Sunday, September 24, 2006

Sunday Nite TV games (MLB & NFL)


StLouis Cardinals +183 (5x) & +1.5 RL -135 (2x)

Weaver is 4-1 away (4-3team) 3.96 ERA away facing Clemens 3-3 (4-6) 2.70ERA. Now IMO Clemens has struggled past 2 starts or labored might be the word.....5 innings and 100 pithces followed by 107 pitches and 6 innings and now the old guy is trying to give something to the Houston fans vby volunterringto pitch the home finale on 3 days rest. With the short rtest and injury problems yo have to think you are payinga premiun for his last home start and getting a less tehn 100% Rocket in return.

he is only 5-5 in 10 starts versus StL but 4-2 at home. In 6 home starts he lasted only 35 innings and lets face it both pens have been a mess. Its scary to think Weaver has the better chance of pitching deeper into the game. On July 8th of this season Clemens faced Anthony Reyes laying only -127!!! See the adjustment for this last game BS. Reyes is not 60 cents better then Weaver and problem isnt better on the road then Weaver.

Now I will aadmit since that day STL has stunk on the road something like 7-23 L30 away but still quite an adjustment. When has STL ever been this big a DOG? Once this year above 175 and twice ast 3 seasons!

One crazy trend is STL losing late in games. They have lost 4 in a row all in the 8th or 9th innings and dropped 5 of 6(also in the 9th)...4 1run losses!!

Against RHP Hou only 56-63(.255) while StL 58-41(.272BA)

All season Weaver has been clearly better away even as an Angel 4.37ERA both teams.

Clemens usually struggles to get run support as well....

Played based heavily on price.

Broncos +7 -110 (6x) ML +252 (.75x) Under 38-104 (2x)

We all understand how Brady wasnt this game but he is lacking playmakers in the receiving game. As well as probably getting his toughest defense.

I just dont see how two teams basically equal and use last years spreda to figure that out...3 points on a home field mean PK on a neutral usually....

So what has changed that NE is clearly 3 or 4 points better on a neutral field. I dont see what has.

As I said Denver has yet to allow a TD on defense and is tested playing 2 solid defenses already...yes the STL defense is solid!

Expect a close game that if NE doesnt get the breaks will struggle to win...



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