic A-T-L Squad. They battled both NJ and DET on the road . UPSET Dallas and PHO at home . Losing late but leading nearly the enter way @ DET. Looks like another 95-90 game.

NYK : Tough spot for ORL 4th straight away winning the 1st three and having PHO tmrw at home (4th in 5 days). Like NY here but not crazy about it.....interested to see how both teams look matchuped on the floor. Thinking UNDER cause I had expected closer to 193 here rather then 201. Problem with that is getting NYK defensive effort out of my mind

Under 196 Suns : Miami is looking to slow the pace and 90 points seems like alot to ask. Suns offense hasnt clicked yet outside of Char turrning the ball over to much vs them. Look at prior meetings in Miami...unfortunately those totals were much higher...Think I owuld take the 8 but Miami can only contend for One half IMO....

Den -2.5 : Simply cause even playing 3rd in 4 days the Nuggets have shown flashes. Wash jumped out to a huge lead and faded rather quickly. They did manage to keep it a game late but that tough loss could wear on them here . The big three scored all the points and played 40+ minutes. Denver showed some life in the 2nd H after the embarrassing 1st H @ Boston. Arenas clearly is less then 100% .

Det -8 : Mobley is OUT , Knight is IN and Maggette & Patterson are gametime decisions. Piston starters did lay heavy minutes but they have a better bench then LAC. They also had 3 days off before yesterday and start a West Coast swing after this. DET won by 18 twice last season . Big game for DET IMO facing a 4-0 LAC team that is depleted. UND 192.5 for sure.....

Hornets +3.5 : Always like my Home dogs...had this at -2 but maybe the bad loss @ PORT inflates it.


Bucks +9 : Could be a flat spot for Houston after battles with Dallas and Houston. I am concerned cause HOU has played solid ball and MILW hasnt played well in its 2 road games...slight lean to the dog


Not sure about the later schedule though like the Kings .....

BOL

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