Tuesday NBA :


Wolves @ Wiz :


Wash is on a 11-2 OVER run. Naturally I had the Over 194.5 last game and at 193 pt swith 90 seconds left they failed to score !! Just my Luck lately. Mix in a 23-9 OVER run versus Western Conference foes.

You have to me somewhat impressed how Wash dismantled NJ in the 2nd H on Sunday. Furthermore a young team upsetting the SUNS at home now traveling seems like a great fade spot. Sure Minny is 5-3 ATS away but look at the numbers ...+8.5 @ NYK , +11.5 LAL , +4.5 @ Sac w/o Artest , +14 @ Den , +11 @ NO ( SU UPSET) , +14 @ Dallas , +9 @ Memphis in a poor spot ( day after they got smoked and choked by SA in the 4th q) , +9 @ ATL where they had ahuge 2nd H rally).

Minny appears depelted some in its bench with Walker and Buckner looking OUT. Looking at the Wiz on offense I feel they should score 104 + points here and Minny should get to 93++...oddly Minny scored 93 in its first 4 road games , then 103 twice before ONLY 80 @ Memphis in the flat spot and 89 @ ATL after a REAL sluggish start...The only concern for an OVER would be a WIZ blowout which would help it sneak under...like a 105-89 win....

So lean to Wiz -9 and lean ov 197....

Raps @ Hawks :

The Raps appear to set to get Bargnani back while playing a sandwich game(home vs Hous then @ Dallas). Bosh returned and appeared fine playing 40 minutes while Ford has worked himself back .

The Hawks will be off a road upset WIN in Orlando. I dont trust ATL in spots against good teams where they must win to cash. They have lost at home badly to SA and DET recently as well as to the Hornets. They were again w/o Lue and Childress so assume they miss here.

One thing we have to applaud is the work ATL did on defense holding ORL to 40% at home. They scored more points tonight then usual really due to late FTs.

Personally I feel its hard to get a pulse on this game. You have some returning players for Tor and Bargnani could be rusty. I owuld hate to take ATL or the Under after passing on them tonite. Though I may be inclined to play a 1st H under......

Pacers @ Cavs :

Guessing we see about -5.5 here with LeBrons return(Hughes just came back) . You wonder what the Cavs will look like on offense. Simply because both James and Hughes have not played in so long together . Hughes looked rusty last game and James probably will be to a degree. Indy playing so uptempo does lead to easy buckets...curious at the number here. Pacers playing better past 2 games and have 3 days rest while Cle desperate to end a losing streak. If we get a big number I would probably take Indy and expect a Cavs SU win but ATS loss.

Clippers @ NJN :

The Nets are playing terrible and due to injuries LAC is terrible this season. Home team dominants the series.

Whats worse being 3-13 ATS last 16 or 0-8-1 ATS at home ?? Thats the situation we have here!! For good measure NJ only 10-24-1 L35 ATS after a SU loss by 10 ++ pts.
Fav is 7-1 last 8 in the series and NJN 0-7ATS last 7 in NJN .....

Since returning from the West Coast NJN has looked terrible. They lost SU at home to Memphis in a game I dont recall them ever leading ( had memphis that nite) , then afetr a few days off looked terrible but rallied and escaped vs Philly , got smpoked @ Det the next day , sort of bounced back by beating a deplted Cavs squad , followed by losing at home to NYK when Kidd sat out , losing at home to Houston and then losing @ Wash !!!!! Thing is what has LAC done to make you excited ?? Last 10 2-8 SU beating a disinterested DEN team awhile back and beating the Kings when they played there 1st game w/o KMartin!

If NJ wasnt struggling -7 would be real soft but since they are its dead on. NJ is desperate to win this and probably puts me on them. With both teams struggling some I would lean UND 184 but thats a tight number...NJ should score low 90's...worst case..

Pistons @ Grizz :


Tough to not like the Grizz and over. After all Grizz are 3-0 ATS as dogs while going 7-2 Over! Now you get Mem after a bad loss when they were just drained after losing in OT @ NO. Problem is minus one bad spot vs Chi the Pistons have been en fuego!!!

Still Grizz have played well vs DET in the past covering 7 of 8 barely missing that eight cover in the series. have to stick with Grizz / Over here....

Seattle @ Chicago :

Seattle seems to be improving playing much better in its past 2 road contests but partly because they made up big 1st H defecits. You have to think Chi + Under at the moment. So UND 189....just cant lay -8 here with Chi having Indy on deck they havent shown the consistency...I dont like Sea in this spot either cause its a perfect number.....

Port @ Utah :

Jazz stumbling some dropping 3 straight road games and 4 vs the number. They have PHO on deck and you wonder how interested they are vs an improving Port squad. With Portland trying to be more aggressive would have to think over 205. Had expected 11.5 or 12 here with Port improving....

Spurs @ GSW :

Duncan should return and SA has owned the Warriors. I think GSW is in a mini funk right now and taking way , way to many 3 pters!! Spurs have won 9 of 10 only losing in a bad spot @ Sac plus they beat Dallas and Utah w/o Duncan....


Curious to see a number would expect SA -3 .....

CBB:


Small schedule had expected a -2 with Bradley @ Wright St....so not sure there. Not familiar enough with ULL to guess a number thought bewteen -9.5 and -11.5....we have -11.5..... , Expected -3.5 with So Ill and thinking about playing 1st H So.Ill cause the number is probably a bit soft due to recent play of these teams. However 1st true road game vs STMarys and they started slowly vs SDST in a neutral site game . Had expected -11 maybe -11.5 with Valpo we see -10.5. Which makes me thinks that Evansville will be a play. Valpo is catching alot of action lately and I would have thought they would have inflated the number slightily...

Last is Oregon hosting Sac State! I kinda expected higher maybe even 35 /36. They have some common opponents and Sac State gets smoked where as Oregon smoked those same teams...

Sac St +22.5 @ Kansas State lost by 30. Tough place to play but I think on a neutral court Oregon is 6 or 7 points better..., they caught +30 @ Stanford and covered now I think again Oregon is 6 or 7 better on a neutral court , how bout Pacifuc and SF ...at -32 orcheaper it seems some sort of Oregon play is in order..maybe 1st H ....they should win by 30 rather easily......

bad signs allowing 47% from 3 pt land and then hitting just 54& from the FT line...Last home game for Oregon for awhile they should win 100-65 after shaking off some rust vs Utah.

See what tmrw brings.....