Thursday, August 17, 2006

Friday's Thoughts

Well looking back it appears to be a successful Thursday, how bout those New York 'FOOTBALL' Giants.....17-0 maybe it was just that easy afterall/

Well my Yankees have a doubleheader in Boston today and it has me worried. Looking at Wang he has had a tremendous amount of succes at that Stadium but that really hasnt translated into consistency away from home. Looking back in 12 road starts he had only 3 real good starts to speak of: back in April when the Twins stunk he pitched very well there , then he pitched that great game in Washington but lost on Zimmerman's walkoff HR and lastily recently he pitched a gem down in TB. Otherwise the Yanks have dropped 7 of his 12 road starts and he hasnt won at Fenway yet in 3 starts. The kid is 9-2 2.97 (1.13 WHIP) @ Yankee Stadium but 4-3 in 12 road starts with a 5.16 ERA and 1.60 (yikes) WHIP! Thanks to great run support (nearly 7 per) he has won 7 of his 9 day starts but his ERA is 4.47 compared to 3.54 @ nite. Then his last 2 starts are of the 5 inning variety and he has allowed 9 runs in 10 .1 innings but 20 HITS!

Then Jason Johnson......could he pitch any worse in 2006??? The numbers are so bad they shouldnt even be spoken outloud!! Then he is 2-9 (2-12 when he starts) in his career versus NYY!!! The sad part are the numbers are respectable versus them 4.29 ERA and .271 BAA!! This season I have to cover my eyes when I look at his season 3-11(5-13 when he starts) , 6.26 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. FEnway has never been good to him either.

While I am seriously concerned about my NYY here I think its better to just sit back and watch here. It's amatter of 2 SP who might not be around long today and aprice , well a price that says please take the money and play Boston cause the NYY are absurdly high @ Fenway IMO.

Over 6 -117 First 5 Innings (small)

Cubs +105 (small)
This is one of those things in my head . You look and see Chicago is seven for seven at home versus SL this year and 10-3 overall. Huge rivalary and Marquis has been abused over his past 3 starts failing to get run support and failing to stop anyone from scoring(outscored 25-4 L3). Marquis has struggled all season versus Chicago and failed to win @ Wrigley in limited starts. To Maquis credit is he has been solid in day starts 6-3 3.88ERA this yr. For Marmol he has managed to pitch fairly well outside of one horrific 1st inning versus Zona in his last home start... 4runs in 6 , 1 run in 6 and 1 run in 6 1/3 innings and 3 runs (2earned) vs StL then the 7 spot in 5 innings against Zona. Edmonds will probably be once again on the pine. With thatthey are very limited offensively Pujols , Rolen , Duncan and ???

Marquis is 1-5 with a 6.18 ERA in 7 2nd Half starts. This yr versus ChiC
14.2 INN 23 hits 18runs 12ER 3Hr 8BB 8K 7.36ERA 2.11WHIP .359BAA . At Wrigley only 3 starts all losses though, spanning 15 innings , 22hits , 12 runs (9er)!! The real key here is Marquis best numbers seem to be when he starts under the sun....my biggest concern right now!

NFL Preseason
Bills -3.5 -104(try to play it at -3 though) (medium to strong)

To me the preseason is mainly about competiton and depth. Well Buffalo has a nice QB competition going and Cincy has journeyman Doug Johnson and Anthony Wright at the helm....


Lackluster start guess I should have just went with the game total in Boston and yes they were begging for Boston money!



Night time:

Really cant chat much about these as I short on time:

Giants -118 (medium)

Rangers -104 (medium)

Schidmt has four solid starts vs LAD this year but has yet to record a win or lead his team to a win . Penny is no slouch but that also gets you a cheaper price.

Millwood has been excellent on the road and DET barely escaped with a win yesterday thanks to Zumaya.


(small to medium)

Pirates +113 or First 5 Innings +112

Snell like Millwood has been excellent away this year and Cincy's bats are struggling. They face a LHP and that is scary (7-32) but Michalak has alot to prove, the journeyman cant rest on one solid start versus a predominantly LH lineup. If the pirates pen which blew 2 wins in MILW scares ya start with the First 5 Innings.

Red Sox -127

Lester has shown the ability to pitch out of a jams and Ponson hasnt shown much of anything as a Yankee. Certainly he doesnt pitch well in Boston or versus the Sox in his career.

Under 9 -123 Colorado and NYM(only at 9)

Both Traschel and Kim pitching fairly well past few starts and these teams have dependable pens.

Brewers -104

Ohka has had his troubles but neither Backe or the Astros should be a PKem to a divisional rival on the road imo.

This will have started already but also liked game #1 in KC the UNder 10 runs.

(Real small)

Three sides:

Indians -1.5 runs -102

Royals +145

Mets -1.5 runs +153


Over 6 First 5 Innings Boston -117

Under 10 -112 Pitt

Under 9 +101 Milwuakee


NFL
Bills -3.5 -112 (strong)

Browns -3 +102 (medium)

Bears -4 -110 (small)


Be cautious do your due diligence cause I was real short on time and even I know I must have taken short cuts!!

1 comment:

SportsNut {Mike} said...

Sorry Q, Was only speaking about the 1st Game. Looking at taking Boston +130 , a small value play on the ARL and the over 1st 5 innings in that matchup. (Wang vs JJ)