Sunday, November 11, 2007

NFL Sunday :

Phins +3 -120 or +125 ML:

Bills walk into this game favored for the 1st time all season. While Miami has had a week off to start over. Yes , start over. Thats what Jason Taylor was talking about. How this BYE came at the right time to put the 1st Half of the season behind them. He said something to the effect no one remembers the Phins 2 years ago starting 3-7 cause they ended 6-0 ! What I am getting expect a great effort to get that 1st WIN. The D gets Vonnie Holliday back .

Buffalo has 3 players QUESTIONABLE in J.Reed @ WR , A.Schoebel @ DE , and DiGiorgio @ LB. Having these guys at less then 100% is huge and if any miss that further hurts a depleted team. Bills owned the 4th quarter last week so that final is misleading in some ways( trailed with 6 to play and still settling for FGS with 4. ).

Game should be a PKem. Bills have shown the ability to hang with teams at home. Outside of watching NJY self destruct a few backs there road skills have be untested. If Miami doesnt beat themselves they will win.


Steelers -9.5 and Under 47:

Cleveland let it all hang out last week vs Seattle. They have some OL issues with McKinney OUT and Steinbach questionable. They havent had much of a ground game this season and they probably wont be able to run on Pitt. That means they will have to throw. While DA has been excellent this year its still PITT. Look at the PITT defense at home and go back to my Monday post. Expect 14-17 Browns points here. Cle cant stop the run at all and expect Willie Parker to open it up for Big Ben. Think Pitt gets 27-28 here as they play keep away from DA and the Browns passing attack.

Bottomline is people still dont believe in PITT!!!!

Jags +5 ( ML as well)

Haynesworth OUT

Tenny is built on defense and running the ball. Well Jax can stop the run but not the pass. So thats a huge plus. Even with Gray at QB this game is a coin flip and Jags have revenge after letting one slip away at home vs Tenny. For me more about discrediting the favorite then playing the dog...Line should be -1.5 with Garrard..look at who TEnny has beat at home Car , Atl and Oakland recently!!!

Eagles +3 or ML

Skins keeping winning by the skin of there teeth. This is the same EAGLE team that went to Minny and won 2 weeks ago. Dallas is very good and high powered offense exactly what WASH is not ! The Eagles are tough against the run and this is a must win game for them. Philly can wing it and Skins corners are banged up.

Rams +10.5 and 46 :
Key Saints defenders Grant and Young OUT! Which tells me that NO is taking this game lightily . Second it takes away alot of pressure on the Rams OL. The rams looked fine with Stephen Jackson in there two weeks ago but it was two failed 4th and 1 with Leonard that cost the game. These offense will SCORE!


Lean to :
ATL +3.5 due to the fact ATL has played better away and so has Carolina. Fortunately for ATL they are AWAY this week. Should be a DEFENSIVE battle. Panthers aredesperate for a win but Matt Moore ..?? I think he is okay but tough to envision him covering a spread ...

KC -3 cause DEN is a mess. Maybe they bounce back but Cutler and Henry are banged up. The defense with Lynch OUT is very bad. KC might not have LJ but it has a defense at least and a huge home field bias....probably OVER here...

GB-5.5 : line is sinking but think GB is heating up and Vikes outdoors?? If miiny cant run can Bollinger help them out ?? Favre vs a weak secondary whose best player has a bad hammy.....

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