Saturday, August 19, 2006

Saturday 's Thoughts

First things first a very solid Friday considering at the beginning of the day there wasnt much catching my eye. Hard work pays off!!

How bout MY Yankees.....never ever expected a DH sweep!

Cubbies -125(strong)

The Cubs as I mentioned on Friday have for whatever reason played extremely well against Chi this season . Before Friday's loss they had swept a 3 and 4 game set @ Wrigley this year. Now the have there ace on the hill who has defeated StL 4 consecutive starts in Wrigley and 5 of 6 . On the flip you have Suppan who has pitched some solid road games recently but ultimately ahs a 7.16 ROAD ERA And WHip approaching 1.90!!!! StL still must continue to prove to me they are going to be a consistent offense.


Under 5.5 -106(now -113) First 5 Innings NYY and Boston (also Under 10 NY +106) (strong)


Seems that over nite many people had teh same idea as me taking the Over 10 to a higher prcie while driving the under 5.5 First 5 to a higher price!!

Lets be honest here these teams HAVE to be SLUGGISH after this horrific DH! They just set a ML record for how long the game lasted!!! These guys will be flat and they only have to face Randy Johnson and Josh Beckett....no big deal, right?? Beckett's transition to the AL hasnt be smooth but he has been sharp in his day starts and guess what 1 PM start!!! RJ has been fairly solid recently the problem is he when he is OFF he is AWFUL. Boston has struggled some vs LHP this year and RJ hasnt been to bad vs them in his NYY career. I expect both lineups to be flat , all scored out and see 2 strong pitching performances. Now I prefer the 1st 5 Inning play oinstead of the Under 10 game total only cause of the TAXED pens(still will playit small).

Orioles -116 (strong)

Well I am disappointed in my decisions to pass on the Orioles and Braves today so hopefully this isnt some subconcious makeup call. Cabrera is always much better at Camden and IMO has had some success against the Jays in his career including this year. Marcum has failed to show me he is prepared to pitch in an opposing stadium and even so at this point he is just a 6 inning guy at BEST!

Pirates +125 and ARL +192(medium)

Malhom has turned the corner past 10 starts or so and has a good track record versus the Reds. Milton is basically in the same boat but in this situation I prefer to ride the dog.... basically a coin flip. Think this si and under but staying off


Under 8.5 -111 SD and Arizona (alsolike First 5 Innings here)

Hensley and VArgas both have had limited success against the opposing squads and I think both SP prefer these situations....VArgas on the road and Hensley at Petco. Sd has been sluggish offensively and I think its worth a shot although a minor one.

Also looking at NYY , Arizona , Over Toronto and BAlt in the Day. At nite still work to do with Minny , SFG and Colorado coming to mind!

NFL Preseason

Packers -3 +105 or ML -145(medium to strong)

One of those games like the Browns tonite where being home is an edge that goes unnoticed. GB has something to prove IMO and like CHI did tonite I think its the Cheeseheads turn.

Again much time and work to do! Good Luck

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

good luck sportnut. I have my family blog here.. good stuff to use.. feel free to stop by my sports betting forum that has been running for the last 3 years.. www.TheFBZ.com

Craig

SportsNut {Mike} said...

Thanks Craig. I will check it out sometime this weekend.