Monday Nite Football


Under 45 -110 NYG and Dallas(6x) & Under 24 -110 Dallas team (1x)


A few things stuck out to me here. First I was suprised to see this total set so high. The next is that Covers.com had to have an article saying how inflated this total was...then I read deeper and claims its only 1 point to high. Which I was happy to see cause IMO its probably more like 3 points to high. You can see from week to week NYG totals are all over the place. They overreacted to the Seattle debacle and placed a 46 total on a Skins- NYG matchup. Last week in ATL which in some ways is very close to a Dallas team they set it at only 41. Dallas highest total was 43.5 before this game. So you gets get the point I think we are little heavy here...

Lets talk series history. The past 5 meetings in dallas have not seen more then 38 combined points and the home team DALLAS has never bested 20 points in any of those games.

Quick look:
Dallas wins 19-16 in OT last year
NYG wins 26-10
Dallas wins 19-3
NYG wins 21-17
Dallas wins 20-13

last year NYG won 17-10 @ the Meadowlands and lost 19-16 in OT down in Dallas.

In the 1st meeting in Dallas Eli went 14 of 30 for 215 yards and Tike ran 14 times for 64 yards
most of which came late in the game when NYG scrambled to send it to overtime after Jose Cortez had trouble icing the game. The teams combined to go 1-8 from the red zone , lose 6 fumbles and throw 2 picks!! NYG netted 270 yards in the game 217 came in the 4th quarter which I believe largely is a result of DALLAS not icing the game.

The second meeting in NYG saw only 480 yards of total offense by the teams combined and a defensive score. At home ELi was 12 of 31 for 151 yards with 2 picks. Tiki was solid with 30 carries and 115 yards.

So while I see another tough NFC East battle here I am also putting faith that the NYG defense we have seen the past 2 weeks is the one that will show up. Really the NYG offense hasnt done that much verus Washington and Atlanta sort of returning to Coughlin style football. Down 14-3 in ATL they used the running game to move the chains and converted 3 short TDS from inside the 5 yard line. After watching the pitt game this week we clearly see the ATL defense is hving issues. Eli seemed off most of the day in ATL and finished 17-30 with 180 yards (2tds and 2 ints). Clearly the duo of Barber and Jacobs got it done with 37 carries for 237 yards. That will be tough to duplicate since ATL has had troubles versus the run and had a banged up defensive front. Dallas did a solid job against Tike last year and allows just 2.9 YPC this season. If the Giants continue to get after the QB then obviously the slow footed and indecisive Drew Bledsoe will have trouble making plays.

NYG have played @ ATL , @ Phi , and @ Seattle so they are road tested . Interestingly though the totals were set 41,42,42 and went over twice with a PUSH. Now IMO those offenses are equal to or better then Dallas. So I am expecting a good ole smash mouth MNF, NFC East battle.

Prop: Under 251.5 -109 passing yards for ELI(1x)
GL