Saturday, October 06, 2007

Right now for NCAAF I have ...

Wyoming -2.5 -120
Houston +10.5
Under 54 Texas ( Under 28 1st H )
Mid Tenn State +10.5
Florida Atlantic +17
Over 60 BC
Duke +7.5
Kansas +4 & 1st H Under 27.5 -115
Cent Mich +13
Zona +3.5 -120
Over 63 Arizona State @ Wash State
USC -21.5 even 1st Half


4team Parlay: GaTech ML , Georgia -1.5 , Ohio State -7 & Mich State -16.5


With Wyoming simply feel TCU is overrated and there offense struggles at tough road venues. Due to altitude Wyoming is a tough place to play.

With Houston feel that Bama is offensively challenged to a degree and the Cougars play better then expected after last weeks home loss. A Bama win but by a TD...

Recent Texas / Oklahoma games have been low scoring. Texas offense is messed up and McCoy is banged up. We know about the OU defense but there offense faces an under the radar UT defense .Lets say 31-14 game.....Oklahoma will be ready after the upset in COL....

Mid Tenn State cause they have been solid at home facing a notoriously poor road team. The UVA win versus Pitt is smoke and mirrors as the young QB Pitt played certainly feed UVA's momentum early. Just feel that UVA isnt as good as last weeks final which inflates the line here ...

Florida Atlantic is a little scary but not sold on USF offense. They didnt show much vs WVU last week. FAU should be able to score some points at home...figure 31-14 type game...as I think USF success is due to its defense...

The parlay is simply think GT veteran defense and ground game will limit Marylands offense no matter who starts at QB , Tenny doesnt seem to be as good as there home scores might indicate. The Bulldogs are proven on the road .. , and I thought Ohio State and Mich State opened soft. Nwestern looked pitiful at Ohio State and Mich State is improving.

The Over 60 with Boston College is tricky. I admit the total being pressed up a few points opened my eyes to this. Both QBs can sling it and both defenses pass defenses are its weaker points. Feel that regardless of the point spread BC cracks 40 and BG cracks 20...Also some defensive injuries for both...deciding if I play the 1st H over , the game over or gamble and wait till halftime to play it...

LEANS: Ill -2.5 , Indiana -13.5 , Under 52 Ill / Wisconsin , 1st Half Under Kansas , LaTech +13 , Temple ML , Over 68 Ball State

GOOD LUCK....

2nd Half thoughts:


GaTech -3 think they shot themselves in the foot on both sides of the ball and we wont see that again in the 2nd H.

Fucked around with small plays on Ill , Nwestern , Kansas ..usually my undoing...BOL

Now in the afternoon games I have to say I am scared about the Oklahoma total now at 56 with me on both the game Under and 1st H under....oh by the way I will be pissed if the Kansas game goes UNDER after losing the 1st H by the HOOK with 3 straight possession TDS in the final 11 minutes before HALF!!!Still considering Georgia and already playing Flordia Atlantic in the USF letdown spot..thats all for the moment


MLB Playoffs....

Personally I just cant condone anything in game 1 ...the line says take Chi -190 and Over 10....I do like Chi but at 10 runs technically I really like the UNDER. However when lines are inflated at Wrigley there tends to mean the ball will be flying out of there and with a contact pitcher like Livan out there...oh boy...Hill has been solid and was nasty last outing . What I do suggest is not playing the Cubs -1.5 though...a sucker bet to me here....if you like Zona settle for +1.5 RL rather then ML IMHO......

Be back with more CFB...for 2nd Players I like Over 28.5 Wash State as te pace picked up before half and we get the discounted line...and Zona -1.5 or +3 whatever you prefer...everything went Ore State way till the late pick 6 which should change the momentum for the 2nd H


Not sure about anymore at this point.....really like ECU +3.5 but waiting till halftime. Lean towards Rutgers...I mean Maryland -18 then Cincy -3.5...your gonna tell me Cincy is clearly better then Maryland...and by 2 TDS..?? Ohio State and Fla also intrigue me but the UNDER @ LSU leads the way as my most likely lean...gl

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