Sunday, November 04, 2007

Final NFL Thoughts:

Car @ Tenny :

The Titans have not scored on offense recently. They couldnt put up points versus Oakland , Atlanta and TB no matter how good there field position was. They now have a curious situation at RB. White is now on the injury report with toe issues and is questionable. Fisher saying he should be available is NOT would I want to har as a Tenny backer. henry has beennotified he will be suspended due to a positive drug test. He can play but you never know till gametime what will happen. He will probably appeal but maybe the organiztion takes a hard stance and benches him. Unlikely but be aware . Brown has been out a few games and like White did not pratice on FRI. So facing a better then avg run defense should be a concern now for Tenny.

With Carolina they still have Steve Smith as the Ultimate weapon. maybe he takes a PUNT to the house or something. Carr has been bad and is less then 100% but its not like your asking him to win shootout. The Titans runs defense is tough. However I look at there last games and know they had 2 huge leads early negating the opponents running game. The other 3 were bad offenses in TB , ATL and OAK...not that CAR is much better but I do think they are better.

While I know Tenny is the better team I cant see a reason to lay 4 points here. I wouldnt mind seeing Matt Moore in the game if need be. Nothing better then putting a young player in position with NO EXPECTATIONS. A relief appearance would be fine with me. Its alot different then knowing your starting and having a team gameplan for you. Bottomline is how could you expect points both teams must limit mistakes. Panthers have been road warriors....

Cincy @ Buff:

Same deal here as stated before. With LB issues teams should be able to run the ball on Cincy. With Losman you have the deep ball ability back into the game. I would think both teams find ways to score facing defenses that are worse then they appear. Dallas didnt struggle throwing the ball versus BUF when Romo was throwing to his guys. The OVER 43 seems enticing even with most BUF home games in the mid 30s. No way I take Cincy as road chalk....what I dont like is that BUF defense cant be expected to stop Cincy so they must score to compete....Bills or pass

Den @ Det :
John Lynch's status is key for me. I dont think either defense can stop the offenses. It's real shocking how bad DEN's is and there offense can move the ball but always sputters at the wrong times. Right now I am still not a believer in DET ...Chi and TB who? So like the points and the over ...doe sthe fade DET of a win as a dog now favored rule apply ??? I dont get the negative comments about Cutler he definetly looks fine when I see him. They have no playmakers on offense but he makes plays....

GB @ KC :

Feel like KC continues to improve with LJ and Bowe playing much better. GB SHOULD have lost that game but DEN played for a TIE!! The KC defense is much better then Denvers and will present a problem. Ryan Grant wont look as good . Great situational angle with KC off a BYE playing the SU winner on MNF! Just se KC as the better team. Huard has been okay since last year when he just has to manage a game. healthy Holmes and LJ plus two options in the passing game. Only concern is Rayner kicking but maybe he wants to show GB something...

Jax @ NO :

Last week I saw the value in Jax. Here I dont. If you saw the Colts and TB games you realize the Jags weakness is pass defense( even Houston game). Well Brees has played well 3 straight games and they shredded SF secondary last week. Saints can stop the run and that means you depend on Gray to keep drives alive and make plays. Saints are HOT and think it continues here....they were terrible 1st 3 games but should have won 4 straight..

SD @ Minny:
Phillips and Jammer are gametime decisions which could level the playing field some. Minny will be w/o Troy Williamson , start Tavaris Jackson cause Holcomb is OUT , possibly be w/o there best corner Antonie Winfield though safety Dwight Smith will return. You can throw the ball on SD but thats not something Minny does well especially with homerun threat Williamson out. Minny is stout versus the run but SD would be wise to just utilize LT more in the passing game. Travel is tough on SD with the early start. I just love what Chambers adds to the offense. SD looked great on offense last week in the 1st Half. The only way Minny covers is to find away to score and we know AP is threat but these RUN defense are tough. Lean towards the over and would only tease SD down or play the ML...I would hate to be a sucker!

SF @ ATL :

Why would one see value in SF? There QB is hurt , there stud RB is battling ankle injuries , DJ has been quiet and is returning from injury. There secondary looked horrible last week vs NO. How is SF competing here especially with the early start? ATL is off a BYE facing a team flying cross country!! Falcons had played well before the Giant game at home....they are simple in a better position to win this game being home.....I think since Manny Lawson went down so did the level of play on defense , now add Walt Harris to the list. The Falcons have questions with Crumpler being doubtful and OL issues...
If SF cant win at home why on the road??


Wash @ NYJ:
Simply cant see how WASH is favored by 3.5. Yes , the Jets stink but they are in every game! Clemens should be an upgrade but dont like Coles being OUT. However if Mangini is wise he starts Brad Smith cause the dropoff isnt as wide with McCareins. The Skins lost Carlos Rogers weakening severlythere best asset. Now a banged up Smoot and Springs will start. Look how bad the offense has been recently and you feel comfortable laying points? Clemens almost won in BALT and I think having a new young QB gives a team something to play for.....Skins have shown no improvement this season. Remember they needed OT to win vs Miami at home! People thinking WASH is good just isnt accurate.....they arent much better then NYJ..

Ari @ TB :

Actually the Cards are one of my favorite dogs. Early on the TB defense looked like days of old but injuries continueto rob them off peak performance. Brian kelly , Greg Spires and nickel Torry Cox....remember a few weeks back how badly they struggled with Tenny then last week vs Jax....cards have become a live dog....they have the offenseive weapons and TB doesnt have much of a pass rush. The TB running game is so-so. Clayton a good blocker is OUT , the OL hasnt been the same , Bennett is questionable, Pittman probably out another week...

4 PM:


Oakland tends to be an automatic fade as a favorite. However HOU might be that bad. The switch back to McCown could help the offense or the aful play of HOU defense lately could ! Schaub is OUT and while Rosenfals is solid he isnt as good as Schaub. The RB situation is a mystery though Green should play. Daniels and Andre Davis were banged up last week. Andre Johnson is tsill out. raiders suck as favs but they at least could have won the past 3 games.....see no reason to play HOU here..

Of course I want to play the COLTS. However w/o marvin Harrison I cant. See NE is a well oil machined and you need the same quality machine to go up against it. With Harrision OUT I question the Colts WR. THE NE defense is getting healthy and INDYs is all banged up. I hate to say it but Pats by a TD.They are getting better each week and I think Colts have some yet undiscovered flaws.....Pats looked okay until the DAL game since they have grown stronger. This is one game where you cant say NE laying 6 means 13 points at Foxboro...its not like that all the time. Not a good rational IMO. If Marvin Harrison were 100% I would be on it. Probably just watch and see if my expectations of NE by 7-10 come through...you know Belichek wants to cover and hardly say shit like that. He is making a statement though no doubt! Again comments about BOOKS getting killed on NE are UNTRUE! Every SUND its the same shit. people think lines to high and take it down a 1 pt or so...

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