Monday, November 26, 2007

What a great game to watch last night . I have to admit I really didn't see that coming. More so from the offensive standpoint though. I did think while Philly had some issues on defense if they hit hard( make NE know your there) and did not allow huge , quick passing plays they could make NE work for there points. I thought NE would be around 35 points but my concern was the Philly offense(10pts maybe?). I never thought Feeley could play so well. He made two huge mistakes that cost the game. The bright side is without his excellent play it never would have been a game.

It goes back to NE being a well oil machine and the rest of the league always trying to make something out of nothing. Like why throw that pass in the end zone ? You score you allow to much time for the NE offense. Why not continue to keep it small and grind it out? That's because most coaches and players get "lost" of situational play while the game is going on. The PATS simply do not. NE has played 5 opponents with defenses that hit hard enough to disrupt NE offense. SD , Dallas , Philly , Indy and maybe Cle. The Browns if not for bad turnovers played them MUCH closer then the final score. Think about Dallas led in the 3rd quarter but there secondary couldn't get it done , Indy led to start the 4th q , SD was never in it and Philly led in the 4th Q. NE will DESTROY inferior opponents but they are far from invincible. Plus you have the added motivation of being 3 TD Underdogs now...I think if Heap plays the Ravens if there defense is healthy can do the same. By the same I mean compete with NE....



MNF:

What a MNF game. The injury list is over flowing for these teams. The WEATHER sucks and Heinz Field not a great field to begin with is hosting its 3rd game since Friday night. They have put down new sod but it may be a moot point due to the rain , though the field is covered. We know Pitt will be minus two key players but in general there level of play should not drop much here. They pitched a shutout vs SEA @ home with there all-pro safety out and Holmes absence limits the er ability to stretch the field.

Miami :
1) John Beck starts @ QB in his 2nd career start on MNF no less...( more pressure and jitters). Last week he was 9 of 22 with 109 yds passing. The Phins had ONLY 8 plays of 10+ yards on offense and TWO of 20 + yds. They were 1 for 7 passing on 3rd down and 0 for 3 running for it. Beck did manage to gain 3 yds for a 1st Down on 3rd down early in the game( so 2 of 11). They clearly seem to have a tough time making plays on offense and Chatman who had 3 of the 10+ yd plays is OUT. Also Chatman a big back couldn't get short yardage 3rd downs on the ground so that is another era they will suffer.

2) Ronnie Brown done for the season was capably replaced by Jesse Chatman who will be absent tonight. That leaves Samkon Gado and former stud Ricky Williams who has not played in awhile and who hasn't been hit in how long?? Practiced one whole week with a new offensive system....just doesn't seem to be any positive in this situation. Especially cause there seem to be some expectations for Ricky Williams here cause he may get 20 touches....remember when Testaverde came in off the streets...there were NO EXPECTATIONS and he performed fairly well. That's a key difference.

3) Another LB done in Derrick Pope?? He did make the walk through yesterday and is in PITT supposedly. For the most part the Miami defense has held it together past 3 weeks though can you find 3 more struggling offenses then NYG , Buffalo and Philly having Donovan throw 2 costly picks only to be replaced by a QB who hadn't played this year.

4) With Miami WINLESS and a new young QB they will be trying very hard every week to WIN....

5) While the Miami defense played well...did it really ?? I didn't see the game last week. having three INTs inside Miami's 30 cost the Philly offense anywhere between 9 and 21 points ....on top of the 17 they scored....the second half Philly scored twice in four possessions. The last possession they basically up 10 pts milked the clock for 6 + minutes and gave Miami one final play....so they did what they had despite the boxscoe maybe not showing it...

6} While Pitt has smoked Balt , SF , and Buffalo at home while pitching a shutout vs Seattle people still seem to miss how good there defense can be. Yes they scored alot of points versus Balt but ONLY cause the Ravens offense is gross with McNair at QB and they had short after short field that day.....the browns managed a TD on the opening drive but little afterwards. The had a punt return for a TD , a kick return to the 5 yd line or so and INT deep in there own territory starting CLE at the 18 yd line...so keeping Ginn shut down is a key ...Teams in general though struggle to move the ball on vs the Pitt defense w/o help...The Cle game came after the brutal hitting Balt MNF game and after road games @ Denver and Cincy..so Pitt looked beat up heading into Cle and after surviving that game were flat @ NYJ who after all they were big favs over...

I dont think Pitt plays to its opponent as much as it just has a huge difference in play at home versus the road....they lost games late @ Denver , @ Arizona and @ NYJ...I wouldn't say they were beaten but they did lose.....


Now we have Pitt off a bad road loss on TV again. Monday Night has been good to them...I would say they have something to prove after the Jets loss and even NE struggle last night. The key though is the awful weather( and possible shit field conditions) that could neutralize alot of there dominance. How will Miami score ?? Last week they had a punt return and Ginn is dangerous and Pitt has shown special teams can be soft at times. They also had 4 shots at the 1 yd line and couldn't score....remember that AJ Feeley has long been in the Philly system and done this before...been great in relief of McNabb due to injury...John Beck doesn't fit that mold...so dont compare last night to here.....

I think Pitt should win 27-3 maybe 27-10...

Alot of points (-16) but I just didn't see anything from Miami last week to like them here. I was on SF cause they showed improvement vs STL falling basically a play short while showing there defense was still playing hard. They have an inconsistent offense which turns the ball over to much and settles for FGS often on long drives. There defense while solid is not a shut down defense....Pitts can be...Think about this the same Buffalo team that went down to Miami was blasted in Pitt as 10 pt dogs...at this point with Beck starting and Chatman OUT the Bills are probably a TD better on a neutral field( they were short favs in Miami) so now does -16 seem all that high.....???

If Pitt plays there "a" game and doesn't make mistakes they should easily cover the huge number.....one thing that NFL has taught me this year is that bad teams are bad this year week in and week out....



Right now all that is holding me back from Pitt is the weather and the playing field....if it was a normal day out I would be on the Steelers already...however the weather and field conditions are an unknown that can hurt Pitts ability to perform at peak performance and that's what you want when you have a big number..

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