Wednesday, November 15, 2006

NBA Thoughts on Wednesday Nov . 15th

Plays ~
Cavs -11.5 -110 (4x) WIN

Under 105 -108 1st Half Orlando (4x) WIN
Under 194 -110 Indiana (5x) LOSS

Under 197.5 -105 NJN (3x) WIN
Knicks +3.5 -110 (3x) +135 ML (1x) WIN(s)
Under 189 -110 Det (5x) LOSS
Pistons -7.5 -111 (3x)
LOSS
Spurs -11.5 -108 (3x) Spurs -11 -110 (1x)LOSS
Under 188.5 Spurs (7x) WIN
Kings -8 -110 (5x)
Philly +4.5 -105 (5x) ML +175 (1.5x)


ML Parlay (6x) pays 6.13 Loss
Kings -385 , SPurs -900 , Pistons -340 , Cavs -865


1st halfs-
Over 90.5 -122 Cavs (1.5x) Win
Over 103.5 Wiz -118 (1.5x) Loss
Det -4 -113 (1.5x) Loss

2nd half
Magic ML -205 (2x) WIN
-Have this game middle Orl -3 and Nuggets +5.5 as well....
Over 106.5 -114 Wiz (1x) LOSS
Boston ML +114 (2x)
WIN
Under 99 -111 NJ (2x)
WIN
Det -8 -105 (1x)
WIN
Over 94 -115 SA (3x) WIN
-hate the way the 1st H ended way to much offense
Under 91 -102 Sac(2x)

NCAAB -(real slow start this season)
Vandy -1 -111 (4x) Loss
BYU +12.5 -110 (3x)

Team Totals




NYK over 104.5 -115 (2x)Loss

Philly over 102.5 -112 (2.5x)

Under 88 -104 Char (1x) Loss

Over 99.5 -118 cavs (1x)Win

Under 90 -105 NO (1x)Loss

Over 93 -108 Kings (1x) Win

Under 84.5 Mem -109(1x) Loss



Comments to follow..

Portland @ Cleveland - The Cavs have owned portland last few meetings. Right now the offense in Portland is Zach Randolph there really isnt much of a second option. This leds to alot of teams pulling away in the 2nd Half. Cavs righted the ship in NY after a sloppy game vs Boston. Although CLE has been up and down this year you would expect a better effort and focus after the last home game here. Blazers played in Minny last nite and were blown out from the start. Damon Jones finally got on track in NY and hopefully that continues. Who will cover King James? Thinking 105 -90 game. Cavs must hit there FT's!!

Denver @ Orl - With all the talk on ORL even I saw value last nite when it was -3 -110. After playing it I figured we see -3.5 maybe -4 but no way -5. Really shows how FLAT DENVER is expected to be . To be honest I like ORL to win but would NEVER lay this spread so I will middle my -3 with +5.5. Orla wants to play half court basketball and while they have scored alot at home how long can they shot 54 %? They dont even average 70 shots per game at home. Denver is Anthony and some inconsistent players on offense in JR Smith , AndreMiller , Lil Earl Boykins and Marcus Camby. Just expect a much slower pace then expected cause thats ORL style.

Ind @ Bos - Had liked BOS cause of how well they play vs IND at home winning 7 of 10. Now this is the highest total in 10 meetings bewteen teh clubs many which played UNDER . Underdog is 12-2 ATS and UNDER is 9-3 past 12 meetings.

Milw @ NJN - I really want to play NJ here who is playing 4th in 6 nites against Bucks on b to b. Villaneuva is OUT and this team lacks depth to begin with especially offensively. With RJ out the NJ defense suffered vs Seattle. Would love to take NJ here but hate fading teams missing stars only means more shots for Redd....

Wash @ NYK- Wiz dont play much defense and NY doesnt either. How NY is the dog. Wiz could light it up from 3 point land since NY cant seem to defend the long ball. However WAS does lack a post presence and this should be extremely helpful to NYK defensively. I think they finally get that home win here. There bench is playing very well it just need Marbury to come out of his shell which Steve Francis supposely spoke to Starbury about.

NO @ Det - Peja get sback on the court quickly after his career performance. I am sure that makes him hapy. However with West OUT the offense doesnt have much to speak of especially playing in DET....and Chandler is also out

Char @ SA - I think Bobcats struggle to score here. Its well known how poor SA is ATS on back to backs but thats why this line is only -12 IMO. SA has handled Charlotte in the past and both are off back to backs. This has 99-84 written on it

Memphis @ Sac - Right now grizz hitting just 39% away from the field and Sac allwoing slightly better then 40%! Hard to believe Memphis can crack 85 points and tehy have been handled there last 2 road games until they forged huge 4th quarter comebacks...

Philly @ Seattle - The Sonics defied odds winning ATS in all 5 games on a East Coast trip. They have just the 1 day off from that week long trip and have been a busy team. Phillyhasnt played since Sunday and has a history of playing well in Seattle going 5-0 ATS and 401 SU last 5 years. Think this is a tough spot for Seattle and Philly being rested certainly helps.








1 comment:

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