April 7th :


Early session : As always line shop


Yankees -200 {6units}

Not going to get all that in-depth here. The theme is BALT vs LHP. With the loss of Hernandez and Payton they have lost some weapons. Last season the O's were 5-21 on the ROAD vs LH SP. This year they lost to Johan Santana in the opener , who by the way is tougher on RHB cause of his change. You will see teams try to stack LHB against him. Tonite we saw Sean Henn throw 3 scoreless innings vs the O's allowing just 1 hit!!!


The SP is Igawa making his debut for NY. I think early on he was looking for his comfort zone and as spring went on he found it. In his NYM days Steve Traschel did a very sound job of pitching vs the Yanks . However they have the edges here with the LH SP , deeper pen , & Yanks playing much better then them during the DAY. With Rasner versus Bedard on Sunday this becomes a key game......The UNDER looks very attractive but I almost always wait till gameday for totals plays..

Thoughts on the rest of the Day schedule:

- Cubs @ Milw : Believe it or not neither SP has much success vs the opponent. Sheets looked awesome on Opening Day and that must be kept in mind. However MILW has won only 2 of his last 10 starts vs CHI. Zambrano has dropped 4 of 5 @ MILW....Lee owns Sheets but the rest of the TH should struggle and they are lacking from the LH side...In his opener Zambrano who could have the contract issues / stall hanging over his head couldnt get a LHB out...faced 9 allowed 4 hits (2hr's) and 3 BB's.....Ouch.. Looks like a coin toss here...

-Det @ KC : The Royals finally beat the Tigers at home (0-9 LYR). Maroth has been extremely solid in his recent outings @ Kauffman Stadium. Meche was solid on Opening Day and in his few outings vs DET recently. Discount Maroth' s last start in KC cause he was hurt and it was his last of the season before that 4 runs in 30 + innings there....so looking at the UNDER 9.5 ....KC didnt have any success vs LHP or in the day in 2006 if I recall correctly...

LAD @ SFG : being that Lowe stunk in the opener this game has lil value. Oh wait dont sleep on Russ Ortiz. It may not last long but right now he looks like a ML SP again....if LAD wins tonite then at these levels we could have some value in the SFG. However its customary to rest Bonds in day after Nite games so thats a caution...

Twins @ Sox: before the season started I though Silva might have a huge year ( for him). Now after watching the Spring I am certain this guy is mentally weak. he quit on his team last year and I thought that lead to an awakening. However when labeled as in a fight for a rotation spot he got shelled. The second he was announced as safe as SP he turned in his best performance. Which I called BTW! He was road kill last season. Still I prefer him to Javy who was smoked all ST. Worse is vazquez was lit up by Minny last year and has a piss poor track record vs them.....OVER 10..weather and ump..??

Mets @ Braves : The Mets are smoking hot and ATL has looked flat vs LHP. The get old fav Tom Glavine who seems to have worked out his ATL issues. Smoltz was solid in the opener and vs NYM last season...The NY bats have done alot of damage vs bullpens so far and timely hitting the rest....Carpenter was hurt , Wells and Looper IMO pitched very well vs them ...redman was decent till tiring and the pen got involved.....UNDER 8.5 most likelyWorking on the nite card...Good Luck