NCAAF :


Akron travels to Miami - Ohio. Looking at this line can't see why Miami-Ohio is such big favs. Last game they couldnt cover -6.5 versus Buffalo who is a shade worse then Akron( despite defeating Akron). Akron has had struggles on the road scoring and there defense has been fairly poor. Not a good sign. On the other hand what has Miami Ohio done at home ? Sneak by Syracuse 17-14 blowout a bad Bowling Green team that they were actually home dogs versus , hang on vs Buffalo due to some quick , long TDs? Besides there poor road play what scares me about Miami Ohio is this is there 3rd game in 2 weeks and second game since Miami played there last. At home Miami has actually stopped the run 2.8 YPC which means the passing duo( QB and stud WR) must get it done @ Akron . Since I should have trusted my 'capping' yesterday and played ball State cause the line was way short opened -5.5 should have been at least -8.5 ...today I think we should have seen something like -5 and we opened at -9....now 7.5.....


NBA:

Indiana @ Wash : Last game Arenas seemed to focus on getting his teammates involved rather then try and dominant when he doesnt feel right. That 's a good sign and really why Deshawn Stevenson doesnt get an expanded role in the offense I'll never know. Since Ike Diogu has gone down INDY has looked like carp and gone 0-4 , nmere coicidence ?? Since the opener Indy has returned Murphy and S.Williams. Just like the opener we should see a TON of FT attempts and 3 PT attempts. It's hard to say but playing on REST right now could be huge for WASH. They had rest @ NJ and came out on fire and played well @ ATL . Now Boston is a world beater right now and despite some rest it was off an OT opener. Would have expected -4.5 here so based on a fat line I have to lean Indy but think WASH wins.

Char @ AtL: The Bobcats knocked down some jumpers last night and smoked Miami. Here we have two teams who tend to get low 70 something shots per game and about low 20 Ft attempts. So expecting 94-88 type game....1st H Under and Under 188....however what I am thinking is Charlotte finally got the offense going last night and it may carry over....thats holding me back..

NJ @ Boston : Like Bostons defense to date but there offense sputtered some last nite. Real low total but I dont think NJ cracks 85 here and not sure Bos covers...

Seattle @ Miami : Could be real interesting if Swift and Kurt Thomas are OUT . That would leave COllison at center to guard SHAQ...Ridinour also gametime decision putting West or Watson at the point. SEA has depth but would need alot from Durant , Green and Wally Z here....Have to think after yesterdat that even Miami gets a 100 pts here so thinking over but cant lay -6 with this team no matter how bad Seattle looked yesterday...

Memphis @ Milw: On one hand Mem was a big home dog at home vs Houston last night and played hard to pull out the upset. I hate when you switch venues( home to road) and have basically the same number ....I do think we could be giving MILW to much credit ofr there drubbings at home as DOGGIES....Thinking Over 206 here as well . Only concern is low scoring outputs from Tor and Chi in MILW...but MILW should score alot here...

Philly @ NO : Hornets LUCKED Out in NJ and now play 7th game in 9 days all in different venues....such a tough spot (again) . Do they take Philly lightily here? Not sure I am ready to lay 9 points here...

Sac @ Minny : Kings get back Artest which is huge defensively and should be big offensively but you never know. DEFENSE tends to be a given. Minny could be without Greg Buckner and Craig Smith but SEA is waiting on Kenny Thomas and Brad Miller as well. Depends onhow the INJURIES shake out but thinking UNDER ...

Lakers @ Houston : LA struggled in SA and Houston is a notch below the Spurs. If not for HOU playing 3rd in 4 days I would have been on the home squad. Remember opening night ? Okay Odom is back but people were running to lay 3,4,5,6 points with HOU @ LAL!!! If not for a miracle to 2 minute run to end it the Lakers had trailed by DDs for the most part......hate LAL UNDERS but looking at that here.

Por @ Den : The Nuggets are smoking HOT winning 3 straight blowouts. However Portalnd isnt far behind scrapping out wins vs Dallas and Det. Think DEN rolls here ..

NYK @LAC : Injury shuffle ...Mobley is DOUBTFUL , Randolph is DOUBTFUL , QRichardson is ?? , Marbury appears to be playing , M.Collins is probable , Balkman is questionable ....lots of talent on the sidelines....expecting Knicks to play hard and keep it close if not WIN SU and think its played in the 90s so UNDER

Det @ GSW : Rough spot for DET who hasnt looked especially good. GSW playing better losing tough ones to Cle and Dallas. The GSW bench is a concrn but DET also got banged up last night ..have to take this home dog off so much rest vs a veteran DET team who could be flat here..1st H over cause GSW lack of bench and fatigue on both sides scares me ....


Thinking ( not plays ):
GSW +3 -120 and ML
NYK +8 and ML(value)
Den -10
Houston -6.5 ( 3rd in 4 days a concern)

Totals :
1st H Over GSW ( long rest scares me for GSW in some ways)
Under LAC 198
Under 198.5 Houston
Under 193 Minnesota ( Injuries??)
Over 206 Memphis
Over 191 Miami or team over Miami
Under 182 Boston
Under 187.5 Atlanta