Preliminary Early look....

Western Michigan ML

I am BIG on playing what I deem as bad lines. In one sense I understand why this CMU team is favored but when I step back and look at the whole picture I think its a mistake. CMU has played some tough opponents and because of that I think they were somewhat undervalued against teams they were equal and slightily better then. Favored just 3 times each by 3 points. Only -3 at home vs Toledo( Cochran was out ) and No.Ill. Both easy wins but because of timing they were soft lines ( after loss @ KU and home loss vs ND State). CMU is better then these teams just NOT significantly better but -3 denotes that the difference is basically HOME FIELD advantage. So what i am saying is you got CMU cheap on those days. Last week with Edelman OUT they were just -3 to Kent St who isnt as good as WMU to begin with. They faced a QB making his first career start who happened to be a FRESHMAN! They also caught Ball State at a great time cause due to 4 startight good games by Ball State they caught 12 points !

CMU DEFENSE is BAD! Why would you lay points with a BAD defene playing on the road? Factor in home team is 9-1 last 10 in the series with CMU not winning @ WMU in quite awhile. What further creates VALUE is the fact WMU looked like SHIT @ EMU on 10/27 scoring on just a safety. Not to be lost is while they played like shit they were 6 pt road favs...so it was an UPSET.

WMU has two tough losses at home vs Ball State in the last minute and vs Akron on a kick return to end the game. WMU also has a fairly decent defense and certainly the better of the two teams. You can throw on the WMU defense though as Ball State and Akron have shown. Hiller has played well at times this season and as I said CMU defense has allowed 44 to NDTS , 32 to a freshman @ Kent State , and 70 @ Clemson.

It's funny cause just like the CMU lines seemed OFF all season so have WMU's. They have lost 3 times SU as favs to Indiana at home -1.5 , Akron at home -9.5 , @ EMU -6 . Which should tell you that WMU has NOT meet expectations and was supposed to better then they showed to date. Also the lone games they were dogged were +1 @ Toledo with Cochran starting which they rolled and PK at home vs Ball State which they lost on a TD in the final minute!

Personally I feel this should have been a PK but with WMU off such a tough loss then no one would have selected them. Remember the EMU game they simply played like shit but they werent exactly beat by EMU they beatthemselves. HUGE DIFFERENCE....."Western Michigan (3-6, 2-3) was hampered throughout the day by turnovers. The Broncos, who came in averaging more than 30 points a game, fumbled twice inside the Eastern Michigan 20, including once on the goal line. The Eagles also intercepted three passes"

3-2 game @ Half , 9-2 early 4th q...chalk it up as a bad DAY!It happens .


PLAY: Western Michigan ML...

Now this looks like an OVER but I have to wait and see cause we all know how UNDERS hit in mid week games.....GL