Thursday, November 30, 2006

Frsutrated last nite didnt even update my card....

Tonite

Over 192 -105 Miami Heat & Detriot Pistons (8x)

Well about 3 games ago Mr.Riley did some lineup shuffling. It started with the home game vs Orlando and he seemed to spark something. He turned Dorrell Wright loose and he has been a monster on the glass and basically let it be known to vets Payton and Walker they have to earn there time with quality play not erratic shooting.


The results have been consistent offense 104 , 102 and 103 . A big key has been getting to the FT line 29 of 37 , 24 of 33 , and 24 of 29. The 1st game vs Orlando jason Williams was out and DNP. They shot 42 pct (36/85) . The next 2 performances with Jason Williams in the lineup were impressive statistically speaking. In Charlotte they shot 55% 38 -69 but get this only 2 of 15 from three. Thats means they were an incredible 36-54 from INSIDE the ARC. Then at home versus Philly they shot 37 of 63 (58%) little better from 3 (5 of 13). So there OFFENSE is suddenly clicking after underperforming for so long.


They get a Piston team who has allowed 46% shooting from the floor on the road nearly 40% from beyond the arc and has put its opponents on the line 24 times a game. Miami averages 27 FTs at home but as I said last 3 they are actualy betting to the line 33 times a game!!The Piston offense is clicking scoring at least 100 pts past 5or6 if you throw out the game @ Philly which had most Sixers out due to injury(still 97 -87 but no late easy scores). Miami also puts it opponents on the line alot(25 avg) as well and DET is above 80% from there. Det also shooting well at 46% from the floor and 40% from 3 last 5(44% from the floor away). Past 2 games Miami allowed 91 and 93 to so-so offense which also didnt benefit from any easy buckets at the end cause the games were decided by DD's. Previosuly they allowed at least 100 3 straight and 5 of 6. The Pistons allowed 111 in Wash , but 95 and 98 at home to less the strong offenses of Charlotte and Atlanta.

Basically these are not the Pistons of years past and I see no reason why both teams dont score 95++ points. As for a side I tend to want to wait but cant understand why Miami is getting +3.5 or +4 pts...before the injuries in Philly last week DEt was about a -1.5 pt fav @ Philly ....so to me alittle fat line with DET win streak and the public not noticing Miami's resurgence recently....looking at Miami ++ points and ML....

Under 200 -110 LAL (4x)

Not going to get crazy with an explantion here. How is Utah getting a 200 total when say a team like MILW who is uptempo gets a 202 total. Seems like they are overlooking the fact Utahs past 3 games have been real low scoring and paying more attention to the 1st meeting. LA is just odd with 4 overs then 6 unders and now 4 overs....I would feel that both teams just played poor defense the 1st meeting and both coaches would be emphasizing defense here. I thought LAL totals have been a bit cheap recently....

Looking at LAL with Utah off there big win...thought this should actually be -5 so lets see where it ends up....

ADD:
Heat +4 -110 (3x) ML +147 (1x)
1st half over 95 -109 Miami (2x)

NCAAB
Over 67 -108 Auburn 1st Half (4x)
Over 136 -110 Ole Miss (5x)
Fordham -11.5 -105 (5x)
Over 131 -113 Manhattan (LEAN) gonna wait till halftime
Over 76 -120 Zaga (3x)
Under 58.5 -108 Mid Tenn 1st H (2x)
Mid Tenn -4 -110 (5x)
Over 68 -108 Arkansas 1st H (3x)
Missouri +3 -105 (3x) ML +118 (1x)

GL

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