NFL Week 13

Thursday Special

Bengals see -2.5 -125 (5x)or ML -162 (3x)

These teams squared off 2 weeks ago when Cincy was going bad and Balt won 26-20 as 3 pt favs. The Bengals then went to Cleveland and NO showing the world they had not quit. They also showed they can play defense...1st shutout in like 17 years!!! Basically in the 1st meeting before the offense of Cincy even had a chance it was 14-0. The Bengal fumbled the opening kickoff and started at Cincys 34. They marched into the end zone for a 7-0 lead. They kickoff and I believe on the 2nd play Palmer is picked off for a TD...so its tough to play from behind against such a sound defense. What I see is Cincy has that explosive offense working again and all 3 WRs seem healthy again. I still see the same deal from Baltimore though play great defense and get points off turnovers whether directly or indirectly through short fields. While Jamal Lewis has looked better his stats are still far from impressive and he doesnt appear able to grind out yards. The way I see it outside of the win @ NO where is Balt's impressive road win? They won last minute @ Tenny and @ Cleveland. They defetaed TB who know is awful and lost @ Denver cause they could not move the ball. From what I have seen I still dont think balt can consistenly move the ball on offense through the air. What I would call the weakness of the Raven defense is the pass and well who is better then Palmer right now?? Not sure how I wil play it yet but going Cincy here......


Browns +6 -115 (10x) ML +205 (1x)

Okay so Cleveland looked like shit at home this week. I will chalk that up from the previous week watching them CHOKE versus Pittsburgh at home allowing 3 4th Q TDs to LOSE. They were hungover that was there Super Bowl after the beating Pitt put down on them in 2005. Now they get shutout at home and it teams tend to bounce back after being shutout. KC has that big Turkey Day win that impressed everyone. Two things though. The long layoff takes away the momentum they could have built off that. The second is I feel if Denver could have done just a little more offensively they would have beat KC. Anyway CLE allows only 3.5 YPC at home andlets face KC offense has some issues Green or not...last 3 19 , 17 and 10 pts plus 3 of 5 away 10 points or less. The way Huard played I dont see Green as much of an upgrade. KC was only favored @ Zona and need a comeback to win by 3 ....simply put an overreaction to week 12!

The Cheifs avg just 276 yards of offense on the road!!

Jaguars ML +133 (10x)

No Ronnie Brown just hurts the Phins offense to much. Look at the Jags defense they didnt play poorly versus Buffalo and there defense will shutdown the Miami offense. Look how bad the Lions looked without Kevin Jones , I cant expect Sammy Morris to get it done versus Jax off a SU loss.....defensive battle probably will go under as well...Teams are built on great defenses but now Jax has the edge on offense with Drew & Taylor @ RB plus Matt Jones starting to make plays......tough to get a handle on Miami's true value now that have won 4 straight but I look at it like this Buffalo was favored in DET months ago so Buffalo is fairly close valuewise to Miami and we should probably see jax -3 here IMo.....

Giants +3.5 +100(wait) (10x) +183 ML

Lets not get over excited about destroying TB. Like the other Turkey day winners the layoff kills some of there momentum IMO. I know NY is falling apart but Strahan could return and lets not forget they did lead 21-0 with 10 to play. Alot of what Dallas has done with romo is defense related. They had a couple short fields for TD drives @ Carolina , they still found away to lose @ Washington , and they won easily @ Zona...nice but still not impressive. Then they get Indy at home and they get outplayed in the 1st Half but iimplement there gameplan after a defensive TD. Then came the TB destruction.

Simply put throw stats out the window here this line is so exaggerated IMO. I could see a PKem game but not this chalk. NY had a players only meeting so lets see what comes of it but we can get 4 points at home and I will take my chances with everyone drooling over Dallas. Thinking under........

Still looking at some have played Indy @ -6.5 -120 and TB @ +9 -121...