SAT THOUGHTS

A Nice windy and rainy( just kidding) Saturday afternoon down the Jersey Shore has left me with a decent amount of time. Last nite was awesome...watching the DBacks win that game in the 15 th inning to a cap of a near perfect nite was well awesome.


YTD UPDATE: Tuesday thru FRIDAY

(10units) xxx
(7units) 5-0 +35.7
(5units) 5-1-1 +19.45
(3units) 8-4 +10.02
(1unit) 18-18 +1.12

Nice 18-5-1 record on the 'big' plays +65.17 and 18-18 +1.12 record on the 'small' ones.........Thats +66 units in four days most people would be estatic about that type performance over a season! Even an 18-4 NITE alone speaks for itself!


August 25th

Indians +110 (unit) Win 4-2
Under 5 First 5 INN DET-CLE -117 (unit) Loss , 4-2 after 5 innings
Under 8.5 -120 Pitt-Hou(unit) Win , Houston wins 5-1
Under9.5 -130 Philly and NYM (unit) Win , Phills 4-3
Orioles -170 (unit) Win 4-0Under 10 -123
Balt-tb (5units) Win , 4-0
Over 9.5 -120 Wash and Atl(unit) Win , Wash 7-6
Marlins -118 (unit) Win 6-5 , -1.5 runs +183(unit)loss. won 6-5 , First 5 INN -116 (unit)Win , lead 6-5 after 5 innings
Under 5 -102 First 5 INN StL-ChiC(unit) Win , 2-0 after 5 innings

Pre Season NFL
NYG -4.5 -106 (3units) Win , NYG 13-7
Eagles -3-105 (3units) Win , PHI 16-7
Vikes -2.5 -105 (unit) Win , Min 30-7
Rangers +110 (unit) loss 9-3(liked the over too!!)
Over 9.5 -106 Min and ChiW(unit) loss , 5-4
Rockies -151 (5units) Won 13-5
Diamondbacks +110 (7units) Won 9-7, ARL +208 (unit) won 9-7 & over 9 -125(3units) Won
Giants -108 (3units) Won 4-1
Under 5 -115 First 5 Innings Seattle(unit) won , 2-0 after 5 innings

FRI RECAP: 18-4 +37.65

(7unit) 1-0 (+7.7)
(5unit) 2-0 (+10.)
(3unit) 4-0 (+12.)
(1unit) 11-4 (+7.95)


Early starts:

Braves -219 (2units)

Smoltz has been extremely tough at home and compared toother hoime startsvs WASH he is cheap here. Astacio really struggling on the road.

Would be a 3 unit play if the chalk wasnt so high

Cubs +1.5 runs +107 (unit)

Worth a shot. STL struggles against LH lately and Hill has to turn in a solid away start sooner or later. Carpenter for as good as he has been at home still just 8-4 in 12 starts.

Working on the 4 PM starts!

4:05 PM

Giants -111(3units) & Over 8.5 -116 (5units)

Lets see some over trends for you :
Cincy 22-14 OVER vs LHP
SFG 7-3 OVER Last 10 Day games
Arroyo 3-4 4.71 DAy
Lowry 1-3 5.54 Day ( 5 of 6 starts over)
Wind 0-10 MPH @ SF the over is 13-2(supposedly no wind right now)
SFG 28-13 OVER day


Laz Diaz 17-9 UNDER but because IMO the pens have excelled in his games just 1.67 runs allowed by them in his games and 1.52 runs in the 7th thru 9th innings when he calls a game. A big reason why his runs per is just 8.11 per.


Riding the SFG cause IMO they have the better SP going now. Lowry stinks in the day but has gone 8 1/3 , 9 and 9 in three of his past 4. Cincy just 22-31 in day games but has dropped 14 of there last 19 starts. Dont expect a strong performance as recent starts from Lowry but I think he gets some run support here to work with.

Small adds:

Over 5.5 +103 LAA and NYY First 5 Inn(unit)
LAA -103 (unit)
Over 5 +106 Toronto First 5 Inn (unit)

4:35 PM

Under 9 +101 Baltimore and TB(3units)

Really not going to try and explain this. Just look at my post from yesterday concerning the Rays lack of offense on the road and see that Baldelli looks doubtful. The biggest concern is that for some reason Bedard has been shitty twice at Camden vs TB as compared to the other near gems he has thrown. Shields has strung together a few solid outings and is ahead of Hammel at this point and he did nicely yesterday.

6PM's and NFL
Bills -3-120 9unit)

Chargers -3.5 -104 (unit)

Jags -3.5 -106 (3units)

Rams +3 -108 (3units)

Was thinking hard about FLA but passing on it.

Tonite:

Rangers -111 (5units)

Personally I feel that you get TEX real cheap here . In the past Blanton has been okay at Arlington but still usually around +130 or +140. The guys has greatly improved on teh road but still I dont trust him much and he doesnt give you more then 6 innings most nites...which can be key with Houston Street OUT depleting the pen. Eaton deoesnt have a large body of work to go off but he has been fairly decent IMO. Had to jump on this as the line got pounded down. Always a coin flip when these 2 play and I get to gamble with the home team for even money .

White Sox+129 (2units)

Under 9 DET & CLE -103( 2units)

Indians even(2units)

Under 9.5 Sea & Bos +105(unit)